I have seen many lessons where the teacher sets up the students to predict, the kids do, and then they power on through the story. I dubbed these lessons “predict and run.” Don’t do it! Slow down and savor the hypothesis and keep reflecting on it as you read on. Ask, Was I right or wrong? And why? How do I know? The comprehension boosting isn’t in the guess but in stopping after reading to check the prediction. It is really important that you set this task up with your students as an inquiry. Make them excited to predict, then read and check.
When You Might Offer It
You might offer it when students need practice with making predictions. With younger readers, model the task with a shared book before having students practice predicting on their own, doing more modeling as needed. For older readers, use when the text level increases or any time you want to check on the accuracy of their predictions.
Target
Students will comprehend and add new information to memory by making predictions about what a text will be about and then confirming through reflection.
Your Instructional Playbook
Name It: When we make a prediction about a text before reading it, we are waking up our brains and getting them ready to figure out what is happening in the book. The graphics, heading, and words in a text give clues to what the text will be about. In this task, we are going to make a prediction by waking up our brains and predicting what we will read and then stopping after we read to see whether our prediction was correct or incorrect.
What You Might Say Next: “You know when you are reading a good story or watching a suspenseful movie, maybe a mystery, and a character does something or acts odd all of a sudden, you say to yourself, ‘Ooh, I bet something is about to happen! I bet that other guy is about to cause trouble!’ When you do that, you are making a prediction. You are guessing what is going to happen next, based on clues. Good readers make predictions all the time, whether they are reading a story or a science book. Readers scan a cover and opening pages to predict what kind of book it is and if they will like it. And then as they read, they pause whenever the author seems to inviting them to slow down and think and make an inference. An inference is a prediction, a guess based on what you know. We are going to start by flagging some stopping points for ourselves.”
Owns It! Notice how the students are correctly making predictions about the text that they had read.
Model/Do Together: Take a bunch of sticky notes and talk with the students about where would be good places to stop and make predictions. Place them on the text and let the students know that the little sticky notes are going to be little stop signs for you as you read. The sticky notes will remind you and the class to stop and make a prediction. For younger readers, use a big book or enlarged text; for older readers, use text under a document camera. As they are choosing good stopping places in the book, invite students to come up and place the sticky notes on the text for stopping points. Then, read the text together and stop where there is a sticky note. Ask something like, “Based on what we read (or see in the pictures or the headings), what is a prediction we could make right now? What do you think will happen next? Or what else is going to happen now that __________ happened? How can we be sure our prediction is plausible or could really happen? Should we reread what happened already in the text to make sure our prediction makes sense?”
Release: Once students have practiced this a few times with you, have them try it for themselves. Stop at a stopping point and make a prediction about what will happen next, how the text will end, what the character is going to do, and how the information you are learning is going to change or develop.
Have students share their predictions. Ask, did their predictions come to pass? How do they know? These reflective questions will take students back to the text to think about what they read and how it gives them clues about what might be next.