Part I
Reflections on the Aotearoa New Zealand policy process
Chapter 1
Governments stuff up all the time: why expect Aotearoa New Zealand to be different?
Sonia Mazey and Jeremy Richardson
Introduction: in defence of government
A political scientist colleague of ours, Keith Dowding, recently published an insightful book entitled Itâs The Government, Stupid: How governments blame citizens for their own policies. His central argument is that âwhile there is individual responsibility with regard to our behaviour, the major responsibility for social failures is that of governmentâ. We cite just one example from his book: obesity. He argues that western governments blame their citizens for the obesity crisis, rather than using regulatory and taxation powers to tackle the problem. For example, governments could ban the addition of unnecessary sweeteners in products or tax sugary drinks â yet they choose not to. Dowding believes in interventionist governments and so do we. What does this mean in practice? It means we believe well-designed public policies and government regulations are necessary mechanisms for securing the safety and wellbeing of a nationâs citizens.
This does not mean we believe all problems can be solved by government action. Nor do we believe that all public policies necessarily produce âgoodâ outcomes. Indeed many public policies fail in this regard. Here we review generic causes of public policy failure in order to better understand how we might achieve better public policy outcomes in Aotearoa New Zealand. Saying âwe need better public policyâ is rather like motherhood and apple pie. Who can object to that? The problem is that delivering better public policy is, in reality, extremely difficult. Why is this so? As highlighted below, public policy-making is a complex process and many policy proposals fall by the wayside during the journey.
Policy blunders, policy fiascos and plain old âstuff-upsâ
Policy blunders, policy fiascos and government âstuff-upsâ have become increasingly common worldwide. Indeed the Covid-19 pandemic has revealed a possibly even more serious âpandemicâ, namely a worrying decline in the capacity of national governments to solve problems that can be solved only by government. As McConnell and Stark point out, âin some contexts the global pandemic has been treated with due seriousness by governments and political leaders, while in others it has been downplayed to such an extent that it has been framed as a hoaxâ. There are other examples. Just think of climate change â now deemed by over 30 countries including New Zealand to be an âemergencyâ. The human causes of global warming and the potentially catastrophic consequences of this accelerating trend have been known for decades, yet governments around the world have failed miserably to take decisive action. The policy track record of traditionally strong and capable democratic regimes is far from reassuring. The Trump era in the USA astounded the world day by day; when âthe leader of the free worldâ suggested that drinking bleach might kill the Covid-19 virus, it prompted widespread concerns about the presidentâs mental wellbeing. Germany, the powerhouse of the European Union, also appears to have experienced a sharp decline in its policy-making capacities. The German policy style has been recently characterised as one where âpolicymakers adopt only incremental changes to existing policies unless there is drastic demand for or need of large scale changes.â Meanwhile in the UK, the Brexit policy-making âomnishamblesâ, which all but paralysed the nation for nearly two years was quickly overshadowed by Prime Minister Boris Johnsonâs fumbling early responses to the Covid-19 pandemic.
Johnsonâs former political advisor Dominic Cummings lifted the lid on the chaos that prevailed within the British government at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, likening the governmentâs response to the virus to a supermarket trolley swerving from one side of the aisle to the other, and describing the Department of Health and Social Care as a âsmoking ruinâ. As a result, Cummings claimed, tens of thousands of people in the country had died needlessly from the virus. His comments were echoed by the former pandemic advisor to the UK government, Professor Neil Ferguson, who told a parliamentary select committee in June 2020 that instigating a nationwide lockdown a week earlier would have reduced the death toll up to that date by at least half, saving between 20,000 and 30,000 lives. Similarly, one inside source told the BBCâs political editor that âit felt like the âgovernment machineâ was breaking in our hands, things were âimplodingâ.â That the traditionally âsteadyâ British state had come to resemble the aptly named TV comedy Fawlty Towers is concerning.
When governments make mistakes, the consequences are not just traffic jams, declining educational standards and a worsening housing crisis. People can die. Of course governments facing exceptional crises such as a global pandemic are bound to make errors. However, public policy blunders and failures are common even in business-as-usual circumstances. To return to Britain, working behind that beautifully painted, black front door of 10 Downing Street (surely, along with the Queen, one of the few remaining symbols of British stability), even in normal times, was likened by one insider to working in a hospital accident and emergency department. When people at the heart of what used to be thought of as a âRolls Royce of a governmentâ make such observations, we should be worried. Meanwhile here in New Zealand â as several contributors to this volume acknowledge â we have a long-standing housing crisis, increasing levels of child poverty and inequality, lower productivity levels and wages than comparable countries, declining educational standards, grossly polluted waterways and failing infrastructure. We could go on. That policy failures are so common worldwide suggests there are some common causes, albeit in some cases exacerbated by the fact that voters sometimes make bad choices in electing leaders who are simply not up to the job. Below we suggest that there are indeed some generic features of democratic policy-making systems that help to explain why there are so many policy failures across so many countries.
An endless conveyor belt of problems: how do governments cope?
In liberal democracies, the political agenda is always crowded. Present-day governments face a much more active citizenry than that of, say, 50 years ago. The number of interest groups demanding policy change has grown significantly and the quantity and type of lobbying channels available has also increased dramatically; in particular, interest groups have become especially ad...