Growth for Good
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Growth for Good

Reshaping Capitalism to Save Humanity from Climate Catastrophe

Alessio Terzi

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eBook - ePub

Growth for Good

Reshaping Capitalism to Save Humanity from Climate Catastrophe

Alessio Terzi

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About This Book

A Foreign Affairs Best Book of the Year From the front lines of economics and policymaking, a compelling case that economic growth is a force for good and a blueprint for enrolling it in the fight against climate change. Economic growth is wrecking the planet. It's the engine driving climate change, pollution, and the shrinking of natural spaces. To save the environment, will we have to shrink the economy? Might this even lead to a better society, especially in rich nations, helping us break free from a pointless obsession with material wealth that only benefits the few? Alessio Terzi takes these legitimate questions as a starting point for a riveting journey into the socioeconomic, evolutionary, and cultural origins of our need for growth. It's an imperative, he argues, that we abandon at our own risk.Terzi ranges across centuries and diverse civilizations to show that focus on economic expansion is deeply interwoven with the human quest for happiness, well-being, and self-determination. Growth, he argues, is underpinned by core principles and dynamics behind the West's rise to affluence. These include the positivism of the Enlightenment, the acceleration of science and technology and, ultimately, progress itself. Today growth contributes to the stability of liberal democracy, the peaceful conduct of international relations, and the very way our society is organized through capitalism. Abandoning growth would not only prove impractical, but would also sow chaos, exacerbating conflict within and among societies.This does not mean we have to choose between chaos and environmental destruction. Growth for Good presents a credible agenda to enroll capitalism in the fight against climate catastrophe. With the right policies and the help of engaged citizens, pioneering nations can set in motion a global decarbonization wave and in parallel create good jobs and a better, greener, healthier world.

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Information

Year
2022
ISBN
9780674276321

I
Economic Growth and Capitalism

1

THE LIMITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Anyone who believes exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist.
—KENNETH BOULDING, 1973
As recent trends such as widening inequality and environmental awareness provoke startling questions about the very desirability of economic growth, it might seem that this fundamental tenet of our economic system is under attack for the first time. To the contrary, recent critiques are just the latest expression of an old school of thought. It saw its last peak in popularity in the 1960s and 1970s, and has been simmering ever since. In that era, blatant cases of pollution and environmental destruction—not least, a decade of nuclear bomb tests at Bikini Atoll following the Second World War—caused environmental activism to gather steam in America. These sentiments were reinforced by the first full picture of Earth, known as Earthrise. Taken during the Apollo 8 mission on Christmas Eve of 1968, this image, as Andrew McAfee puts it, “helped us see that the human condition is inseparable from the state of the planet that we live on.”1 On April 22, 1970, the United States celebrated its first Earth Day.
On the academic side, an MIT team was inspired to create a computer simulation of the world, illustrating the interlinkages between global population, affluence, and the environment. The resulting report, The Limits to Growth, was issued in 1972 by the Club of Rome, founded only four years earlier by a group of thirty philanthropists, intellectuals, and members of civil society looking for long-term, holistic solutions to humanity’s most pressing problems. In it, biophysicist Donella Meadows and her coauthors argued that exponential economic growth could not go on forever and had to be brought to a halt quickly to avoid civilizational collapse. The modern degrowth movement was born. Soon, the 1973 oil crisis helped capture the public’s attention—the report had warned that raw materials would run out, precipitating the collapse of civilization, and to some it now seemed (even though this crisis was due to geopolitical tensions) that there must be something to that prediction.2 Just over a decade later, on the other side of the Atlantic, French philosopher Serge Latouche eloquently linked degrowth to an anti-capitalist narrative and became perhaps the best-known European voice in favor of la decroissance.3
Subsequently, the movement declined to the point of being considered a fringe cult at the borders of economics, but its stalwarts continued thinking deeply about policies that could finally achieve growth curtailment, and how to make a success of it. Occasionally rekindling some interest by the public, but ostracized by mainstream economics, the degrowth band remained vibrant by establishing its own discipline—ecological economics—complete with focused academic journals and self-standing conferences. This chapter presents the degrowth adherents’ perspective, objectively laying out the key planks of their criticisms of society, of the usefulness of economic growth, and of the current mainstream approach to climate mitigation. It will be the work of later chapters to offer a rebuttal, arguing that continued economic growth is natural and imperative, and that, all things considered, pursuing green growth is the only credible strategy for staving off climate catastrophe.

Degrowth in all but name

Given that degrowth is formally confined to a small set of radical academics and activists, one might wonder why a full chapter should be devoted to the movement’s arguments.4 The first answer is that, while most readers might never have encountered the term degrowth, many of the arguments made by the movement are actually pervasive in current popular debates on the rights and wrongs of our economic system, especially in relation to climate change. You might, for example, have heard the slogan “You cannot have infinite growth on a finite planet.” Or the view that “GDP is not what matters—we should instead focus on happiness and well-being.” The fact that these critiques of the current economic system sound commonsensical is a testament to just how fully they have permeated the collective imagination.
The second reason to take time to understand the arguments of degrowth scholars is that, over the past fifty years, they have been doing the intellectual heavy lifting of taking the complaints lodged more generally against economic systems that pursue growth and assembling these into a coherent vision for a post-growth world. Their work therefore provides a useful starting point for reflecting on the origins and nature of economic growth itself, before going on to ponder its relationship with capitalism and climate change—a relationship that has only recently strayed onto the mainstream economics radar screen. Learning the arguments of the founding fathers and mothers of the movement also allows us to recognize that the ideas of recent degrowth proponents, their claims to novelty notwithstanding, are essentially identical to those past ideas. This may be why the snappy slogans posted on social media and quoted in articles about degrowth and the environment are almost always dug up from long ago (the epigraph of this chapter being a prime example). Unoriginality is not the issue here. Rather, the repetition suggests that the degrowth critique, framed as a matter of economy versus nature, may be one of those “internal contradictions of capitalism” that Marx spoke of—a tension that is ever-present, and indeed, in his view, so unresolvable that it must eventually cause the system to collapse. Again, the important function of this chapter is to explain where degrowth thinkers are coming from; even if by the end of this book you are persuaded, one hopes, against their policy recommendations, the concerns they raise are more often than not entirely legitimate and demand a response. This is especially true now, as our economic system seems to be underserving many people and threatening the very planet. To be credible at all, the strategy this book offers to head off climate catastrophe (or any other strategy for doing so) must address these legitimate concerns.
Another merit of the degrowth school is that it draws on multiple disciplines—from economics and sociology all the way to anthropology, philosophy, ecology, and design—as it imagines an alternative society for the post-growth world.5 The downside of the movement’s sprawl over multiple disciplines is that there are several high priests in the degrowth church, and the common heading often conflates their quite different worldviews. This makes it challenging to discern the fundamental principles of degrowth. Still, to stick to the religious metaphor, The Limits to Growth can be seen as the equivalent of the timeless Old Testament in the degrowth community, and as for the New Testament, that would probably be Tim Jackson’s best-selling Prosperity without Growth. Many other texts exist and deserve close attention, but in what follows we will turn often to these two fundamental ones as we consider the building blocks of the degrowth vision.6

Slogan 1: “Decoupling is a myth”

Historically, the acceleration of economic growth since the Industrial Revolution of the eighteenth century went hand in hand with the soaring greenhouse gas emissions that are now recognized as the primary cause of global warming. This is because carbon dioxide (CO2), by far the largest component of greenhouse gases, is released during the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas. While the notion that human activity could modify the planet’s climate has been disputed for decades, particularly in the United States, there is now a strong consensus among climate scientists that this is so. The question, then, is whether these seemingly interrelated trends—growing economic activity and growing pressure on the atmosphere—can effectively be decoupled. Is it, in short, possible that economic growth can go on while CO2 emissions are simultaneously reduced? Advocates of degrowth, while certainly allowing that production processes can be less polluting, reject the possibility of a complete separation (or, in the field’s jargon, “absolute decoupling”) of the two phenomena. To support their view they use statistics like those charted in Figure 1.1, showing CO2 emissions for advanced (OECD) economies and the world as a whole.
First, the chart shows global CO2 emissions still rising. If the goal is to slow down climate change, this trend alone stands as prima facie evidence that the current strategy, based on decoupling and improving energy efficiency, fails on the one metric that matters. The status quo is a road to disaster and must be profoundly modified. Second, degrowth advocates would argue that the trend shown for the advanced economies is deceptive. It is true that these countries’ carbon emissions have largely stabilized or even edged down a notch since the mid-2000s—but this is mainly because, responding in part to decades of tighter environmental regulation, they have pushed production of the most polluting items to the developing world. Yet these products are promptly imported back into the rich world to feed consumerism. Indeed, Figure 1.1 shows a widening gap between emissions as calculated based on the production (territorial) versus the consumption of goods. While the effect of this accounting trick might not seem very consequential in the aggregate, for some countries, like Switzerland, it does completely transform the picture. Swiss CO2 emissions based on production flattened, while those based on consumption went up. For degrowth proponents, this closer scrutiny reveals that decoupling is a myth.
FIGURE 1.1: The path to zero absolute CO2 emissions
Data source: Global Carbon Project.
Notes: Emissions shown in billions of tonnes. Solid markers indicate real data; unfilled markers approximate a linear trend needed to reach zero absolute emissions by 2050.

Slogan 2: “Technology will not save us”

Humankind, when challenged by complex problems, has a penchant for innovation and technology solutions. For example, when the Covid-19 pandemic hit, public attention immediately focused on scientific efforts to develop a vaccine. The belief was that, once effective inoculation was produced and rolled out, lifestyles could promptly go back to normal. Degrowth advocates see climate change as a problem in a different league, and consider any high hopes placed on technology to be misplaced.
First, despite all the renewable energy sources (including solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal) being brought online, and all the regulatory actions in richer countries to compel greater energy efficiency, encourage shared mobility, and so on, CO2 emissions have, at best, dropped very little. This paltry change is particularly disappointing when we contrast it with what climate scientists are saying is necessary. To give a rough sense of the sheer scale of the green transition needed, Figure 1.1 includes a linear trend line approaching zero emissions by 2050. Of course, this may overstate the challenge; after all, climate experts do not say that we must achieve zero emissions by 2050 to avoid climate catastrophe...

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