Predicting the Next President
eBook - ePub

Predicting the Next President

The Keys to the White House, 2020

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Predicting the Next President

The Keys to the White House, 2020

About this book

In the days after Donald Trump's unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trump's win since September 2016. In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Lichtman applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!

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Yes, you can access Predicting the Next President by Allan Lichtman in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Politics & International Relations & American Government. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Table of contents

  1. Introduction
  2. 1 Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work
  3. 2 Turning the Keys to the Presidency
  4. 3 Civil War and Reconstruction
  5. 4 The Gilded Age
  6. 5 Rise and Fall of Progressivism
  7. 6 Depression, War, and Cold War
  8. 7 New Directions, War, and Scandal
  9. 8 Reagan and Beyond
  10. 9 A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004
  11. 10 The Winds of Political Change: 2008
  12. 11 Stability in the White House: 2012
  13. 12 The Trump Legacy in Peril: Where the Keys Stand for 2020
  14. 13 Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics
  15. Note
  16. About the Author