Few things stand out less clearly at the time than a turning point in history, at any rate when one is living through it. As a rule it is only in retrospect that an event can be seen clearly as a turning point. Historians write as if they were looking at the past in the rearview mirror of a moving car; and, of course, picking the âturning pointsâ of history is something of a specialty for many historiansâin some cases, the more obscure, the better. Turning points, however, are much harder to recognize as they occur, when one is looking ahead through the windshield.
To take an example, we now recognize that the Battle of Britain was a turning point in World War IIâfewer than 2,000 young fighter pilots of the Royal Air Force handed Hitler his first defeat, and ensured that whatever else was going to happen in 1940, Great Britain would not be invadedâbut those who lived through the Battle of Britain day by day did not perceive it as a decisive, clear-cut event. The fighter pilots were too exhausted and battle-weary to care; and the public, while buoyed by the victories of the R.A.F. in the sky over southern England, was still struggling to come to grips with the evacuation of the British Expeditionary Force from Dunkirk and the collapse of France, and would soon be plunged into the first stages of what later came to be known as the blitz. Those whoâas childrenâsaw the white contrails of the aircraft swirling overhead in the blue summer sky, or watched the shiny brass cartridge cases come tumbling down by the thousands, had no sense of being witnesses to a âturning pointâ; nor did their elders. It was only much later that this turning point began to be perceived as one, and that Battle of Britain Day was added to the list of annual British patriotic celebrations.
In much the same way, the Hungarian Revolution of 1956, while it was clearly a major event, was not perceived as a turning point in history until much later, when the unexpected disintegration of the Soviet empire in eastern Europe, followed very shortly by the total collapse of the Soviet Union itself, could be traced back to the consequences of the uprising in the streets of Budapest.
The three weeks of the Hungarian Revolution ended, of course, in a victory for the Soviet Union, as everybody knows, but not since Pyrrhus himself has there been so Pyrrhic a victory. The Hungarians had chipped the first crack in the imposing facade of Stalinist communism and had exposed the Soviet Unionâs domination of eastern Europe for the brutal sham it was. For the first time, people in the Westâeven those on the leftâhad seen the true face of Soviet power, and it shocked them.
The Hungarians lost, but in the long run the Russians lost more. Communism became much harder to sell as a humane alternative to capitalism (or to western European democratic socialism); and the Russians themselves, badly shaken by the size and the ferocity of the uprising they had put down with such overwhelming force, and dismayed by the attention it received in the worldâs media, never attempted to repeat the experience in Europe. From time to time, the tanks might be sent rumbling into the streets again, as they were in Prague in 1968, but they would not henceforth open fire on civilians. Without apparently having given the matter much thought, the Russians discarded the trump card in their hand: the belief on the part of eastern Europeans that the Red Army would shoot them down mercilessly if they rose against the puppet governments the Soviet Union had imposed on them at the end of World War II.
More dangerous still, those governments themselves, whose ultimate legitimacy rested on the threat of armed intervention by the Soviet Union, ceased to believe that it would ever intervene again to support them with force the way it did in Hungary in 1956âand if the Russians would not, then how, when push came to shove, were the âpeopleâs governmentsâ of Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, the German Democratic Republic, Bulgaria, Romania, and Albania to remain in power over the long haul?
This is always a serious problem of empire, by no means limited to the Soviet Union. In 1919, the United Kingdom used violence, albeit on a considerably smaller scale, against the congress party in India when General Dyer ordered his troops to open fire on demonstrators in Amritsar, killing 379 of them at Jallianwallah Bagh, and wounding perhaps three times as many. The massacre horrified the Britishâexcept for the impenitent General Dyer and his supportersâand the result was an increasing reluctance on the part of the British government to use force against the congress party at all. In consequence, the threat of armed violenceâone of the pillars on which the raj stoodâgradually became more and more remote and unlikely. The Indians ceased to fear it, the British grew increasingly unwilling to use it on a large scale, and independence for India thus became only a matter of time.
In much the same way, the Hungariansâ uprising against their own unpopular government and the governmentâs Soviet masters, while it failed, fatally shook the confidence of the Soviet government in its ability to control the countries of eastern Europeâa confidence that had already been weakened by Stalinâs death, by the increasingly (and defiantly) independent attitude of Titoâs Yugoslavia, and by the widening ideological rift between the Russian and the Chinese communist parties.
After 1956, the Soviet Union found itself in an increasingly uncomfortable and ambivalent position vis-Ă -vis the eastern European âpeopleâs democracies,â since the Soviet leadership was desperately trying to dismantle the remnants of Stalinism at home and bring about a âthawâ in Russian life, while at the same time continuing to prop up unrepentantly Stalinist leaders in the Soviet Unionâs client states. In the Politburo there was a dawning realization that the Soviet Union was in a race against time to create a viable consumer economy while still maintaining and modernizing its huge armed forces, as well as to allow a greater degree of freedom of expression than had been thinkable under Stalin without altogether losing the partyâs ultimate control of the media.
This was a tricky balancing act for Stalinâs contentious heirs, akin to a herd of elephants trying to walk a tightrope. While performing this miracle, the members of the Politburo did not want their attention to be diverted toward the âsatellite countries,â as the eastern European communist regimes were called in the West, or the âfraternal socialist countries,â as they were called in the Soviet Union. It was the job of the eastern European leaders to maintain discipline and order in their countriesâin short, to keep everything frozen, âon iceââa job which was by no means easy to do when the Soviet Union itself was experimenting, however gingerly, with a thaw.
It was the unhappy lot of the Hungarians in 1956 to be the first people to seriously challenge Russian hegemony in eastern Europeânot just to challenge it intellectually, or with speeches, which was already dangerous enough, but to challenge it with armed force. The Russiansâ response was instinctive, brutal, and violentâin effect, to do exactly what Stalin would have doneâbut cruel and harsh as the suppression of the Hungarian rebellion was, it was not followed by the kind of widespread terror that would have come naturally to Stalin. Certainly, many Hungarians were shot, and many more imprisoned, but there were no mass repressions, no transfers of population to the gulags or to remote parts of the Soviet empire, no attempts to wipe out whole sections of the population.
Quite apart from the reluctance of the Soviet leadership to carry out such a program, two things had occurred that nobody had foreseen, both of which stemmed from the fact that Hungary has a common border with Austria and with what was then West Germany. One occurrence was that from the moment the Hungarian Revolution broke out it became possible to enter Hungary quite freely, with the result that this was the first event of its kind to be covered in detail from the beginning by reporters, television cameramen, and photographers from all over the world. Few historical events, in fact, have ever produced more copy and pictures than the Hungarian Revolution, and the pages of Life, Paris-Match, and Stern (and their counterparts all over the world) brought the revolution home to readers in searing and unforgettable images, none of them likely to create goodwill for the Soviet Union.
The second was that the open frontiers with the West made it possible for large numbers of Hungarians to leave once it was clear that the revolution had failedâwhole classes of people whom Stalin would have had shot or sent to the gulags simply walked across the frontier into Austria or West Germany, and from there moved on to the United Kingdom, Canada, and the United States. This Hungarian diaspora was not unlike the flight of educated, upper-middle-class Cubans to Miami after Castro seized power.
Hitherto, accounts of Soviet repression had been anecdotal, and many people on the left didnât believe them. The Chechens had been shipped in cattle cars in midwinter to exile in Siberia without their suffering having been recorded by photographers for Life, by cameramen for the network news shows, or by best-selling novelists; the gulags were out of sight (as well as, for most people in the West, out of mind); the murder of millions of kulaks during the collectivization process went undocumented; in short, the worst of Stalinâs crimes had gone unseen and had left almost no record. But Budapest was full of eyewitnesses, and events there were on the nightly news and the front pages in the West, impossible to ignore. Not only that; all this was, from the point of view of the press, âgreat stuffâ: burning buildings; tanks blown up by heroic schoolchildren with Molotov cocktails; weeping, wounded babies in the hospitals; students fighting the Red Army in the streets. These events were perfectly calculated to make ânews,â like something out of the pages of Evelyn Waughâs Scoop. Here was everything Lord Copper could have wantedâheroism in the streets, the release of an imprisoned cardinal, the secret police shot down by angry civilians, and beautiful girls cradling submachine guns.
The hapless Russians were caught in the full glare of the Western news machine, blinking in the face of flashbulbs and growling with rage, like an adulterous husband caught in flagrante delicto by the Fleet Street press corps. As if that were not bad enough, the great numbers of Hungarians who escaped after the revolutionâand who were speedily settled in the West, to assuage Westernersâ guilt for not having intervened in or supported the revolutionâkept the event alive in peopleâs imagination for many years; so, unlike most news stories, this one did not fade quickly from peopleâs minds. People had seen, with their own eyes, what Soviet repression was like; it was not quickly forgotten on either side of the Iron Curtain; and great sympathy was extended to those who had survived and escaped it.
When Talleyrand was told the news of Napoleonâs execution of the duke dâEnghien and asked what he thought of what was then regarded by many people as a state crime, he replied, âIt is worse than a crimeâit is a blunder.â
Much the same can be said of the Hungarian Revolution. It was a blunder of historic proportions on the part of the Soviet Union. The initial demands of the Hungarians could have been met, perhaps not totally, but partiallyâcertainly enough to restore order. âSocialism with a human face,â as it was later called, could have been put in place in Hungary and might have spread to the rest of the Soviet Unionâs eastern European empire, and the Warsaw Pact could have been turned into a genuine alliance. Instead, the governments of the peopleâs democracies, for their own survival, were obliged to tighten the screws on their own people. The mailed fist was henceforth the only official political answer to any problem; and it became clear, even to those who had not hitherto been willing to believe it, that the only way forward to a better life would require the destruction of the whole communist system, and the complete removal of Russian armed forces from eastern Europe.
An account of that eventâundoubtedly a turning point in the full meaning of the phraseâseems appropriate fifty years after it occurred, when we can see, quite clearly, to borrow the words of Winston Churchill, that while it was not the end, or even the beginning of the end, it was, perhaps, the end of the beginning. The uprising in Budapest in October 1956 marked the first and most significant failure of the Soviet Union in its hard-won role as the dominant power in eastern Europe, as well as a monumental public failure in foreign relations (and public relations) for the heirs of Stalin. After 1956, Soviet policy in eastern Europe seesawed between timid attempts to soften the grasp of the party and the police, and to allow each country a little more freedom in terms of its own special historical institutions and valuesâfor example, not trying too hard to eliminate private farming in Hungary, or turning a blind eye to the role of the Catholic church in Polandâand halfhearted threats of force, which achieved little except to keep alive the feeling among eastern Europeans that the Soviet Union, communism, and the Red Army were their enemies, and that their own governments were merely collaborationists and traitors.
This feeling was exacerbated by the fact that from the point of view of the Russians, the eastern Europeans, to paraphrase Harold Macmillan, ânever had it so good.â However grim, grimy, and impoverished life might seem to Western visitors in Prague, East Berlin, Budapest, or Warsaw, it was a good deal better than life in Moscow or Leningrad, let alone in the more remote industrial cities in the Soviet Union. The fact that agriculture had been only halfheartedly collectivized in the eastern European countries led to a greater abundance of food; besides, the eastern European countries had not experienced the full horrors of Leninism and Stalinism from 1917 on. Most of them still had a substantial educated middle class, however much it was shorn of political rights and property, and some tradition of bourgeois democracy. The party might try to discourage religious belief, but the churches had not been eradicated any more than the peasants had been turned into kolkhozniki (collective farmers). From the Russian point of view, the countries of eastern Europe had nothing to complain about. This made it all the more irritating that they did nothing but complain.
Worse, the increasing inability of the Soviet Union to hold its satellite states down and impose orthodox Stalinist-Leninist politics on themâthe realization that nothing but brute force, brutally applied, could prevent the Hungarians and the Czechs from moving toward a free market economy; or the Poles from going to church and forming independent labor unions; or the East Germans from trying to escape to West Germany despite the Wall; or the Romanians from hating the ruling Ceausescu familyâeventually forced the Soviet Union to relax its hold on eastern Europe. Even a world power could do only so many things at once. The Russians were trapped in an extravagantly expensive arms race with the United States; sponsoring revolutions as far abroad as Central America and Africa; supporting a host of Middle Eastern âclientsâ; attempting to suppress rebellion in Georgia, Afghanistan, and most of their own southern border republics; and competing with the increasingly obdurate Chinese for leadership of the communist world. The Russiansâ economy was hopelessly overcentralized; their industrial base, except when it came to military production, was antiquated; agricultural production was declining; and the Russians themselves, in the dawning new age of satellite television and personal computers, were for the first time exposed to the temptations of the Western consumer economyâtemptations which the planners in the Politburo were unable to stifle or to satisfy. The Soviet Union was thus in no position to use force in eastern Europe, even had it wanted to; and as the Soviet army bogged down in Afghanistanâthe Russian equivalent of Americaâs involvement in Vietnamâeven confidence in the army began to wane. The Soviet Union was not yet a paper tiger, but it was in the process of becoming one, and its troops in the eastern European countries began to be pitied rather than feared.
It was Gorbachevâs great and fatal miscalculation to assume that he could allow the eastern European countries to give up communism yet still preserve it at home. In fact, the collapse of communism in the Soviet Unionâs client states inevitably led to its swift disappearance in Russia as well. The system collapsed like a house of cards, with a swiftness that astonished everyone.
The Hungarians had been the first to grasp that the idol had feet of clay, and the first to try to destroy itâthe toppling of Stalinâs huge statue in Budapest in October 1956 was deeply symbolicâbut the Russians, having suppressed the Hungarian Revolution, failed to learn a lesson from the experience. They expanded their role as a world powerâa nuclear superpower, competing with the United States all over the worldâwithout trying to solve the problems (or, in Marxist terms, the âcontradictionsâ) in their own backyard; and eventually ferment and dissent close to home fatally undercut the regime. It took twenty-five years for the Hungarians to win the battle they had begun (and lost) in October 1956, but in the end they did win. As Russians said to each other, with bitter irony, in 1988, while Soviet institutions collapsed around them, paraphrasing a favorite communist slogan, âFor seventy years we have been on the road to nowhere.â
This book will try to explain first of all how the Hungarian Revolution came about, and, of necessity, to explain to the reader how Hungary came to be in the position it was in as of 1956; and then to trace the events of 1956 both as history and in terms of my own experience there (which will likewise require a bit of explanation).
Like most significant historical events, the Hungarian Revolution did not take place by accident or in a vacuum; but neither was it carefully planned, as the Russians wanted the world to believe. In retrospect, of course, all thingsâor most of themâare clear, but the various strands that brought the Hungarians into armed conflict with the Soviet Union require a fairly patient unraveling if they are to be understood. Some things can probably never be completely sorted outâthe importance of Radio Free Europe in encouraging the Hungarians to take up arms and to believe that the United States would support them, for example; or the involvement of the British government and MI6 in goading the Hungarians to fight in order to tie up the Soviet Union in the streets of Budapest while the United Kingdom, France, and Israel invaded Egyptâbut I will do my best to distinguish fantasy from reality.
Countermyths have grown up too, of course, some of which were dreamed up by the KGB at the time of the uprising and have taken root and flourished over the decadesâthat the Freedom Fighters were right-wing anti-Semites, for instance; or that the entire episode was the work of Western intelligence agencies, a CIA plot from the start.
At the time, it looked on the contrary very much as if the Western powers were trying to calm the situation down and hold the Hungarians back, rather than supply them with weapons or help of any kind, but appearances in such matters can be deceiving. Certainly, the Hungarians were disappointed not to receive any concrete help from the Wes...