PART ONE
TARGET 2020:
SOIL
CHAPTER ONE
Table for One Billion: To See Our Future, Visit Sunny India
Then there were the signs of the twenty-first century creeping out of the city towards the rural areas, along the road that is like a wick, drawing change to the villages and farms. Aurangabad was founded in 1610, and at least for the past fifty years, the city has been a sleepy town in an arid agricultural area where farmers grew grains such as sorghum and millet and, more recently, cash-crop cotton. Thatâs now changing. Today Aurangabad is one of Indiaâs fastest-growing cities, in large part because manufacturing industries have moved here. In 2007, the UK-based International Institute for Environment and Development listed the city as one of the top 100 fastest-growing large urban areas in the world, and according to the Indian census, between 2001 and 2011, Aurangabadâs population jumped from 2.8 to 3.6 million. About 65 percent of those people are under thirty-five years old.
When I visited, the cityâs first traffic lights had recently been erected in an attempt to control the growing number of motorbikes, rickshaws, trucks, and cars. Before the installation of the stoplight, a policeman wearing white gloves had directed traffic at the intersection where the road to Bidkin forks off. He now looked hopelessly at the mess of vehicles that continued past the red signal. A nearby billboard advertised a new flavour of artisanal ice cream, an appeal to a growing middle class. Then, farther along the Bidkin road, towards the outskirts of the city, fallow fields were interspersed with new housing developments of concrete multi-storey buildings. Farther still, there were signs for future construction projects. One sign, for the Sai Labh Enclave, promised âThe Touch of Luxury and Comfort Livingâ in its bungalows, row houses, and flats. And even farther down the road to Bidkin, a man and a boy led a herd of goats through a roadside field to graze under yet another billboard offering building plots for sale. In the previous four years, the price of real estate had increased fivefold here. This is what some people call India Shining.
After that, the factories began: the steel mill with a tall chimney exuding a constant stream of black smoke, the paper mill, a plastics plant, and the Videocon campus, one of Indiaâs largest manufacturers of fridges, air conditioners, and televisions. And all along the road near the Videocon factory were little white shacks cobbled together from the Styrofoam packaging in which the electronics components likely arrived before the products were assembled in Aurangabad. Then finally: Bidkin. A bustling place, with its own collection of roadside stalls near the central bus station. This is the town where farmers come from the vicinity every Wednesday to weigh and then sell, depending on the season, their cotton or their sugarcane at the state-run wholesale market or visit the Bidkin bazaar to buy food and supplies.
But I was heading beyond Bidkin to visit a smaller village, Dhangaon. I was on my way to visit a woman named Chandrakala Bobade, an organic farmer whom I had met a few days before at a meeting in Bidkin of women farmers. Chandrakalabaiâthe âbaiâ appended as a term of respectâis a leader in her community, in a region where more than a thousand other small farmers have managed to build a resilient local food system that doesnât rely on expensive inputs. In so doing, they have improved their livelihoods and changed lives, particularly the lives of village women. And quite inadvertently, these farmers are proving that small-scale organic farming can feed a country the size of India. They are showing that their way of producing and selling food is an important part of a new sustainable food system that can feed us into the future.
I liked Chandrakalabai right away. I liked her thoughtfulness and how she smiled with her eyes. We got to know each other over several days, though we were unable to talk directly with each other. Chandrakalabai speaks Marathi, which I donât understand, and she didnât speak any English. We could communicate only through a translator. Despite the cultural gulf that existed between us, there were nevertheless certain details of her life she shared with me that I could relate to: the love a mother feels towards a child; the desire to work hard and to make a comfortable home for the family. She told me of her need to get away to a quiet place to do her workâshe enjoys walking the few kilometres to the small shelter made from branches and straw at the edge of her fields and sit in its shade, surrounded by her crops and the sounds of birds, to do her paperwork.
The morning I arrived in her village of Dhangaon, Chandrakalabai had called a group of women to gather at her small house. It was an old stone house with a carved wooden door painted bubble-gum pink. The house was well kept. Inside were a four-poster bed, two plastic lawn chairs, a television, a machine to crush chilies into powder, and, taking up about a third of the small space, a heap of her recently harvested cotton crop that she was storing to sell as soon as the wholesale price went up. On the wall were two hand-painted murals of Hindu gods as well as old family photos. There was no kitchen in the house. Chandrakalabai had done so well as an organic farmer over the last decade that she had been able to buy another plot of land across the street to build a kitchen house, with running water and a stove. The toilet, another sign of prosperity, was outside, attached to the living quarters.
The group of us squeezed onto the bed, the chairs, and the heap of cottonâit felt soft and cozy, just as youâd imagine a pile of freshly picked cotton wouldâand the women began to tell me about their farms. There was Kavita, a young, smiling kindergarten teacher and cotton farmer, who soon had to excuse herself to go to class; there was Smita, who grew cotton and the yellow pigeon peasâtoor dalâthat are a staple, and a woman named Duarka, who grew cotton and chilies. Over the next half-hour, more women arrived, pressing into the small room to tell me of their farms and of how their lives had improved since switching to organic methods. âItâs profitable because it is less cost,â explained Nanda, who grew cabbage, sugar cane, bananas, and sweet lime, a delicious citrus fruit as big as a baseball with green skin and orange pulp and the taste of a mild orange.
All their stories were similar to Chandrakalabaiâs. About twenty years ago, she was a typical subsistence farmer, growing millet, sorghum, vegetables, and cotton using the tools of modern agriculture such as hybrid seeds, chemical pesticides, and fertilizers derived from fossil fuelsâwhen she could afford them. She struggled. Then, in the early 1990s, Chandrakalabai heard about a way of farming that didnât rely on any of these external inputs. A non-governmental organization working in the regionâthe Institute for Integrated Rural Development, where she is now employed part-time as an extension workerâtaught her about organic farming. Over a few years, she changed the way she farmed.
Chandrakalabaiâs story shows us that small farmers in the developing world can lessen their input costs and grow organically, which increases their yields. If they can then embed themselves in a local food system with a minimum of intermediaries between them and the consumer, they can earn more money and secure a better future. Itâs a simple story that has big implications for the rest of the world looking for an answer to how we can feed our growing population, sustainably, by 2050.
At the same time, the amount of available farmland is shrinking. Not only must existing farms be divided between more and more people as the population rises, but vast swaths of agricultural land are being turned into industrial areas for manufacturing. Between 1955 and 2001, around 2.3 million hectares in India have been taken over by growing cities.2 Around the capital, Delhi, 17 percent of the farmland disappeared to urbanization between 1992 and 2004.3 Land for growing food is also lost when soil is contaminated by agrochemicals, sewage sludge, and municipal garbage, and when mining and other resource-extracting industries take it over. Poor land management, such as allowing livestock to overgraze, leaves the soil vulnerable to erosion by wind and rain.
Agriculture employs about half of the Indian labour forceâdown from two-thirds in the last decadeâand the majority of Indians still live in rural areas. Yet the Indian farmer is struggling. After independence from Britain, India had a hard time feeding itself, and agriculture in the country was plagued by low productivity. The green revolution, which imported new growing technology such as pesticides and artificial fertilizers from the West, did change things, but these new tools came at a high price. Many small farmers in India spiralled into debt because they couldnât afford to pay for seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides. Chandrakalabai lives in the state of Maharashtra, known for its cotton-growing but also for its farmer suicides. Between 1997 and 2005, in Maharashtra alone, nearly twenty-nine thousand farmers killed themselves in despair, often by drinking the pesticides that had helped put them in debt. The problem isnât going away. According to a report published in the newsmagazine India Today during my visit, a farmer commits suicide in the country every thirty seconds.
Now add climate change to the mix. Climate modelling demonstrates that India is one of a handful of countries where agriculture will fare the worst. Because of the countryâs latitude near the hottest part of the earth, temperatures are predicted to rise to the point where plants such as wheat can no longer yield as much food. By 2020, according to the Indian Agricultural Research Institute, crop yields are expected to begin decreasing because of rising temperatures, though only marginally; the real drop it predicts will be felt about sixty years later. But the institute says that as soon as the 2020s, the warming conditions will affect livestock. It estimates that about 1.5 million tons of milk will be lost from the dairy industry that decade.4 By 2080, climate change will be so severe that India may experience crop losses of between 30 and 40 percent of todayâs yields.5
This is all happening at the same time that agricultural productivity is slipping while the countryâs demand for food is rising. The Indian Agricultural Research Institute predicts that by the 2020s, people there will require more food than the country currently produces. That decade, economists and agricultural analysts predict that demand for domestic cereals will exceed what the countryâs farmers can produce by more than 20 million tons.6 To put this number in perspective, in 2012, the wheat crop on the Canadian Prairies was around 26 million tons. To feed India in the 2020s using todayâs methods of industrial agriculture, the country would need to increase its agricultural land by almost the equivalent of a Prairiesâ worth of wheat. Either that or boost yields on the land people are already farming (when this is done sustainably it is called ecological intensification). With competing interests vying for that land, a growing population, and climate pressures, whatâs happening in the country has implications for the rest of the world. The challenges we face as a species are Indiaâs writ large.
A plan for feeding the future must also take water into consideration. Itâs not just India thatâs running out of the stuff. All around the world we are drawing on the earthâs freshwater aquifers faster than they can replenish. Globally, too, it is farming that uses the most water, outstripping manufacturing and industry. Of the total amount of water that we draw from rivers around the world, 70 percent goes to agriculture. According to the US Geological Survey, groundwater levels have dropped significantly as a result of overuse across the country, including in Massachusetts, New York, and Florida as well as in Oregon and Washington, where irrigation, the public water supply, and industry have together dropped water levels by as much as 100 feet.7 (In Canada, there hasnât been the same problem because surface water is generally used rather than groundwater.) Climate change will further limit the amount of water that will be available to grow our food. Spring runoff from mountain glaciers supplies water for irrigation in many areas, but now that the hotter global median temperature is melting these glaciers, the water source is increasingly limited. Further, melting glaciers are no longer able to capture spring precipitation, and water will run out to sea before farmers can use it.
If industrial food remains the status quo, we will continue to lose farmland, we will continue to drain freshwater aquifers and emit tonnes and tonnes of greenhouse gases. This will not serve us in the long term. To meet the grave challenges of the future without compromising the integrity of human life on planet Earth, we must immediately begin to support the kinds of farming systems that preserve rather than consume resources, and that benefit both the worldâs poorest farmers as well as the rich.
As Chandrakalabaiâs story shows us, the transition is possible.
CHAPTER TWO
Faster, Bigger, Richer, Weaker: The Trouble with the Green Revolution
She went to school in her uncleâs town and helped to care for her young cousin. But she was bored in class and left school in grade seven. When she was fifteen, her parents arranged her marriage to a twenty-four-year-old.
That was when she arrived in Dhangaon. If it is a sleepy village today, with only a small school, a big old tree in the main square, and a few sun-beaten streets lined with small houses, back in 1975 it was even sleepier. There wasnât much to do, so Chandrakalabai went to work as a paid day-labourer in the cotton fields that were more than an hourâs walk away. Her husband left to study for his bachelor of arts, and it was her mother-in-law who taught her how to farm. âI hadnât worked before, so I wasnât used to it. And it wasnât easy work,â she said. A year after she was married, her first son was born. When this son was a year old, she had another boy, who later died of measles. A third son passed away when he was only seven days old. Chandrakalabai ...