Economics

Savings Investment Identity

The Savings Investment Identity is an economic concept that states that total savings in an economy must equal total investment. In other words, the amount of money saved by individuals and businesses must be equal to the amount of money invested in capital goods and structures. This identity is a key principle in understanding the relationship between savings and investment in an economy.

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7 Key excerpts on "Savings Investment Identity"

  • Book cover image for: Principles of Economics 3e
    • Steven A. Greenlaw, David Shapiro, Daniel MacDonald(Authors)
    • 2022(Publication Date)
    • Openstax
      (Publisher)
    The only way that domestic investment can exceed domestic saving is if capital is flowing into a country from abroad. After all, that extra financial capital for investment has to come from someplace. Now consider a trade surplus from the standpoint of the national saving and investment identity: In this case, domestic savings (both private and public) is higher than domestic investment. That extra financial capital will be invested abroad. This connection of domestic saving and investment to the trade balance explains why economists view the balance of trade as a fundamentally macroeconomic phenomenon. As the national saving and investment identity shows, the performance of certain sectors of an economy, like cars or steel, do not determine the trade balance. Further, whether the nation’s trade laws and regulations encourage free trade or protectionism also does not determine the trade balance (see Globalization and Protectionism). Exploring Trade Balances One Factor at a Time The national saving and investment identity also provides a framework for thinking about what will cause trade deficits to rise or fall. Begin with the version of the identity that has domestic savings and investment on the left and the trade deficit on the right: Now, consider the factors on the left-hand side of the equation one at a time, while holding the other factors constant. As a first example, assume that the level of domestic investment in a country rises, while the level of private and public saving remains unchanged. Table 23.6 shows the result in the first row under the equation. Since the equality of the national savings and investment identity must continue to hold—it is, after all, an identity that must be true by definition—the rise in domestic investment will mean a higher trade deficit. This situation occurred in the U.S. economy in the late 1990s.
  • Book cover image for: Principles of Macroeconomics 3e
    • David Shapiro, Daniel MacDonald, Steven A. Greenlaw(Authors)
    • 2022(Publication Date)
    • Openstax
      (Publisher)
    The only way that domestic investment can exceed domestic saving is if capital is flowing into a country from abroad. After all, that extra financial capital for investment has to come from someplace. Now consider a trade surplus from the standpoint of the national saving and investment identity: In this case, domestic savings (both private and public) is higher than domestic investment. That extra financial capital will be invested abroad. This connection of domestic saving and investment to the trade balance explains why economists view the balance of trade as a fundamentally macroeconomic phenomenon. As the national saving and investment identity shows, the performance of certain sectors of an economy, like cars or steel, do not determine the trade balance. Further, whether the nation’s trade laws and regulations encourage free trade or protectionism also does not determine the trade balance (see Globalization and Protectionism). Exploring Trade Balances One Factor at a Time The national saving and investment identity also provides a framework for thinking about what will cause trade deficits to rise or fall. Begin with the version of the identity that has domestic savings and investment on the left and the trade deficit on the right: Now, consider the factors on the left-hand side of the equation one at a time, while holding the other factors constant. As a first example, assume that the level of domestic investment in a country rises, while the level of private and public saving remains unchanged. Table 10.6 shows the result in the first row under the equation. Since the equality of the national savings and investment identity must continue to hold—it is, after all, an identity that must be true by definition—the rise in domestic investment will mean a higher trade deficit. This situation occurred in the U.S. economy in the late 1990s.
  • Book cover image for: Shaking the Invisible Hand
    eBook - PDF

    Shaking the Invisible Hand

    Complexity, Endogenous Money and Exogenous Interest Rates

    I tell students that respect for identities is the first piece of wisdom that distinguishes economists from others who expiate on economics. The second? … Identities say nothing about causation. James Tobin, 1997: 300 The extent to which one sees one’s destination before one discovers the route is the most obscure problem of all in the psychology of original work. … It is the destination which one sees first, [though] a good many of the destinations so seen turn out to be mirages. John Maynard Keynes, Moggridge, 1992: 552 7.1 Volitional and non-volitional saving Economists have long viewed saving and investment as independent behavioral relationships undertaken by households, firms, and governments. Business firms, the administrators of the economy’s capital stock, are responsible for most invest- ment spending. Households, the ultimate owners of the economy’s private net worth, undertake most of the economy’s saving. Governments tax and spend. They save by running a budget surplus and not spending all their income. But saving and investment are identical ex post as a national income identity. The unresolved question concerns the mechanism that brings these two alledgedly independent volitional magnitudes into ex post equality? B. J. Moore, Shaking the Invisible Hand © Basil John Moore 2006 The dilemma has conventionally been resolved by distinguishing ex ante (planned) saving and investment, which are not identical, from ex post saving and investment, which represent the definitional accounting identity. Classical and neoclassical economists have long regarded saving and investment ex ante as equilibrated in the market for loanable funds. Like commodities the supply and demand for funds were believed to be equilibrated by changes in their market price, which in the case of saving and investment is expressed as a rate of interest. Both saving and investment were regarded as the sum of the volitional decisions of individual savers and investors.
  • Book cover image for: The Failure of the "New Economics": An Analysis of the Keynesian Fallacies
    Saving and Investment have been so defined that they are necessarily equal in amount, being, for the community as a whole, merely different aspects of the same thing” (p. 74). But before he gets to this admission of identity, he has already made and expanded upon his contention of equality:
    “Whilst, therefore, the amount of saving is an outcome of the collective behavior of individual consumers and the amount of investment of the collective behavior of individual entrepreneurs, these two amounts are necessarily equal, since each of them is equal to the excess of income over consumption....Provided it is agreed that income is equal to the value of current output, that current investment is equal to the value of that part of current output which is not consumed, and that saving is equal to the excess of income over consumption...the equality of saving and investment necessarily follows. In short—
    “Income = value of output = consumption + investment. “Saving = income-consumption. “Therefore saving = investment (p. 63).” Now if, following the symbols used by the Keynesians, we let income be called Y, consumption C, investment I, and saving S, we arrive at the famous formulas: Y=I+C. S=Y–C. Therefore: I=S.
    All this is undeniable—provided we define these terms and symbols as Keynes in this chapter defines them. We cannot say that this use of these terms, or that these definitions, are wrong . If Keynes, in fact, had explicitly defined both “saving” and “investment” as meaning simply unconsumed output (which he never did do) then not only the equality but the identity of “saving” and “investment” would have been obvious.
    But while, to repeat, no usage or definition of words can be arbitrarily dismissed as “wrong,” we may properly ask some questions of it. Is it in accordance with common usage? Or does it depart so much from common usage as to cause confusion—in the mind of the reader, or of the user himself? Does it help, or hinder, study of the problems involved? Is it precise, or vague? And finally, is it used or applied consistently?
  • Book cover image for: A Violent World
    eBook - PDF

    A Violent World

    Modern Threats to Economic Stability

    • Jean-Hervé Lorenzi, Mickaël Berrebi(Authors)
    • 2016(Publication Date)
    The world’s macroeconomic trajectory has always been determined by the process that allows these two quantities, the amount of investment and the amount of savings, to come together ex-post, in which the level of balance is decisive for knowing whether or not the world can continue to grow significantly. Nothing is set in stone. That which determines savings will be radically changed for geostrategic reasons linked to the future forms of globaliza- tion and the reasons for changes in the money markets. Here again poli- tics could play a part in encouraging ageing societies not only to save but also to invest. This might be their major role in future years. The enigma of the balance between savings and investment Nothing has been discussed at greater length by economists than the balance between savings and investment. This has been the subject par excellence of political economics. A few reminders. For many people savings are synonymous with the virtues of a provident and prudent householder, the bourgeois, whose features have so often been sketched by men of letters. Yet it is but a small step between savings and the accumulation of capital. The bour- geois then becomes a businessman who reinvests his savings in the endless cycle of the accumulation of capital. Investment or, if you prefer, Savings, the Ultimate Rare Resource 127 the formation of fixed capital, is made by companies or households in durable goods destined for use in production or domestic activity. The scene is set, the terms defined. The issue becomes a more sensitive one if one asks questions about what determines savings and investment. The question could then be legitimately asked as to the possibility of an excess or insufficiency of savings and thus of under-consumption or over-consumption. The first theoretical consideration on the subject was provided by Adam Smith.
  • Book cover image for: The U.s. Savings Challenge
    eBook - PDF

    The U.s. Savings Challenge

    Policy Options For Productivity And Growth

    • Charls E. Walker, Mark A Bloomfield, Margo Thorning(Authors)
    • 2020(Publication Date)
    • Routledge
      (Publisher)
    This has important consequences that have been widely acknowledged in recent discussions of the U.S. saving rate and the trade deficit. The accounting identity that holds that the current account balance of payments is, in the absence of capital transfers, equal to the difference between saving and investment has played a central role in recent discussions of the twin U.S. deficits. The low U.S. saving rate is held primarily responsible for the trade, or more broadly, the balance-of-payments current account deficit. It is indeed most im-portant that the balance of payments is discussed within the context of national saving and investment rates. But it is also necessary to recognize that at different stages of economic development, countries may vary in their structural saving and investment rates with the implication that balance-of-payments deficits and surpluses are phenom-ena that may persist over many years-and indeed did so in the nineteenth century. Therefore, such occurrences should no longer be seen, as they were in the 1960s, as symptoms of policy failure. The debate in the United States on this issue has lacked an important dimension by focusing exclusively on developments in saving and trade within the United States; this focus fails to take into account that the world economy is a closed economy. Despite the efforts of international statisticians, it is not possible for the world to have a balance-of-payments deficit with itself. It is instructive to examine the behavior of saving rates in the developed world. Table 6.3 shows national net saving rates for the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s in the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the OECD countries as a whole. It is striking that in the United States as well as in the OECD there was a marked 110 Mervyn A. King fall in saving rates in the 1980s. It is possible that part of the fall in saving rates in the OECD can be attributed to a reduction in capital outflows to the Third World.
  • Book cover image for: The Making of Harrod's Dynamics
    'Savings equal investment' sums up all this stuff in three words. (ii) All reference to 'forced savings' etc. are meaningless. (iii) It makes no difference wh at part the banking system is playing in supplying credit or taking charge of hoarded funds. (iv) The rate of interest cannot be determined by the 'supply and demand of savings'. (Kahn to Harrod, 1 Nov. 1934) Kahn also argued in favour of the use of the 'common sense' defi- nition of saving in trade cycle theory, introducing into the debate the not ion of the multiplier: As regards the trade cycle, the new definition is also very help- ful. Employment is always such as to provide that income out of which people, with their given propensity to save, will in part save an amount equal to investment. A change in investment simply alters output by an amount determined by the 'multiplier'. The whole thing thus reduces to a study of the causes of changes in the rate of investment. (ibid.) Harrod found Kahn's reply 'paradoxical', in particular the state- ment that the saving-investment equality implies that the rate of in te rest must be determined elsewhere: 'That is simply frightful, though I have no doubt you could justify it' (Harrod to Kahn, 17 Nov. 1934). Harrod's first approach to the critical implications for the traditional theory of interest was thus complete bewilder- ment; and, as we shall see (section 7.4), even after prolonged discussions with Keynes, Harrod never accepted the logic of this line of attack.
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