The Coordinated Authoritarian Eurasian Superpower Challenge

Quadrology

Goeran B Johansson

• Editore: Goeran B Johansson
• Anno: 2022
• ISBN:
  9789198551365
• Edizione: 1
• Argomento: Politik & Internationale Beziehungen
• Categoria: Geopolitik

The quadrology´s four books covers the entire dramatic global strategic development since the Kosovo war in 1999. Russia and China's cooperation in the BRICS, SCO, the Ukraine crisis in 2014, Syria, the dramatic development in the South China Sea, the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2020, and its implications for the US global leadership.
Dialogues appear in parts 1 to 2 between the author and the American and Swedish highly ranked retired military and a Russian geostrategist in Vietnam in 2013. The military development is analyzed in detail.
Finally, a summary analysis of more than fifty pages follows, which includes the very latest dramatic development around the US epic chaos-influenced retreat from Afghanistan and the development of events from November 2021 until May 9, 2022.
Following the attack on Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Russia is on the front lines against the Anglo-Saxon Western world. Yet, except for French Guiana in Latin America, the rest of the world refuses to follow the West's sanctions policy against Russia.
In the near future, the struggle between Russia and the Anglo-American Western world will have the character of a positional political and economic war, and whoever first gives up will lose.
If Russia falls, Eurasia's authoritarian superpowers will fall, and the Anglo-American Western world will take over globally.
But if the Anglo-American Western world falls, Eurasia's authoritarian superpowers, Russia and China, will have crushing world domination in control of the World Island, Eurasia, and Africa.
Extensive list of sources and abundantly illustrated

Russia's and China's Joint Strategy

Both Russia and China cooperate in the BRICS and the SCO. In the South China Sea case, it necessarily means that Russia does not directly support the Chinese claims on the 9-dash line in the area. But the mere facts that Russia does not want the issue to be subject to internationalization make China feel that they indirectly support Russia. China also supports the full range of countries, of which the heaviest is Russia. Still, evidence suggests that Russia wants to distance itself from this problem and wants China to make up bilaterally with the sea states in question.

Maria Zacharova 162 has said that Russia does not want to become embroiled in the controversy and therefore not take a position on any parties. But China has been lenient with the Russian position because they do not want States outside the region to interfere in their area. In plain language, both Russia and China do not want an internationalization clause. That is to prevent the United States from relying on international arbitration.” As it has done previously, Beijing will still count Russia on the list of states that support China in its defiance of any arbitration and this week’s PCA ruling in particular. Moscow is unlikely to make clarifications, let alone take back words or make excuses, to avoid irritating its strategic partner.”

China, however, has widespread and compact international support for its claim from over 70 countries 163. Including a majority of the third world, much of Eurasia and Africa. Significantly, the Anglo-American States, Australia, and Japan support the Philippines. Fascinating and of immense strategic importance given the planned new Silk Road from China to Duisburg in Germany via Kazakhstan, Russia, Belarus, Poland is the fact that the EU countries abstained, as well as Ukraine, Turkey, and that Poland, according to the map, as well as Belarus, Serbia, Montenegro supports China. Large parts of Latin America have abstained, and only Venezuela, Grenada, and the Dominican Republic in the Caribbean support China.

However, some argue that Russia made China disappointed 164 by supporting the Philippines. Mu Chunsan at The Diplomat says, “In my eyes, however, this does not mean that Russia is of two minds in its relationship with China.” Chunsan takes up four things that complicate the relationship, and number one is that the US and the Philippine relationship is entirely different from that of Russia and China. For example, the US and the Philippines have a defense agreement, which Russia and China do not have, and it is the same thing with the US and Japan.

Secondly, he believes that: “Russia enjoys good relations with countries bordering the South China Sea and does not need to offend Southeast Asia for the sake of China. As noted above, Russia is not enthusiastic about publicly backing China on the South China Sea issue. One of the most important reasons for this is that Russia enjoys good relations with many of the Southeast Asian countries,”

Thirdly, Russia doesn't have to immediately confront the US over the South China Sea. Russia is currently focused on Europe, especially in the occurring crisis in Ukraine that is already a modified confrontation between the West and Russia.” “Given this, Russia has neither the desire nor the ability to confront the U.S. in the South China Sea,” he added and continued,” The U.S. is only an influencing factor, not a determining factor that will determine the future of the situation. In this context, as an outsider and bystander, Russia has even less of a motivation to support China and criticize the U.S.”

Fourth, China's development indeed caused some concern in Russia. For some Western observers, the scuffle between China and other countries in the South China Sea can assist in controlling the Chinese "expansion" in other regions.

He concludes: “In Russia, there has always been some concern that China’s development will lead to the Russian Far East being gradually “occupied” by the Chinese, with this vast territory, along with its resources, becoming fodder for China’s development. Although Russian officials are optimistic about the potential for cooperation in the Far East, they have never for a moment relaxed their guard against China’s so-called “territorial expansion.” he said.

Chunsan is definitely within a contextually exciting topic. But even if Russia does not want to take a stand for China against the other Border States to the South China Sea, one can be sure that Russia supports China fully against the US's intentions to restrain China. There will be a joint Russian-Chinese naval exercise in the area 165 to emphasize this fact. Furthermore, China supports Russia fully in Ukraine and Syria as the destabilization of these states is a formidable threat to the full integration of the Eurasian landmass and the new Silk Road, which will connect Europe with China via Russia.

To get a simple overview of what is happening, we must look at Alexander Dugin's theses from the book "Foundation of Geopolitics." This book describes what the world should look like for Russia to be assertive, whether based on communism or tsarism but instead as a unique Russian civilization within Eurasianism. In addition, this book is a model for the Russian military that may also be noted in this context.

” In Europe: Germany should be offered the de facto political dominance over most Protestant and Catholic states located within Central and Eastern Europe. For example, Kaliningrad oblast could be given back to Germany. The book uses the term "Moscow-Berlin axis.

France should be encouraged to form a "Franco-German bloc" with Germany. Both countries have a "firm anti-Atlanticist tradition.

The United Kingdom should be cut off from Europe.

Finland should be absorbed into Russia. Southern Finland will be combined with the Republic of Karelia, and northern Finland will be "donated to Murmansk Oblast

Estonia should be given to Germany's sphere of influence.

Latvia and Lithuania should be given a "special status" in the Eurasian-Russian sphere.

Poland should be granted a "special status" in the Eurasian sphere.”

Romania, Macedonia, "Serbian Bosnia," and Greece – "Orthodox collectivist East" – will unite with the "Moscow the Third Rome" and reject the "rational-individualistic West.

Russia should annex Ukraine because Ukraine as a state has no geopolitical meaning, no particular cultural import or universal significance, no geographic uniqueness, no ethnic exclusiveness, its specific territorial ambitions represents an enormous danger for all of Eurasia and, without resolving the Ukrainian problem, it is in general senseless to speak about continental politic. Ukraine should not be allowed to remain independent unless it is cordon sanitaire, which would be inadmissible.”

In the Middle East and Central Asia:

The book stresses the "continental Russian-Islamic alliance," which lies "at the foundation of anti-Atlanticist strategy." The alliance is based on the "traditional character of Russian and Islamic civilization. Iran is a key ally. The book uses the term "Moscow-Tehran axis. Armenia has a special role and will serve as a "strategic base," and it is necessary to create "the [subsidiary] axis Moscow-Erevan-Teheran." Armenians "are an Aryan people (like) the Iranians and the Kurds. Azerbaijan could be "split up" or given to Iran.

Georgia should be dismembered. Abkhazia and "United Ossetia" (including Georgia's South Ossetia) will be incorporated into Russia. Georgia's independent policies are unacceptable.

Russia needs to create "geopolitical shocks" within Turkey. These can be achieved by employing Kurds, Armenians, and other minorities.

The book regards the Caucasus as a Russian territory, including "the eastern and northern shores of the Caspian (the territories of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan)" and Central Asia (mentioning Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kirghistan, and Tajikistan).

In Asia:

“China, which represents a danger to Russia, "must, to the maximum degree possible, be dismantled." Dugin suggests that Russia start by taking Tibet-Xinjiang-Mongolia-Manchuria as a security belt. Russia should offer China help "in a southern direction – Indochina (except Vietnam), the Philippines, Indonesia, Australia" as geopolitical compensation. Next, Russia should manipulate Japanese politics by offering the Kuril Islands to Japan and provoking anti-Americanism. Finally, Mongolia should be absorbed into Eurasia-Russia.”

The book emphasizes Russia's need to spread anti-Americanism everywhere, and the main scapegoat will be just the US.

In the United States:

“Russia should use its special forces within the United States' borders to fuel instability and separatism. For instance, provoke "Afro-American racists." Russia should "introduce geopolitical disorder into internal American activity, encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident movements – extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It would also make sense simultaneously to support isolationist tendencies in American politics."

“The Eurasian Project could be expanded to South and Central America.”

But the fourth political theory will go hand in hand with the "Foundation of Geopolitics," or the basics of geopolitics and those Alexander Dugin describes in the following way.

“To what constitutes the greatest threat to collective identities today are" system that kills people, "namely, the introduction of an 'across the board' system global h...