Customer Value and Enterprise Value
To see how customer value shapes enterprise value, letâs do a thought experiment involving search. Before the World Wide Web, according to Kevin Kelly (founding editor of Wired), U.S. searches added up to a staggering 111 billion a year, most of them directory assistance telephone calls, but also counting librarian queries. After the advent of search engines, people appear to be asking more questions: the measurement firm comScore estimated 2 billion searches per day, worldwide, as of December 2007.
In Kellyâs admittedly rough estimate, an unnamed Google employee hypothetically and unscientifically values these searches as follows. Letâs assume, he says, that
- 1/4 of all searches are really easy ones (like âamerican airlinesâ) that save the user maybe 30 seconds.
- 1/4 are a little hard and save maybe 5 minutes.
- 1/4 are just wasting time.
- 1/4 are hard ones that lead to substantial savingsâlike diagnosing your serious disease, or choosing the right college, or the right vacation destination.
- Suppose it takes 10 searches on average to get one of these âhardâ answers, but when you get it, youâve saved maybe 3 hours. That averages out to 6 minutes saved/search. Figure average income of $25,000/year, or $12.50/hr. So we get a value of $1.25/search by this metric.2
Assuming the U.S. audience as 1.2 billion searches per day at that $1.25 per search, and Googleâs market share of roughly 65 percent, that would mean that Google creates $1.5 billion of value for its U.S. users per day.
Now, these are unofficial numbers, and this is only a thought experiment, but even if the numbers are off by a factor of five, that still means that Google creates 25 cents of value with the average search, at a cost to serve in the range of .2 cents. That would represent a 100-fold ratio of customer well-being to cost, a stunning value proposition by any measure. Googleâs share price is a direct reflection of both this calculus and the advertising business model that allows it to be converted into revenue.
While stressing the role of customer value in enterprise value may sound like a truism, recent academic research suggests that theory and practice converge. The logic for moving from product or service provision into solution-centric business models is not only intuitive. In the past several decades, accounting-based value of a companyâs assets has reflected less and less of the stock market capitalization. In fact, as of 2003, the market value of the Fortune 500 was fully six times the book value.3 If physical capital and similar assets fail to explain the value of a company, the reasoning went, intangibles such as brand equity, goodwill, and intellectual property must be responsible.
A landmark study published in 2004 explored one such intangible, customer satisfaction, which the authors hypothesized was related to increased âshare of wallet,â improved customer retention and therefore cash flows, positive word of mouth, and other benefits. The research showed that a one point gain in customer satisfaction using standard metrics correlated to a 2.75 percent gain in shareholder value.4
More recently, a 2008 study used customer satisfaction metrics as a guide to portfolio creation, and the customer-satisfying portfolio outperformed groups of companies with either low or decreasing customer satisfaction scores.5 In both cases, positive customer experiences translated both to the bottom line and to stock market performance.
Our assertion that enterprise value derives from customer value is founded in experience, logic, and quantitative models.