Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management
- English
- ePUB (mobile friendly)
- Available on iOS & Android
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
Distinguishing Fact from Fiction in Population Health Management
About this book
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers introduces a unique viewpointto population health outcomes measurement: Results/ROIs should be presented as they are, not aswe wish they would be. This viewpoint contrasts sharply with vendor/promoter/consultant claims along two very important dimensions:
(1) Why Nobody Believes presents outcomes/ROIs achievable right here on this very planet…
(2) …calculated usingactual data rather than controlled substances.
Indeed, nowhere in healthcare is it possible to find such sharply contrasting worldviews, methodologies, and grips on reality.
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers i ncludes 12 case studies of vendors, carriers, and consultants who were apparently playing hooky the day their teacher covered fifth-grade math, as told by an author whose argument style can be so persuasive that he was once able to convince a resort to sell him a timeshare. Thebook's lesson: no need to believe what your vendor tells you -- instead you can estimate your own savings using "ingredients you already have in your kitchen." Don't be intimidated just because you lack a PhD in biostatistics, or even a Masters, Bachelor's, high-school equivalency diploma or up-to-date inspection sticker.
Why Nobody Believes the Numbers explains how todetermine if the ROIs are real...and why they usually aren't. You'll learn how to:
- Figure out whether you are "moving the needle" or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway
- Judge whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible
- Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that truly hold vendors accountable for results
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Information
Table of contents
- Cover
- Praise for Why Nobody Believes the Numbers
- Title Page
- Copyright
- Dedication
- Introduction
- Chapter 1: Actuaries Behaving Badly
- Chapter 2: Plausibility Testing: How to Measure Outcomes Using Ingredients You Already Have in Your Kitchen
- Chapter 3: Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind
- Chapter 4: Case Studies That Flunk Every Plausibility Test Known to Mankind and Then Some
- Chapter 5: Case Studies of Where, When, and How Wellness Programs Have Actually Worked
- Chapter 6: Yes, Virginia, There Is a Savings Clause
- Chapter 7: Disease Management Programs That Actually Work (Pinch Me)
- Chapter 8: Contracting/RFP Checklist of Do's and Don'ts (Mostly Don'ts)
- Appendix: The Keys to the Numerical Kingdom
- Author's Note on Sources
- Notes
- Glossary
- About the Author
- Bibliography and Further Reading
- Acknowledgments