1. Denarrativize!
You denarrativize a development narrative by insisting that âgetting the facts and figures right has to come before knowing what is the real story in question.â Something like this happens, for instance, every time negative academics (Robert Chambersâs term) rely on critique alone: they have simply shown that the official position has little or no empirical merits without, however, providing an effective alternative argument to the one they have so thoroughly discredited. Every reader knows of those wonderful tracts that painstakingly demolish a government or donor orthodoxy but which fall apart the minute they get to the sectionâif they get there at allâvariously called âpolicy implications.â There, the painstaking gives way to the painfully clear, in that no matter how effective the critique has been as a demolition job, it falls woefully short of developing a more feasible and implementable alternative to that which has been demolished. Still, criticism matters, if only in establishing just how objectionable the development narrative is.
The more general point is that because rural development is truly an uncertain enterprise and has been for a very long time, it is always (always) a fairly easy matter to denarrativize development scenarios simply by pointing out their factual shortcomings. To appreciate just how easy, I have purposively chosen three development narratives that have been considered by and large true within their own contexts.2
Narrative 1: The colonialists deserve little or none of the credit. The British are often said to have invested virtually nothing in the Bechuanaland Protectorate for much of the period prior to Independence in 1966. According to a former permanent secretary of Botswanaâs Ministry of Finance and Planning, âit is quite clear that nothing occurred between 1885 and 1955 which contributed significantly to Botswanaâs economic and financial development⌠It was a passive period, devoted to the avoidance of involvement, to the maintenance of a status quo.â This, and like narratives, have had great currency.3
The data do not warrant the conclusion. The period after 1955 was one of substantially greater development financed by Britain, but the pre-1955 period was far from static, at least in that sectorâlivestockâ which proved to be the countryâs growth engine for much of its history.
While the numbers are fragmentary, several trends were observed during the âstatus quoâ period prior to the mid-1950s. Between the census period of 1921 and 1956, cattle numbers rose from about half a million to slightly under 1.24 millionâan estimated 150 percent increaseâcompared to a 100 percent increase of the human population during roughly the same time (from some 153,000 to just short of 310,000). In addition, between those years for which we have comparable time series data, 1924 and 1954, cattle exports expanded from around 25,000 head to some 74,600 (an increase of some 200 percent). Income from recorded livestock sales and related products rose by more than a factor of ten between these years from ÂŁ120,385 to ÂŁ1,695,000, while the cattle-export price index increased less than 75 percent during the same time (from 69 to 119, with 1910 set to 100). What a status quo!
Narrative 2: Poor, female-headed households are major rural beer brewers and depend on the sale of that beer for much of their income? After Independence, the majority of rural households in Botswana continued to brew traditional beer, and many of these households sold beer at one time or another, though far fewer actually sold on a regular basis. A number of researchers commented on the importance of traditional beer sales to rural poor, female-headed households, and some argued that such households were major producers of that beer (for example, see Dahl, 1978 and Egner and Klausen 1980).
The data available at the time simply did not warrant that conclusion. Most traditional beer appears to have been produced by those who can afford to produce, namely, wealthier rural households. Kjaer-Olsen found that, on the basis of her 1980 survey of thirty-eight cash brewers in three villages, the majority of beer brewers âbelonged to the wealthier classes⌠In our sample, those who brewed for sale came predominately from households that were active in agriculture. 88% of those households that brewed for sale ploughed their own arable lands and of these, two-thirds did so with their own draught power.â In her 1979 survey, Vierich found that, while households holding twenty-two and more cattle accounted for some 29 percent of all households sampled, they accounted for nearly 70 percent of all households selling traditional beer. Similarly another study found that while 34 percent of the sampled households held sixteen or more head of cattle, they accounted for some 44 percent of all traditional beer sellers in that sample. A different study concluded that âonly relatively well-off households tend to brew [traditional beer], the capital outlay on equipment and ingredients being so high.â Other studies undertaken at roughly the same time found similar findings.
Narrative 3: Marginal lands are marginal.4 Well after Independence, some dry zones of sub-Saharan countries had faster rates of growth in per capita income, wage employment, and informal sector growth than did some of the agroecologically high potential areas. Although the percentage of the population in wage employment in Kenyaâs arid and semiarid lands (ASALs) was less than half that in non-ASAL areas, its annual growth rate was almost 50 percent higher. A similar trend was found in wage earnings per capita in that country. Nor was agriculture left behind in some ASAL areas: seven of the top ten Kenyan districtsâin terms of average annual growth rates in total and per capita crop and livestock sales between 1980 and 1985âwere classified as âASAL districts.â Similarly, project implementation rates for ASAL areas in Kenya were frequently no worse than they were for non-ASAL areas for projects like cattle dips and small-scale water supplies, at least in the early 1980s. In short, these ASAL areas were less âlow potentialâ and âmarginal landsâ than simply âlow densityâ in terms of human population.
Such examplesâand their number is legionâunderscore the problem with denarrativization: it increases uncertainty by undermining an existing development narrative without at the same time providing an alternative to take its place. In each example, some information has been found to construct a counternarrativeâthe colonialists did do something, wealthier households did produce traditional beer, marginal lands were not marginalâbut we would need much more to fill in the storyline of the counterscenarios than has been provided to this date.
2. Counternarrativize!
Narrative 4: The tragedy of the commons is found through sub-Saharan Africa. The profound limitations of denarrativization in the absence of generating an alternative development narrative to replace the one denarrativized are best shown in the use and abuse of the tragedy-of-the-commons scenario.
The most obvious feature of the tragedy of the commons is its status as narrative. Garrett Hardin goes out of his way to portray it as a story having all the classic properties of a beginning, middle, and end. âThe tragedy of the commons develops in this way. Picture a pasture open to allâŚ,â begins Hardin in what must be the most-quoted passage in all of the common property literature. Soon we are in the midst of the storyââthe rational herdsman concludes that the only sensible course for him to pursue is to add another animal to his herd. And another ⌠.But this is the conclusion reached by each and every rational herdsman sharing a commonsââand the end comes rapidly and palpably into sight: âRuin is the destination toward which all men rush, each pursuing his own best interest in a society that believes in the freedom of the commons.â5
The data simply do not warrant this conclusion. When the tragedy-of-the-commons argument is probed empiricallyâfor example, just what evidence is there for desertification caused by overgrazing?âthe evidence turns out to be much more ambiguous, or downright contradictory.6 Even where people agree with Hardin that range degradation is taking place and that many commons today are open-access free-for-alls, they often part company over causes. For these critics, long-term climatological changes coupled with expanding and competing land uses have led to degradation more than has the commons. A commons which, the critics hasten to add contra Hardin, was frequently managed in a restricted-access, not open-access, fashion until these outside pressures of climate and competing land uses undermined local management efforts.7
Hardin merits closer reading than some of his critics give him. âIt must not be supposed that all commons are bad in all situations,â he tells us; âwhen there were only a few million people in the world, it was all right to run the hunting grounds as a commons, though even then an area was no doubt often managed as tribal property.â8 Hardin is not saying the commons cannot be managed. Rather, âthe commons, if it is justifiable at all, is justifiable only under conditions of low-population density.â9 The crux of his argument is that herders find it to their individual advantage not to cooperate in limiting herd numbers or ensuring range quality even when herders recognize that the overall stocking rate on the commons exceeds its putative carrying capacity and that range deterioration and live-weight loss seem on the rise.10 In such a situation, corrective measures are largely outside the initiative of the individual herder. Either the commons has to be legislated as private property or other coercive devices, such as taxes and user regulations, have to be instituted from the outside.11
If we subscribe to Hardinâs full argument, we should then expect to find at least two states of affairs when a rangeland tragedy of the commons is said to exist. First, even where herders agree that the range is in poor or already heavily-stocked condition, they still act in a noncooperative, competitive fashion. They should evince few, if any, collective practices for managing that commons, which, in turn, encourages its further overutilization. Second, a tragedy of the commons supposes that a privatized rangeland will be better managed (e.g., have a measurably better range condition) than if it were a commons, other factors being equal.
The most thoroughgoing test of Hardinâs full-bodied version of the tragedy of the commons is found in a series of publications based on data collected during the 1979/80 Botswana Water Points Survey.12 These data allow us to address how applicable each element of Hardinâs argument is to rural eastern Botswana, an area of the country that has repeatedly...