Increasing Resilience to Climate Change in the Agricultural Sector in the Middle East

The Cases of Jordan and Lebanon

Dorte Verner, David R. Lee, Maximillian Ashwill, Robert Wilby

• Publisher: World Bank
• Year: 2013
• Topic: Economics
• eBook ISBN:
  9780821398449
• Subtopic: Environmental Economics
• Index: Economics

The increasing resilience to climate change in the agricultural sector report presents local-level priorities, informed by stakeholder input, to build agricultural resilience in both countries. The objectives of this study were threefold: (1) to improve the understanding of climate change projections and impacts on rural communities and livelihoods in selected regions of Jordan and Lebanon, specifically the Jordan River Valley and Lebanon's Bekaa Valley; (2) to engage local communities, farmers, local experts, and local and national government representatives in a participatory fashion in helping craft agricultural adaptation options to climate change; and (3) to develop local and regional climate change action plans that formulate recommendations for investment strategies and strategic interventions in local agricultural systems. The climate challenges confronting development in the Middle East are particularly stark. This region, and in particular its rural people, face what might be called a "triple threat" from climate change. First, the Middle East is already one of the driest and most water-scarce regions of the world (World Bank 2011a) and faces severe challenges posed by high temperatures and limited water supplies. This report to assist Jordan and Lebanon in understanding the specific challenges and opportunities posed by climate change in the agricultural sector.

Table of contents

• Cover
• Contents
• Acknowledgments
• Executive Summary
• Chapter 1 Introduction
• Chapter 2 Climate Change in Lebanon and Jordan
• Chapter 3 Priority Setting for Building Agricultural Resilience
• Chapter 4 Conclusions and Policy Options
• Appendix A: List of Stations Employed in Syria’s First National Communication
• Appendix B: Mann-Kendall Trend Statistics for Annual Precipitation, Mean Maximum, and Minimum Temperatures, Relative Humidity, Evaporation, and Sunshine Duration at Sites Across Jordan
• Appendix C: Predictor Variables for Downscaling Daily Mean Temperature (Top Panel) and Daily Precipitation (Bottom Panel) at Test Sites in Jordan, Lebanon, and the Syrian Arab Republic
• Appendix D: Changes in Seasonal and Annual Mean Temperature (°C) Downscaled From HadCM3 Under SRES A2 and B2 Emissions Scenarios for Selected Sites in Jordan, Lebanon, and the Syrian Arab Republic
• Appendix E: Changes in Seasonal and Annual Precipitation Totals (mm) Downscaled from HadCM3 Under SRES A2 and B2 Emissions Scenarios for Selected Sites in Jordan, Lebanon, and the Syrian Arab Republic
• Appendix F: Priority Elements of Draft Action Plan, Bekaa Valley
• Appendix G: Priority Elements of Draft Action Plan, Jordan River Valley
• Boxes
• Figures
• Maps
• Tables