1
Introduction
East Asia as an alternative modernity?
Complaints about the political apathy of many of todayâsâ reality TV and social-media-ridden students are not uncommon amongst baby-boom professors. Recently, eminent historian Mark Lilla of Columbia University deplored, in an article for Die Zeit, that very apathy, diagnosing it as one that affects not just American students but nowadays even Chinese students born after 1989. For Lilla, to animate the heady ideological battle of the Cold War in the classroom felt, at present, like a âpoet singing of the Lost Atlantisâ. He therefore ridiculed the Western impulse to prescribe âindividual freedomsâ as a quick fix to all the worldâs post-1989 problems.1
Lilla may be exaggerating the ideological vacuum left by communismâs downfall. For, as David Brooks recently suggested in The New York Times, the kind of âdemocratic complacencyâ that followed the Soviet Unionâs disintegration is now being quickly filled by global wonderment at the East Asian developmental state model. Brooks argued that authoritarian countries like Singapore, as just one example, seem âmore successful right nowâ in view of the economic and political malaise afflicting Washington since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.2
Following the fall of the Berlin Wall, Francis Fukuyama famously and quite sanguinely pronounced the triumph of American ideology as the âEnd of Historyâ.3 It was perhaps one of the classic cases of a social scientist lending oneself to what Butterfield dubbed as âWhigâ historiographical teleology, presenting the past as a linear progression towards liberal democracy around the world.4
Fukuyamaâs 1990s sanguinary is now assailed on several fronts, not least by Vladimir Putinâs second-term attempts at reincarnating Russian global influence in defiance of Washington, or the spectre of the so-called Islamic State (ISIS) sweeping to power in the Middle East on the back of two controversial American military interventions. There are emergent signs that Xi Jinping, the current leader of the ruling Communist Party of China (CPC), might opt, towards the end of his tenure, to more closely align with Putin by way of tempering American global hegemony.5
And here is the crux of the matter: in the long term, the biggest challenge to American hegemony is scarcely military; most analysts agree instead that Americaâs military cannot be surpassed any time before 2050. Rather, East Asiaâs success in general, and Chinaâs economic rise, in particular, are seen by more and more analysts as incrementally undermining American global leadership, even if it will take many more decades for Chinese per-capita income to reach developed-world levels. This perception is spread in no small measure because Xi Jinping has â in the face of patent military inferiority â conducted himself much more boldly on the world stage than Hu Jintao, stepping up Chinaâs assertive handling of the territorial disputes with Japan over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islets and with Vietnam and the Philippines over the South China Sea atolls. Concomitantly, under Xi, China has begun conjuring up an alternative vision for global leadership now widely termed as the âChina Modelâ.6
This nascent narrative is still riddled with internal contradiction, however. At the rhetorical level, it skirts between a âgreat awakeningâ (weida fuxing) and âdreamsâ (meng) of the Chinese people â an obvious oxymoron. On substance, political economists remain uncertain whether the Chinese experience of the last three decades of economic reform should be interpreted as an antidote or fillip to the reigning hegemony of neoliberalism.7 And as prominent economist Richard Burdekin has observed, Chinaâs efforts at turning the renminbi (RMB) into a veritable global reserve currency like the US$ or pound sterling are far from complete:8
Although a growing array of bilateral currency swaps and offshore renminbi centers have expanded RMB usage as far as Europe, Africa and South America, the most long-established offshore RMB market remains Hong Kong.
It would thus be helpful to evaluate the supposed exceptionalism of the Chinese developmental experience and the remit of Chinaâs global ambition on the premise that historical objectivity is always open to (re)evaluation.9
The basic goal of this book is to examine the historical framing of the China Model discourse compared with perceptions of the broader East Asian and Western trajectories. It proceeds from two angles. First, we seek to problematise the historical basis of what many in the advanced âFirst Worldâ, particularly in America, used to see as their superior model of governance. Second, we posit the alternative âChina Modelâ as similarly problematic upon re-examining its historical record.10
This double complication circumvents the question whether this recently much-discussed regulatory prototype can be abstracted and empirically concretised. Addressing this question presupposes the existence of an internally coherent and objective template, from which deviations or alignments can be ascertained, whilst in reality, the postulation of putatively superior models and their (by implication inferior) alternatives more accurately reflect wishful thinking and psychological needs on the part of their proponents. In the final analysis, the current enthusiasm, in some quarters, of the international media (particularly in western Europe and North America) about the âChina Modelâ may have nothing to do with China per se, but more to do with the decline of self-celebrated models that are in and of themselves ideal-typical abstractions rather than historically grounded entities. Similarly, triumphant portrayals of Chinese exceptionalism by China-based scholars have been predicated on a troubled Mao-era legacy, the implications of which remain unclear for understanding the increasingly fragmented and globally involved Chinese political economy today.
Emerging insecurity about neoliberal superiority
Commentator Joshua Ramo has famously lumped various threads of that narrative under the rubric âBeijing Consensusâ. Subsequently, that narrative took on new dimensions, both in China and the abroad, countervailing along the way the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank as the organs behind globalising Anglo-American neoliberal discourse (âWashington Consensusâ).11 Why then has Beijingâs narrative attracted so much attention if the Chinese experience is, in reality, so hard to define? Mainly, it would appear, because of an emergent insecurity amongst policymakers and the intelligentsia in western Europe and North America about the validity of their own social and political values, and the salubrity of their own societies.
Evidence to that effect can be found beyond Brookâs litanies about the loss of American dynamism and the bumbling of the Barack Obama administration. More importantly, a growing body of academic literature has built up over the last few years to underscore how grossly unequally distributed income has become in the West. Many economists, not just on the far left, now indict the Ronald ReaganâMargaret Thatcher project of neoliberalism for reversing the great post-war baby-boom march towards equal opportunity. Inequality seers like Paul Krugman, Joseph Stiglitz, Thomas Picketty or Luigi Zingales may not necessarily agree about the salubrity of the Chinese economy per se, but they certainly share a platform when it comes to inveighing against the godfathers of financial deregulation, which they see as underlying Americaâs post-2008 recession.12
To be sure, there has always been critical interest in American academe in the failings of the âsystemâ, and in democratic âoptimisationâ of economic outcomes. Buchanan and Tullockâs pioneering 1962 work on public choice is a case in point. They sought a free market-friendly mathematical formula that would curb the ability of vested-interest groups to bypass the will of the silent majority through, for example, âpork-barrellingâ swing voters or âlobbyingâ career politicians. However, in the 1960s, even studies such as Buchanan and Tullockâs were informed by the âgeniusâ of Americaâs founding fathers and its 1787 Constitution,13 whereas today many commentators of different partisan persuasions see the Constitution itself, if not the Unionâs whole political architecture, as anachronistic and unfit for purpose in that they paralyse decision-making in Washington.14
In search of new answers, the previously mentioned insecurity has resurrected interest in once-marginalised, âheterodoxâ economic theories, ranging from Mancur Olson, through Hyman Minsky through Wolf Ladejinsky, and Karl Polanyi to John K. Galbraith. All heterodox thinkers shared, in their time, deep-seated suspicion of the ability of free markets, or representative democracy for that matter, to pre-empt resource misallocation. In other words, they rejected in one way or another neoclassical economic theory. As has been argued elsewhere, this disillusionment with neoclassical diktat has also led to renewed interest in the lessons economic history, economic sociology and new institutional economics might offer, thus revitalising these three disciplines.15
Recent historically informed work by economists is now almost de rigueur, going well beyond left-leaning circles. Taking issue with the root causes of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, such work â ranging from Reinhart and Rogoffâs right-leaning This Time is Different, to Acemoglu and Robinsonâs more centrist Why Nations Fail â hankers back in its temporal scope several centuries earlier. At the same time, older work by contrarian economic historians and economists that has been somewhat neglected in 1980s, when neoliberalism was at its height, is now finding new readers amongst conventionally trained economists â from Paul Bairoch through Chalmers Johnston to Alice Amsden. Outside academe too, authors like Joe Studwell draw on that once-neglected work and converge on the view that the East Asian experience belies neoliberalism and exposes the small government biases thereof.16
Freshly published, path-breaking and quantitatively compelling research in economic history is further validating Studwellâs insights. Ha-Joon Chang, Robert Allen, Michael Lind and others have respectively shown, for example, that un free-market, industrial espionage and big-government designs not only typified the East Asian path to industrialisation. In fact, such grand design could also be attributed to Englandâs take-off well before the Industrial Revolution and to Americaâs global rise later in the early 19th century. Baldly put, Chang, Allen, Lind and others argue that wealthier countries start preaching to poorer countries about the need for free trade (read: reduce tariffs designed to protect nascent industries) and the need to reduce government size (read: allow foreigners to buy up vital sectors of the national economy) only after they themselves had completed industrialisation on the back of very protectionist measures.17
For these reasons, the human rights discourse in the modern developed world is critiqued by scholars like Naomi Klein, Noam Chomsky, Daniel A. Bell and Martin Jacques as a value-laden, ahistorical sugar-coating of what is in essence crude economic interest. Much like âfree marketsâ in neoclassical parlance, human rights are conceived of as bringing about immediate betterment of the human condition irrespective of time and place, whereas in the Chinese narrative âindividualâ rights and âmarketsâ are both viewed as contingent on âcollective willâ and on evolutionary social reform.
Yet, as Stiglitz alluded to, the wealthier âcollectivistâ China becomes, the harder it is to shrug off its affinity with the âindividualisticâ US. Whilst, on the right, some Western critics still cling to the democracy-vs.-tyranny binary, and on the left, some critics starkly posit American neo-imperialism vs. Chinaâs âpeaceful riseâ, both contending powers are in fact experiencing flagrantly unequal wealth distribution; they are both big polluters, big military spenders and capital-punishment enthusiasts; they also both incarcerate large segments of their population.18 In short, not only are their logics of socioeconomic regulation increasingly more similar to each other, China and the USA are now more economically inter dependent than at any other point in history.19
Much of the...