1
LIKE CLAUSEWITZ; ALMOST
1
Hitler had always shared the view of Clausewitz that âwar is a continuation of politics by different means.â During the war he repeatedly maintained the primacy of political over military considerations in the formulation of his strategic plans. This became especially evident in the last year of the war when the FĂźhrer began increasingly to concentrate his armoured reserves in certain regions in order to achieve given political objectives. In late 1944 there were two such areas: Hungary and the Ardennes. Even though these battlefields were geographically distant, in Hitlerâs mind they were tightly bounded to each other by one thing: oil.
Hitler still believed that his forces might be able to stand fast for a long time if they could deliver a heavy blow in the West before the end of the year. One such successful offensive, he hoped, would cause a split among the Allies and force London and Washington to seek a separate peace with Germany. In turn, this would allow the Third Reich to concentrate its efforts exclusively on the Eastern Front. The FĂźhrer also hoped that a successful outcome of the attack in the Ardennes would buy more time for the armament industry to produce enough of the new advanced weapons â heavy tanks, jet aircraft, diesel-electric submarines, V2 ballistic missiles â and to complete the development programs of other âwonder weaponsâ, such as the nuclear bomb.
That autumn the bad weather was producing rain, fog and low-lying clouds that grounded the mighty Allied Air Force and caused supply problems for Eisenhowerâs forces. The front line, which now was running along the prewar German border, was far shorter than it had been on the eve of the Normandy landing. This was advantageous for the Germans: it eased supply difficulties, increased manoeuvrability, made them less vulnerable to enemy air attacks and less dependent on radio communications (and therefore decreased the impact of Ultra interceptions). It seemed to Hitler that fate itself had sent him this grey autumn and that a favourable opportunity had come at last to realise his plans for a major offensive.
The planning began in mid-September and on 8 October Colonel-General Jodl, the Chief of Staff of the High Command of the Armed Forces (OKW), presented a draft plan for the attack to be mounted in the end of November.1 A mighty force of 32 divisions (including 12 panzer and panzer-grenadier) would strike through the Ardennes towards Antwerp, capturing Brussels in the process. The effect of this would be to entrap and destroy all of the Allied forces operating in the Low Countries. It was clear that the American lines would be breached, but the rapid exploitation of the initial success depended heavily on the available fuel stocks.2 And they were scarce. So scarce that the German commanders had to rely on captured fuel dumps to fulfil the planned objectives.
The Third Reich was fuel starved and the signs were everywhere. In the West the daily allowance of gasoline dropped to about 5 tons per division; in the Balkans the retreating Army Groups F and E could hardly count on any deliveries of fuel for the first fortnight of November and drastic economy measures were imposed; in Italy some panzer units were getting 7 per cent or less of their authorised gasoline allocation; on the Eastern Front the stocks of aviation spirit were at so low a level that the Luftwaffe could no longer provide adequate air support to the ground forces; the Kriegsmarine could maintain the U-Boat warfare at its present level only at the expense of the allocations of diesel fuel to the surface warships.3
The training of the reserves was also deeply affected. The practical exercises in the SS-panzer divisions of OberstgruppenfĂźhrer Sepp Dietrichâs 6 Panzer-Army, which was destined to be the principal strike force for the impending offensive in the West, were severely hampered by the fuel shortages; there was virtually no fuel for tactical training or for the training of the drivers.4 The same applied to the Luftwaffe and Kriegsmarine, where the training hours of the pilots and crews were reduced.5 The lack of fuel could be sensed even more tangibly in the everyday life of Nazi Germany: road and water transport almost ceased, the production of war material, industrial and agricultural goods declined and even paramilitary organisations, such as Organisation Todt and Reichsarbeitsdienst (RAD), functioned with great difficulty. Still worse, although fighter aircraft production had reached its climax in September 1944 (3031 single-engine fighters were delivered),6 the Air Fleet âReichâ was less and less capable of defending the towns and factories, because there wasnât enough fuel. The pilots showed courage and self-sacrifice, but were unable to appear in any significant strength to cause any serious damage to the Allied bomber armadas.
2
Only a few months earlier the fuel situation had been quite comfortable for the Germans. Then the oil supplies of the Third Reich had been coming from two different sources: imports and crude or/and finished petroleum products and gasoline produced by the powerful German chemical industry through synthesis of coal, air and water as raw materials. The natural oil obtained from the oilfields in Romania (Ploiesti), Hungary (Nagykanizsa), Austria (Zisterdorf), Lower Saxony (Harz region) and Galicia (Drogobycz), together with production from the synthetic oil industry, guaranteed that the Wehrmacht could still operate efficiently despite the increasing pressure on all fronts. Everything changed in the spring of 1944 when the Axis chemical and oil industries were selected as a top priority target by the Allied Bomber Command and from the beginning of April 1944 were hit hard. During the summer the production of the chemical works decreased considerably, while the normal functioning of the Ploiesti installations literally ceased and by the time the Soviets seized the area at the end of August, the Romanian oilfields had only a symbolic significance and were making little practical contribution to the Nazi war effort.
The effect of the bombing raids was cumulative. During an interrogation held shortly after the war, Albert Speer, the Hitlerâs Minister of armaments, confessed:
The shortage of liquid fuel first made itself felt in the aviation categories. The stocks of Romanian natural oil in Germany enabled the manufacture of both motor spirit and diesel fuels to be continued for several months further.
In considering this question account must be taken of the OKW reserve and at the same time of the reduction in the quantities in circulation.
In the Luftwaffe the shortage of liquid fuel became insupportable from September 1944 onwards, as from that date the allocation was cut down to 30,000 tons a month, whereas the monthly requirements amounted to between 160,000 and 180,000 tons. So far as the Army was concerned, the shortage of liquid fuel, which in this case was also due to supply difficulties, first became catastrophic at the time of the winter offensive of 16 December 1944âŚ7
Speer did his best to show the FĂźhrer the implications of the catastrophe. On 30 August he sent the following top-secret report to Hitler:
My FĂźhrer,
The last air attacks have again hit the most important chemical works heavily. Thereby the three hydrogenation plants, Leuna, Breux and Poelitz, although only recently in commission again, have been brought to a complete standstill for some weeks.
As the home defence against enemy air attacks promises no appreciably greater results in September as against August, chemical (oil) production in September must now be considerably decreased.
Nevertheless, no effort will be spared to restore the hydrogenation plants so that past production, at least, can be made possible in a short time.
The effect of these new raids on the entire chemical industry are extraordinary, as severe shortages will occur not only in liquid fuels but also in various other important fields of chemistry âŚ
With these results the enemy has hit the chemical industry so heavily that only by abnormal changes in the conditions is there any hope for the retention of the bases for powder and explosives (Methanol), Buna (Methanol and nitrogen for explosives and agriculture). At the same time the loss in carburettor and diesel fuels is so widespread that even the severest measures will not be able to prevent bad effects on the mobility of the troops at the fr...