Since the pattern of cooperation and conflict between various elites and non-elites is my primary concern, rather than the precise concentration of power in particular settings, several classical social theorists seem most relevant to this task. I focus on how their work is useful in suggesting the relevant elements of a new model, though I try to present enough of their theoretical perspective to show how their theorizing about elites is related to their broader body of work.
Marxian theory
After a brief prologue, the Communist Manifesto begins: “The history of all hitherto existing society is the history of class struggles.” This pregnant sentence introduces three central concepts in Marx's thinking: history, class, and conflict. In Marx's vision, class differences, which were the basis of conflict, could and would be transcended following a Communist revolution. History, however, would not stop. Stated in another way, Marx's notion of class conflict was placed in the context of a broader theory of social change. The power of Marx's analysis is not in his systematic and detailed analysis of the notion of class – he never got around to that. Rather, it is in his ability to throw light on the changes that were occurring as Europe was transformed from agrarian feudalism to an industrialized bourgeois society with new forms of exploitation and conflict. This part of Marx's analysis is not particularly controversial. More debatable has been the Marxian view of the long-term economic, political, and cultural consequences of these changes.
The classical Marxist sketch of capitalism goes something like this: New technologies and the dynamics of capitalist market competition usher in an enormous increase in productive capacity. Because of the pressure of competition, capitalists need to keep costs low, including the costs of wages. To lower costs, forward-looking capitalists invest most of their profits in more efficient technologies that produce more products with less labor. The working class experiences increased economic insecurity and a decline in their share of the income. As consumers they cannot afford to buy the increasing supply of products. This reduces consumer demand and lowers prices and profits. Many businesses go broke or have to lay off workers. This leads to recessions and depressions. The longer-term result is that capitalist economies go through alternating periods of booms and busts with the downturns becoming increasingly severe. This leads to political unrest and protest. Such protest may be reduced by various forms of ideology that mislead workers into a false consciousness. The state is primarily an instrument of the capitalist class and the police and army are used to suppress working-class dissent, protests, and strikes and to protect private property, especially private capital. Increasingly repressive measures must be used to maintain order, intensifying working-class hostility. Eventually this leads to a proletarian revolution and the creation of a socialist state. The new state substitutes rational economic planning for the “anarchy of the market” and gradually morphs into fully developed Communism. This process is not limited to particular capitalist societies, but is an international process. Workers see that the key conflicts were not between different ethnic, religious, occupational, or national groups, but that this is a worldwide struggle between a capitalist ruling class and an increasingly internationalized proletariat. This is expressed through the effort to organize international associations of workers movements such as the “First International” (1864–1876) and the “Second International” (1889–1916).
In retrospect we know that the model was incorrect in predicting a series of proletarian revolutions and the disappearance of nationalism and religious affiliations. Most popular revolutions were supported by rural peasants rather than an urban proletariat. Following World War II, the Communist regimes of Eastern Europe were established under the military hegemony of the Soviet Union, which is not to say they had no popular support. These regimes not only failed to result in utopias, but were generally highly authoritarian and economically inefficient. The collapse of the Soviet Bloc and the economic liberalization of China (as well as Vietnam and Cambodia) are obvious indicators that these societies have not been economically sustainable.
The Marxian model has, however, been amazingly prescient with respect to pinpointing the economic dilemmas of market economies: The contradiction between keeping wage costs low and sustaining consumer demand continues. This tendency to boom and bust has been problematic for most capitalist economies. This was certainly true of the U.S. economic downturn of 2008.
What Marx did not anticipate is that the state could significantly soften and limit these instabilities by manipulating taxes, public expenditures, and the money supply. These possibilities are the great insight and contribution of first Keynesian economic theory and policies, and, a little later, monetary theory and policies. While capitalist societies have not “solved” the contradictions that Marx identified, they have been able to manage them sufficiently to avoid the degree of economic instability and revolution that Marx predicted.
Marxism has often attempted to take into account Keynesian and monetary efforts to manage the economy by seeing the state primarily as an instrument of the capitalist class (Miliband 1969). There are, however, two fundamental problems with this view of the world. First, the vast modern welfare state has interests and goals of its own such as adequate funding for its bureaucracies and their expansion. Moreover, in democratic states the ruling government must retain the popular support of at least a large proportion of the non-elite voting population. The most urgent concerns of non-elites cannot be ignored with impunity. Second, defining government economic policies as the state pursing the interests of the capitalist class assumes that this class has a high level of consensus, solidarity, and farsightedness. This is unlikely in large, complex, and diverse societies in which many of the key actors are global multinational corporations.
It is in this context that Fred Block's work is useful (Block 1987, esp. chap. 3). He characterizes modern capitalism as having a “ruling class that does not rule.” The basic argument is that the managers of the state have a strong interest in maintaining a productive and expanding economy. First, this is the basis of taxes and other sources of government income. Second, a stagnant or declining economy tends to erode popular support for the government in power. Since productive economic activity is highly dependent upon the willingness of individual capitalists and corporations to invest private capital in business enterprises, it is in the state's interests to avoid policies that would discourage such investment. Political elites are, however, interested in the productivity of the economy as a whole, rather than simply the profits of a particular capitalist, corporation, or industry. Therefore they sometimes pursue policies that benefit the economy as a whole, even though they may reduce the profits of particular economic enterprises. In Block's terminology, a key role of the state is to maintain “business confidence.”
The essence of Block's argument is that political elites have a strong vested interest in seeing that economic elites as a class prosper and in maintaining “business confidence,” but this is not primarily because they are “instruments” of that class, but because they are pursuing their own long-term interests.
To summarize, some of the key limitations of Marxian theory are:
- While class conflict often leads to social change, other types of power and conflict are also important sources of change and these tend to be ignored or attributed to economic interests.
- The Marxian assumption that polarization will lead to essentially two classes has been largely inaccurate with respect to historical developments in m...