1
The Hope Graph
Things are getting better and better, and worse and worse, faster and faster.
ā Tom Atlee
Congratulations! You got the job. You start work immediately. You may already be hard at work, and if so, this is your renewal notice. And here is your assignment:
JOB DESCRIPTION
World development is making most people richer and healthier. It is creating enormous new opportunities for human learning and self-expression. But it is also creating a dangerous set of conditions and trends ā climate change, a stark rich/poor divide, an erosion of community and social capital, depletion of both non-renewable and renewable resources, conflict over resources, degraded ecosystems, disappearing species, and many other problems ā that are increasingly likely to cause collapses and catastrophes, small and large. These growing dangers are greatly diminishing the long-term prospects of both people and nature. Our current course is not sustainable.
Your job is to help change the world, by changing the systems in which you live and work. Your objective is to prevent collapse or catastrophe ā in both human and natural systems ā and to increase the prospects for a more sustainable and even beautiful future.
To assist you in accomplishing your assignment, you will be given access to current research about the trends shaping that future, as well as up-to-date news about important breakthroughs, tools, technologies and change processes. You will be linked up to other individuals and groups who have accepted the same job and who are spread out across the planet. This global āconspiracy of hopeā, combined with the latest in communications technology, will make it possible to work in both physical and virtual teams, and to find help and support, almost anywhere.
Your prospects for success are better than they might appear, because slow changes can suddenly become very rapid, and because humanity has a long history of rising to overcome great challenges. But you face a number of daunting obstacles and limitations:
⢠You will be given minimal resources to pursue your mission ā indeed, an extremely tiny amount when compared to the resources currently spent to fuel your community, company or government on its current course. You will have to find ways to create large-scale changes with small-scale budgets using high-leverage intervention strategies.
⢠You will be largely invisible to others, and it will sometimes be difficult to explain to other people what you are doing. Phrases like āsustainable developmentā, āglobal transformationā or āa systems perspectiveā still leave most people scratching their heads. You will have to communicate your intentions in ways that speak to peopleās immediate and local needs while also convincing them to participate in longer-term, larger-scale changes to solve increasingly global problems. There is not enough time to wait for people to āwake upā or āget itā on a mass scale.
⢠You will have limited access to centres of power. If you achieve access, you will often discover that many people sitting in those centres of power feel surprisingly trapped by the system that they are supposedly controlling, and relatively powerless to make change. If you are not able to convince them otherwise, you will have to find other āleverage pointsā, other places to start change processes that can then spread through the system.
⢠Meanwhile, the momentum of change in the wrong direction will be immeasurably huge, and will probably continue to accelerate, in ways that seem unstoppable. It is imperative that you resist tendencies to despair and cynicism, in yourself and others, and that you find effective ways to spread a sense of hope and inspiration. For without hope ā the belief that change is possible, that your vision of a sustainable world is attainable ā your chances of success fall dramatically.
Good luck.
If you were interested enough to open this book, then you have already identified yourself as a candidate for the ājobā described above. Or you could be someone who has already held such a āpositionā, perhaps for many years. Whether newcomer or veteran, I hope you are inspired by the challenges of this historic period, and by the chance to play a role in addressing them.
On the other hand, you may not want the job. You might actually prefer to do something else with your life. But when one becomes aware that the world is genuinely headed for big trouble, and that changing course requires tremendous efforts, by as many people as possible, it is usually impossible to pretend that one does not have this rather important piece of information.
For most people, once they begin to grasp the gravity of our situation, not caring is not an option.
Fortunately, those of us who care are not alone. For a rapidly growing number of people, the ājob descriptionā above is arriving in their lives suddenly, and through many channels. Perhaps a book or documentary film has convinced them of the dangers of climate change. Perhaps a trip to another country has awakened them to the reality of global poverty, as well as to the costs of rapid economic growth. Perhaps the seriousness and urgency of the world situation, after years of being either a nagging worry or dismissible exaggeration, has simply dawned upon them in an undeniable way, especially as political leaders, magazines and other previously sceptical public voices become not just convinced, but alarmed and actively engaged.
And sometimes people like you have received this job description at their actual job, from their actual boss. Perhaps you were reassigned from a job in public relations to the job of being a person who coordinates āsustainability programmesā or ācorporate responsibilityā ā and realized that you have effectively been assigned to tackle the worldās greatest problems, on behalf of your company, city or government agency.
Indeed, tackling the worldās greatest problems has now become not just a movement, but a profession. And this profession, because it knits together people from nearly every discipline, is generally described not in terms of what people actually do, but in terms of the goal that they are trying to achieve: sustainability.
The word āsustainabilityā simply refers to the ability of any system to keep going over time. It has historically been applied to everything from fish and forest management to the financial analysis of companies, to military logistics and the provision of armed forces with food, fuel and ammunition. āSustainable developmentā, meanwhile, means change over time in the direction of sustainability. One needs the latter to achieve the former. (More on this in Chapter 5.)
āUnsustainableā systems collapse, by definition, while sustainable ones can keep doing what they are doing. A bewildering portion of systems in the world today ā from agriculture to zoos ā are unsustainable, because they depend on fossil energy sources, dirty and nature-destroying industrial processes, and/or social arrangements that simply cannot ākeep doing what they are doingā without wrecking the planet and creating the preconditions for armed conflict or worse.
Thatās why we need sustainable development, as well as sustainable redevelopment.
And we need a lot more of both. And fast.
The fact that the world is increasingly caught up in a conversation about āglobal sustainabilityā ā that is, the ability of the entire world to keep doing what it is doing ā is an utterly remarkable historical occurrence. Debates about the possibility of natural, economic and/or social collapse, spurred by catastrophic climate change and its harrowing web of interconnected global problems, have moved from the fringe cafĆ©s of pessimistic Greens to the centrepiece position on the international political table. Whether the increasingly real-looking collapse scenarios are truly āglobalā or just huge enough to be global in their impact hardly matters. Whether the time horizon is 10 years or 50 may make a difference to economists who think in terms of future-discount rates, but it makes little difference to people worried about grandchildren and polar bears.
The fact that the global conversation about sustainability and sustainable development is increasingly becoming understood as a global struggle ā a literal race against time, with life-and-death stakes for millions of people and other living species, both short and long term ā is without a doubt the defining fact of our generation, and probably will be for several generations to come.
In the midst of this growing global clamour and chatter about our future, I take the emergence and the rapid increase in the number of āsustainability professionalsā ā people whose jobs formally include sustainability or sustainable development issues, by whatever name ā as both a troubling and a hopeful sign. It is troubling that such work is necessary, because where there is smoke there is fire. Where there is a rapidly growing fire brigade, fires are a rapidly growing problem.
But it gives me hope that the world is responding to the gathering storm of chronic problems and looming crises. People working on sustainability issues, at levels ranging from the very local to the very global, now number conservatively in the hundreds of thousands, very likely the millions, depending on how one defines the terms. The fact that every year marks the entry of many new people into this āglobal fire brigadeā is one of the most hopeful indicators I know.
During the last half-century, a growing chorus of scientists and researchers has been warning humanity that certain trends ā global warming, growing population, increasing waste, a declining resource base, deteriorating natural systems ā were heading us into danger, and that great efforts were required to avoid the worst. There have always been individuals, groups and organizations dedicated to raising awareness of the issues and taking practical and strategic action to make a difference. But these efforts have been small, putting it mildly, relative to the scale of the challenge. Great efforts require great numbers of people, a veritable army of people, working at all levels to create sustainability.
Finally, that army seems to be forming.
I received my own inescapable invitation to join the sustainability army in 1979, as a college student studying classic texts like The Limits to Growth (Meadows et al) and Population, Resources, Environment (Ehrlich, Ehrlich and Holdren). Since 1988, I have worked as a āsustainability professionalā, someone whose job title has included the word āsustainabilityā and whose job description, while not reading like the one above in any formal way, has certainly felt like that much of the time. Back in the late 1980s, we āprofessionalsā were a small and rather lonely bunch. Most of those formally engaged in sustainability work were scientists, grassroots activists, and United Nations-level policy thinkers and diplomats. (I started out as a journalist and wrote about them.) There were no āVice Presidents for Sustainabilityā in companies, no āAgenda 21 Coordinatorsā for cities, no masterās degrees offered in āBusiness Administration with a Concentration in Sustainable Developmentā. Acronyms like āCSRā had not yet been invented.
For me and for the few thousand people working globally on these issues back in the late 1980s, sustainability was a āfieldā one learned by volunteerism, apprenticeship and learning-on-the-job. A great deal of what is now āstandard practiceā was developed by people who just āmade it up as they went alongā. In our efforts to do something to āsave the worldā ā a phrase used with some combination of seriousness and self-deprecating irony ā we were all amateurs.
These days, āsaving the worldā is serious business, engaging major universities, large companies, and national and international agencies. But this is not a book just for the āprosā, or for professionals-in-training. This is also very much a book for āamateursā ā remembering that the root of the word āamateurā is amare, love. This is a book for all those who have dedicated some piece of their lives, professional or otherwise, indeed some piece of their hearts, to helping the human species make the greatest transition it has ever been challenged to make: the transition to a globally sustainable civilization.
New York City
May 1988
Itās amazing what junk some people will buy. To finance a move from New York to Seattle, for the past few weeks I have been a weekly fixture at this flea market in Brooklyn. Iām selling everything I can ā clothes, books, records, furnitureā¦even my underwear. Somebody just paid me 25 cents each for a bunch of old boxer shorts.
This cross-country move was originally motivated by a desire to get out of The City, and live somewhere with easier access ...