- 242 pages
- English
- ePUB (mobile friendly)
- Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub
About this book
This "Festschrift" honours Geoffrey H. Moore's life-long contribution to the study of business cycles. After some analysts had concluded that business cycles were dead, renewed economic turbulence in the 1970s and 1980s brought new life to the subject. The study of business cycles now encompasses the global economic system, and this work aims to push back the frontiers of knowledge.
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Yes, you can access Analysing Modern Business Cycles by Philip A. Klein in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Business & Economic Theory. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.
Information
Index
Accuracy of forecasting, 143–173. See also Forecasting
in annual forecasts, 15, 143–150
in quarterly forecasts, 15–16, 150–170
American Statistical Association forecasts, accuracy of, 145, 148, 149, 150, 151
in quarterly forecasts, 150, 161, 168
Amplitude-adjusted indexes, 181, 187
historical development of, 17, 207
standardization procedure in construction of, 17, 206, 208–219, 221
and amplitude-stationarity, 213–214, 218
weighing of components in, 220
Annual forecasts, accuracy of on gross national product, 15, 143–145, 146–147, 150
on inflation rate, 15–16, 145–150
Anticipations. See Expectations
Assessment of cyclical indicators, 10–14, 57–106
in econometric models, 13–14, 97–106
on manufacturing sector, 10–11, 59–68
and money supply measures in composite leading index, 12–13, 85–96
on qualitative climate, 11–12, 69–84
Assets, liquid, as money supply measure, 12, 87, 90, 93, 94–85
influence on composite leading index, 93
Australia
classical and growth cycles in, 28, 30, 31, 32, 298
duration of business cycles in, 30, 32, 33, 34, 35, 38
inflation rate in
and growth cycles (1948–1988), 298
and recession-driven deflations, 300
leading indicators in, 46, 48
relationship of price-cost cycle and business cycle in, 46, 47, 48
Bear markets, stock market activity in, 14, 109, 112
Benchmark forecasts on gross national product, accuracy of, 150, 168, 169, 170, 171
Bretton Woods policies, and international influences on monetary disturbances, 21, 286–287, 288
Britain. See United Kingdom
Building permits for new houses
as anticipatory variable, 13, 103
as cyclical indicator, 97, 9...
Table of contents
- Cover
- Half Title
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Table of Contents
- Charts
- Tables
- Forewords
- Acknowledgments
- I. Introduction
- II. Analyzing Business Cycles Today
- III. Current Assessment of Cyclical Indicators
- IV. The Usefulness of Indicators in Economic Forecasting
- V. Cyclical Indicators and Their Applications: Current Methodological Issues
- VI. Recent Business Cycle Research: Implications for Theory and Policy
- Index
- About the Contributors