Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff
eBook - PDF

Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff

  1. 472 pages
  2. English
  3. PDF
  4. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - PDF

Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff

About this book

Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff (Volume II of the Working Guides to Estimating & Forecasting series) considers many of the commonly used Descriptive Statistics in the world of estimating and forecasting. It considers values that are representative of the 'middle ground' (Measures of Central Tendency), and the degree of data scatter (Measures of Dispersion and Shape) around the 'middle ground' values.

A number of Probability Distributions and where they might be used are discussed, along with some fascinating and useful 'rules of thumb' or short-cut properties that estimators and forecasters can exploit in plying their trade. With the help of a 'Correlation Chicken', the concept of partial correlation is explained, including how the estimator or forecaster can exploit this in reflecting varying levels of independence and imperfect dependence between an output or predicted value (such as cost) and an input or predictor variable such as size.

Under the guise of 'Tails of the unexpected' the book concludes with two chapters devoted to Hypothesis Testing (or knowing when to accept or reject the validity of an assumed estimating relationship), and a number of statistically-based tests to help the estimator to decide whether to include or exclude a data point as an 'outlier', one that appears not to be representative of that which the estimator is tasked to produce. This is a valuable resource for estimators, engineers, accountants, project risk specialists as well as students of cost engineering.

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Yes, you can access Probability, Statistics and Other Frightening Stuff by Alan R. Jones in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Business & Forecasting. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Publisher
Routledge
Year
2018
Print ISBN
9781138065031
eBook ISBN
9781351661386
Edition
1
Subtopic
Forecasting

Table of contents

  1. Cover
  2. Title
  3. Copyright
  4. Dedication
  5. Contents
  6. List of Figures
  7. List of Tables
  8. Foreword
  9. 1 Introduction and objectives
  10. 2 Measures of Central Tendency: Means, Modes, Medians
  11. 3 Measures of Dispersion and Shape
  12. 4 Probability Distributions
  13. 5 Measures of Linearity, Dependence and Correlation
  14. 6 Tails of the unexpected (1): Hypothesis Testing
  15. 7 Tails of the unexpected (2): Outing the outliers
  16. Glossary of estimating and forecasting terms
  17. Legend for Microsoft Excel Worked Example Tables in Greyscale
  18. Index