1Introduction
Was Keynes trying to save capitalism or create âLiberal Socialism?â
Everyone knows that Keynes is one of the most important and influential economists who ever lived. His magnum opus, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (hereafter The General Theory), was published in 1936 when much of the world was in acute economic distress and intense political turmoil in the midst of the global Great Depression. Right-wing and left-wing revolutionary forces had become powerful in many countries in Europe in the interwar years. Mussolini and Hitler were already in power, as, of course, was Stalin. Capitalism was even under assault in the USA, which experienced significant economic and political unrest in the 1930s.
The General Theory was an intervention in theory intended by Keynes to support a radical transformation of the institutions and practices of British political economy from those traditionally supported by the reigning classical economic theory and captured by the phrase âlaissez-faireâ to a system he called âLiberal Socialism.â (To support my arguments about Keynes, I rely primarily on Keynesâs own words as they appear in relevant volumes of The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes (hereafter CW), which were published for the Royal Economic Society by Cambridge University Press.) He believed that if Britain did not drastically reorganize its economic system, its militant working class might become a revolutionary working class. In the last chapter in the book, he summed up the situation as follows:
It is almost universally believed that Keynes wrote The General Theory to save capitalism from the socialist, communist, and fascist forces that were rising up against it in this era. I argue in this book that this was not the case with respect to socialism. The historical record shows that Keynes wanted to replace then-current capitalism in Britain with what he referred to as âLiberal Socialism.â In an interview in The New Statesman and Nation in January 1939, he said:
I shall use Keynesâs term âLiberal Socialismâ throughout this book to refer to the system of political economy he wanted to replace laissez-faire capitalism with.
In 1983, I published a brief article in the Journal of Economic Literature that could be seen as a precursor of this book. I made the case that in the interwar period Keynes was not trying to save capitalism as the conventional wisdom would have it, but to replace Britainâs capitalist economy with a planned or state-guided socialist economic system built around public and semi-public control of the lionâs share of large-scale capital investment. The state was to use its control over capital investment (augmented by capital controls) as the main policy tool to achieve and sustain full employment. My article opened with an outline of Keynesâs 1933 article titled âNational Self-Sufficiency.â
I went on to outline Keynesâs radical policy program designed to achieve sustained full employment and domestic prosperity.
I noted that in The General Theory Keynes called for a âsomewhat comprehensive socialization of investmentâ and proposed that the state take âan ever responsibility for directly organizing investmentâ (CW 7, p. 378, emphasis added). I also argued that Keynes never changed his position on this crucial issue.
This book deals with the same broad issues as my 1983 article, but it does so in rich historical detail.
When I submitted a completed draft of this book to Routledge Press for possible publication, one of the reviewers referred me to a book of essays on Keynes published in 1999 that contained a short essay by Rod OâDonnell titled âKeynesâs Socialism: Conception, Strategy and Espousal.â OâDonnell argued that, from 1924 through WWII, Keynes wanted to replace British capitalism with what he called Liberal Socialism. âMy primary thesis is that Keynes, in his writings, advocated a kind of socialism which, to use his own term, may be called liberal socialismâ (OâDonnell 1999, p. 149). He said that Keynesâs commitment to socialism was âsteady, durable and unwavering; he advanced his views in one form or another in virtually every year from 1924 to his deathâ; and it was âpublic and not merely private, appearing in a variety of journal articles, The Times newspaper, and a BBC radio broadcastâ (OâDonnell 1999, pp. 163â164). OâDonnell was right about this, as this book will demonstrate in rich historical detail. Yet in spite of the historical record, OâDonnell observed:
As I will demonstrate in this book, virtually all post-WWII âKeynesianâ economists misinterpreted crucial parts of Keynesâs economic theory, misunderstood many of his most important policy views, and had no idea that his overarching political objective from 1924 until his death was not to save British capitalism, but rather to replace it with Liberal Socialism.
Keynesâs Liberal Socialism began to take shape in his mind in the mid-1920s (see Chapters 4 and 6), took a more detailed institutional form with the publication of the Liberal Partyâs manifesto Britainâs Industrial Future in 1928 (see Chapter 8), is argued for in the most urgent terms in 1933 in National Self Sufficiency (see Chapter 11), is described in outline form in The General Theory (see Chapter 20 of this book), and is laid out in detail in his work on postwar economic planning at Britainâs Treasury during WWII (see Chapter 22).
Keynesâs plans for the postwar economy were not just of academic interest. He had more influence on Britainâs postwar economic planning during the war than anyone else. Most economists are aware that Keynes designed Britainâs plans for financing WWII and creating a post-WWII international financial system. They also know that Keynes was Britainâs chief negotiator with the USA on the latter issue. âIn his narrower, and subordinate sphere, Keynes rivaled Churchill. He was, in fact, the Churchill of war finance and post-war financial planningâ (Skidelsky 2002, p. xvi). It is less widely known, I think, that Keynes was also the primary architect of Britainâs plans for the creation of a new politicalâeconomic system after the war (see Chapter 22). Schumpeter put the matter concisely in his 1946 survey of Keynesâs contributions to economic theory and policy in the American Economic Review: âEveryone knows that during the war he entered the Treasury again (1940) and that his influence grew, along with Churchill, until nobody thought of challenging itâ (Schumpeter 1946, p. 518). This makes his views on postwar planning of the utmost importance in understanding whether he was trying to save or to replace capitalism in Britain. And what Keynes said he was planning for over this entire period, including during WWII, was not an improved capitalism, but rather a form of socialism.
In this book, I trace the evolution of his views on policy from WWI until his death in 1946 and argue that they are qualitatively different from the policy perspective associated with what I will refer to as âMainstream Keynesianism,â the semiofficial interpretation of Keynesâs theory and policy in the post-WWII era in the USA and elsewhere. I also discuss the evolution of his thinking about economic theory over this period and show how it relates to the development of his socialist policy views, with a special emphasis on The General Theory.
This introduction has four main parts. First, I explain why Keynesâs evolving policy vision for a radically new economic system for Britain in the post-WWI era is appropriately described by him as âLiberal Socialismâ rather than as âreformed capitalism.â This is the main thesis of this book. Second, I present a brief overview of Keynesâs critique of classical theory, the dominant theory in Britain and in the USA prior to the Keynesian ârevolutionâ that was used to justify a laissez-faire policy regime. This is important because Keynes developed his own theory of capitalist economies partly in response to his increasing dissatisfaction with classical theory as an appropriate foundation for economic policy formation. Third, I argue that important aspects of Keynesâs critique of classical theory apply with equal force to post-WWII Mainstream Keynesian theory. Mainstream Keynesian theory is not only in serious conflict with Keynesâs own theory in matters of great moment; more important for our purpose, it has also inadvertently hidden his support of Liberal Socialism from several generations of economists. Fourth, I compare and contrast Keynesâs preferred economic policies with those of Mainstream Keynesianism. The arguments in all four parts rely heavily on my understanding of the theory and policy presented in The General Theory. The discussion of the stark differences between Keynesâs views on theory and policy as expressed in The General Theory and the theory and policy incorporated in Mainstream Keynesianism occupies about a third of this book.
The reader should be aware that, unfortunately, I am neither an economic historian nor a historian of economic thought. I would have loved to have coauthored this book with the great British economic historian, Eric Hobsbawm. Unfortunately, he died in 2012 and, to the best of my knowledge, he had never heard of me. The reader should also be aware that since this is a book about Keynes, I rely heavily on his interpretation of classical theory, an interpretation not universally shared by historians of economic thought.
Keynesâs Liberal Socialist economic policy agenda
Keynesâs economic policy agenda was designed to create a liberal and democratic variant of a government-guided socialist economy. This government planning system did not incorporate most manufacturing and service-sector corporations; those firms that were in industries that were not oligopolistic would be left to operate in the market economy as before. The system did not involve state ownership of all productive assets as in the Soviet Union or in Labour Party manifestos. It relied instead on large publicly owned and state-influenced enterprises (such as residential construction) that together controlled the lionâs share of the large-scale capital stock of the country. It also included state guidance of firms with excessive market power. The centerpiece of Keynesâs new policy regime was control over major capital investment projects by âpublic and semi-publicâ institutions through a âBoard of National Investment.â Keynes frequently referred to the importance of âsemi-publicâ investment projects. Investment in both residential and non-residential buildings, public transport, and public utilities are examples of semi-public investment. Some investment is semi-public because it is under the control of Britainâs large number of important âpublic corporations.â The Board would be empowered to select and prioritize the investment projects to be undertaken. To fund its projects, the Board was to receive a major share of government tax revenue and could borrow under central-government guarantee at relatively low interest rates. This is described in great detail in Chapter 8.
The primary objective of policy was to increase âpublic and...