1
Introduction: The Right in Latin America
Elite power, hegemony and the struggle for the state
The election, in 1998, of Hugo Chávez to the presidency of Venezuela was the beginning of what many came to term a “pink tide” of Left and Left-of-centre governments sweeping over Latin America. Chávez remained in power until his death in 2013, and during that time most of South America and some countries in Central America elected Left-leaning governments. By 2014 the momentum did not seem to be faltering, with ten countries – Brazil, Uruguay, Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Venezuela, Nicaragua, El Salvador and, of course, Cuba – having Left-led governments. It is unsurprising then that most academic work on politics in the region has been directed at studying this phenomenon.1 The literature, of course, has varying views on the nature and characteristics of these governments and notes degrees of diversity within them. Nevertheless, a level of consensus exists in so far as these disparate governments are viewed as critical of neoliberal orthodoxy and are prepared to use state power in an attempt to counterbalance the perceived negative social impacts of markets.2
Yet the “pink tide” has not swept all before it. The 2014 elections in Colombia, for example, became, in the final stages, a contest between two candidates on the Right, with the Left barely registering.3 Mexico remained governed by the conservative PAN (Partido de Acción Nacional/National Action Party) throughout most of the period of the “pink tide” until it lost to the erstwhile populist PRI (Partido Revolucionario Institucional/Institutional Revolutionary Party) in 2013. Yet this seemed only to intensify the neoliberal policies of its predecessor, with the government of Enrique Peña Nieto, for example, opening up the state oil company, PEMEX, to the private sector. Peru, despite having nominally populist (Alan García, 2006–2011) or Left-leaning (Ollanta Humala, 2011–2016) presidents, continued implementing neoliberal policies under its neoliberalised constitution, which had been instituted under President Alberto Fujimori (1990–2000). Chile, after electing Socialist Party President Michelle Bachelet twice (2006–2010; 2014–2018) and an interlude with Right President Sebastián Piñera (2010–2014), maintained its policies favouring neoliberal economic orthodoxy, albeit accompanied by vigorous social policy, containing to some degree the worst excesses of the market.
All of these countries have free trade agreements (FTAs) with the United States and are grouped into the Pacific Alliance, a loose intergovernmental body, officially founded in 2012 and favouring free trade and open markets. As the trade bloc’s information brochure reminds us, the Alliance member countries account for 35 per cent of the total GDP of the Latin American and Caribbean region, 50 per cent of its trade and 36 per cent of its population.4 The “pink tide” then has not turned into a tsunami, and a large part of the region remains under Right or Right-leaning rule, or at least heavily influenced by neoliberal orthodoxy.
Nor has the Right been dormant within those countries ruled by the Left. All countries have reasonably important Right or Right-of-centre oppositions, which has sometimes led to electoral success, as in Chile in 2010 with the election of Sebastian Piñera (2010–2014), in Panama, with Ricardo Martinelli (2009–2014), and in Guatemala, with retired general Otto Peréz Molina (2012–2015) to name a few. In 2015 the Right gained momentum in the region with wins for Mauricio Macri of PRO (Propuesta Republicana/Republican Proposal) in Argentina and the MUD (Mesa de Unidad Democrática/Democratic Unity Coalition) in Venezuela’s parliamentary elections. And while most Right opposition activity remains within constitutional boundaries, these limits are sometimes stretched, as in the lightning impeachment of Left-of-centre President Fernando Lugo in Paraguay in 2012, or abandoned, as in the failed coup against Hugo Chávez in Venezuela in 2002 and the successful overthrow of Manuel Zelaya (2006–2009) in Honduras in 2009. Nor does Right opposition activity always remain within party-based and parliamentary structures, with Argentina, Bolivia and Venezuela all seeing sustained street campaigns aimed at weakening or forcing the removal of sitting Left or Left-leaning presidents. Hence not only has the “pink tide” failed to turn into a tsunami, but the Right continues to try to force back that tide, using fair means and sometimes foul.
The Latin American Right, then, remains a force to be reckoned with, but this fact is rarely reflected in the literature. The phenomenon has been understudied in the past with little work dedicated to the subject,5 although there has been something of an upsurge in interest with a number of books and articles being published more recently.6 This book aims to build on this legacy but also to go beyond it. In it I argue that most of the major work on the subject of the Latin American Right approaches the phenomenon from a narrow political science perspective, while finding invariably that Right-wing actors do not conform to theoretical expectations. Furthermore, what is lacking in the literature is an articulation of the Right with the study of elite power. By elites what I mean, following Higley, is “persons who, by virtue of their strategic locations in large or otherwise pivotal organizations and movements, are able to affect political outcomes regularly and substantially”.7 These consist of “prestigious and ‘established’ leaders – top politicians, important businessmen, high-level civil servants, senior military officers”8 and “counter-elites” found in trade union and social movement leaderships, among others, although it is the former with whom we are most concerned here.
While there is a good, solid tradition of studying elites in Latin America,9 few of those studying the Right have sought to link the former to the latter in a systematic way. Gibson10 comes closest with his concepts of “core constituency” and “non-core constituencies”, whereby “core constituencies” are “those sectors of society that are most important to [a party’s] political agenda and resources” and non-core constituencies are other groups whose support is garnered in the “quest to build an electoral majority”.11 Yet, even here, the main emphasis is on the party political aspect of the Right rather than on its “core constituency”. Hence most scholars of the Latin American Right are left struggling to explain the fact that historically, Latin American elites have rarely used established political parties as the main focus of their power strategies, preferring to use their dominance of the ideological, economic, military and international power networks to maintain their hegemony.
Consequently, I argue here that we need a broader, more adaptable framework of analysis, which can take these factors into account in a more systematised and comprehensive manner. For this reason, I adopt Michael Mann’s theories on social power,12 whereby he conceptualises domination of the four networks of power – economic, ideological, political and military – as the primary sources of social power. Following Eduardo Silva,13 I add a fifth, transnational area. These I use as a framework to demonstrate both the extent of elite power in Latin America, and how the Left has challenged this in various countries in the region since coming to power democratically. From there I use it to show how the depth of these challenges can also help inform the types of strategies which the elites use to re-establish their dominance of political power – that is the state – and so counter this hegemonic challenge from the Left. The struggle for control of the state is therefore an essential part of this analysis, but it is not privileged, as Mann’s framework allows us to demonstrate how that struggle is contextualised by elite power in these other key areas. In summary then, this is a book about the sources of domination of Latin American socio-economic elites in the current stage of capitalism, meaning neoliberalism; about the social, economic and political models they favour, meaning socially unequal market societies accompanied by liberal democracies providing state protection for market relations, private property rights, and, therefore, continued elite dominance; about the possibilities for counter-movements to this elite dominance; and about elite strategies to combat those counter-movements and re-establish their dominance more fully. Ultimately, this volume seeks to identify more clearly the sources of social power that maintain neoliberal hegemony and so contribute to thinking about how to counter-act this.14
I develop the argument as follows. In Chapter 2, I seek to clarify the nature of the Right in the current context of neoliberalism, identifying its main sources of social power. First, I present the analytical frame in more detail, providing a discussion on the distinction between Left and Right, and agreeing with Bobbio15 in his insistence that it centres on issues of equality. This is fitting considering the high levels of inequality found in the region, not just in terms of class, but also in terms of the gender and ethnic inequalities which intersect with it.16 I argue that this distinction around equality can have class and ideological manifestations and that in the current historical context in Latin America, the key ideological objective for elites is the defence, maintenance and extension of neoliberalism and thus the privileges of the elites, which it favours. I then provide an overview of the main edited works on the Latin American Right,17 arguing that for the most part their institutionalist, pluralist, political science focus leaves them ill-equipped to deal with the broader ideological, class and power issues consistently identified by all of them. Hence, I propose Mann’s framework as a solution to the paradox of an elite that, historically at least, seems little interested in politics, contradicting the main theoretical focus of political science theories examining the Right.
In Chapter 3, I examine discourse on key policy issues current in Right-oriented political parties and civil society organisations, uncovering how neoliberal thinking underpins such policy to a wide-ranging degree. Concentrating on the key areas of equality – class, race and gender – and state/market relations, which are the areas where the Right has been challenged most by Left governments in the region, and using material from a wide range of interviews with politicians and civil society actors in four countries – Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Venezuela – I find little change of emphasis from neoliberal precepts. There is a rejection of inequalities as an issue in general, but an increased discursive awareness of the need to tackle poverty. The chapter illustrates emphatically the general uniformity of elite thinking around neoliberalism, a fact reinforced by similar studies such as that by Reis on Brazil, among others.18
In Chapter 4, I examine the situation in those countries which are most dominated by neoliberalism, to illustrate empirically how the five sources of social power support the neoliberal project in the region. First, I briefly review earlier writings on Central America where I argued that elite dominance remains relatively intact across all five power areas, with, however, substantial inroads being made by Left governments in El Salvador and Nicaragua.19 In those articles I described these countries as Right-oriented state/society complexes in order to indicate the extent to which neoliberalism and hence elite power dominates both the state and civil society within each of them – in other words most of the power networks identified by Mann. I then examine the situation in four larger countries – Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru – all of them grouped into the relatively new transnational organisation, the Pacific Alliance. Again, I argue that these countries are similarly restricted in terms of departing from neoliberal tenets due to the deep embeddedness of neoliberalism in each power network and the benefits which elites accrue from these policies as a result.
In Chapter 5, I return to Mann’s framework to argue that despite this deep embeddedness of neoliberalism across the power structure in most countries, the Right has lost elements of hegemony in some of the power networks under the “pink tide”. I examine the areas of power identified – economic, political, ideological, military, transnational – and using proxy forms of measurement drawn from Right- or liberal-leaning think tank indexes, I illustrate graphically the extent to which Left governments have halted or reversed neoliberalised elite dominance in some of these areas. While the extent of reversal in Left-governed countries varies significantly, the fact that it has been reversed in any manner makes it imperative that elites articulate a response to this challenge at the level of the political, and that the ideological basis of that response remains neoliberalism. Here, I suggest that strategies to regain power vary depending on the level of threat felt by elites from the different Left governments.
This argument is developed more substantially in Chapter 6. Here, I depart from schematic and geographically determined typologies20 and instead develop a more open-ended dialectical concept revolving around pragmatic risk assessment. This, I argue, is calculated in terms of the perceived threat felt from the Left to the elite’s key objectives and in terms of popular acceptance or rejection of the different sets of strategic approaches – electoral, mobilisational and extra-constitutional – available. These are explicitly linked back to the extent of neoliberal policy reversal implemented by Left-led governments, although it is also dependent on subje...