War and peace are not necessarily sequential anymore. Winning battles and winning hearts and minds, the force at arms and the force of diplomacy, have become joint operations.
US Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage
(US Department of State 2004)
Introduction
In a transitional context as steeped in global power differentials as the Arab Middle East, who coerces, who persuades, where, and how? This is a book about the limits of an American âsmart powerâ challenged by the emergence of an indigenous âsoft powerâ at a pivotal moment in Arab history. It narrates contests between attraction and intimidation, public diplomacy and military occupation, elites and publics, seduction and resistance. Demonstrating the intractable entanglement between American soft power conceived in the shadow of its âhardâ US military counterpart, this book traces the conceptual and policy trajectory of the USâs âpower of persuasionâ from the War on Terror and into the Arab Spring. Challenging the theoretical conception of soft power as the exclusive domain of (Western) elites, it explores the indigenous, popular soft power of Syriaâs thuwwar (revolutionaries) as they struggle to attain freedom and dignity domestically while asserting their âvoiceâ in international politics. Recent academic work on Syria has focused on examining the domestic causes and consequences of the uprising (Bishara 2013; Hinnebusch 2012; Ismail 2011; Leenders 2013; Lefevre 2013; Pierret 2013; Wedeen 2013); accounting for Assadâs resilience (Heydemann 2013; Stacher 2012); emphasizing regional influence and fallout (Hokayem 2013; Majed 2013); investigating the conflictâs militarization and protracted war (Abboud 2015); and deciphering the trajectories and travails of ISISâs ascent (Filiu 2015; Lister 2015; Moubayed 2015). Some scholars have interpreted US policy on Syria relative to a general pattern of American responses to the Arab Spring (Brownlee 2012; Challand 2014; Gerges 2013; Heydemann 2014).
Exploring new empirical terrain within a novel theoretical framework, this book probes interlocking circles of state structure and popular agency and the resulting chains of action-reaction-action they spur. The analysis here decisively considers âthe peopleâ in an exploration of the intersections of American foreign policy and Arab politics. Publics and states encounter and contest one another domestically, regionally, and internationally in assorted combinations and through various iterations of power. This book thus offers a narrative of continuity, disruption, and resumption in US foreign policy as it is engaged, challenged, and resisted by a Syrian shaâb (people) often omitted in academic and policy discourse. Powerâsoft, hard, and smartâis monopolized by no single actor, its dissemination and effects constrained to no single level of analysis. An Assad-repressed, US-overlooked, Arab-inspired shaâb resists the Baath, engages and challenges Uncle Sam, receives and responds to Obamaâs âsmartâ treatment, all in cyclical fashion. Syriaâs thawrah thus becomes a site of challenge and contestation, interaction and engagement among and between agential publics and national and transnational state structures.
On Friday, September 26, 2014, residents of a smattering of towns across Syriaâin ISIS-controlled Raqqa but also âliberatedâ suburbs of Aleppoâwent out in protest, as many had done for years since the thawrah (revolution) began in early 2011. This time, however, their ire was directed not (just) at Bashar al-Assadâs mukhabarat (security) regime and its violently suffocating repression. Al shaâb yureed isqat al nizam (the people want to topple the regime) had become a âgiven,â familiar demand. New here was the denunciation of violence perpetrated by an âinternational communityâ headed by the United States, self-styled global watchdog and dispenser of democracy. This Friday was named âCivilians donât need more international killers,â as protestors objected to the anti-ISIS coalitionâs airstrikes in Syria seen to hinder, not help, the cause of the revolution (Al Jazeera 2014). By July 2015, the Syrian Human Rights Network had documented 173 civilian deaths at the hands of the anti-ISIS coalition (Al-Arabi Al-Jadid 2015). It seemed the US had more than avenged the death of journalist James Foley, dramatically beheaded on camera in a highly stylized video released by ISIS immediately preceding President Obamaâs announcement of Operation Inherent Resolveâs first airstrikes in Syria.
Such a âmomentâ in which US bombs kill civilians alongside Coalition âtargets,â marking Americaâs contribution to the consistently mounting (and overwhelmingly civilian) death toll in the country, is significant in the trajectory of the Syrian revolution. This occasion joins other consequential turning-points such as Bashar al-Assadâs public invitation to continued violations of Syrian sovereignty in July 20151 and the military âcoordinationâ agreement between Israel and Syrian international patron and weapons provider Russia (Oliphant 2015), or the first Russian airstrike on Syrian soil under the pretenses of fighting ISIS (Enab Baladi 2015). Such critical junctures have upset longstanding narratives concerning Syriaâs relations with international actors. How did Syrians and the US government, two sets of players in the many-sided bloodbath of the now barely recognizable thawrah silmiyyah (peaceful revolution), arrive at this moment? Why had US soft power failed to win the hearts and minds of Syrians? The US, the potential munasir (defender) and daâim (supporter) of al shaâb al soori, the Syrian people, was being denounced for its direct killing of Syrian civilians. Its pounding airstrikes appeared to indicate among Syrians more shared US ground with the barrel bomb-dropping (but still ârogueâ) regime of Bashar al-Assad, the Hezbollah and Iranian militias, and the foreign-staffed ranks of ISIS than Obamaâs democracy-promoting, people power-celebrating discourse of 2011. The War on Terror was back, it seemed, with democratization relegated outside the realm of priority and barely registering in the statements of US officials now preoccupied with ISIS, terrorism, extremist ideology, and a ârefugee crisisâ threatening Europe, Australia, and America. This book is an attempt to untangle the dynamics between US foreign policy towards the Arab world, from a War on Terror-darkened context into the Arab Spring, with a specific focus on the Syrian uprising that catapults âthe peopleâ into the domain of international relations and foreign policy. American soft and smart power are singled out for an analysis that probes their intractable interdependency and its effects on the popular reception of American development assistance, civil society âempowerment,â and democracy promotion in the Arab Middle East. This contextualization opens the theoretical space to unsnarl the roles of soft and hard power in American War on Terror policy and to examine alternative forms of indigenous soft power. Only thus can the US campaign against ISIS but not Assad, and flagrant popular resistance to Operation Inherent Resolve, be understood.
Key to interpreting the course of USâSyrian Arab Spring interactions is an examination of the power-knowledge dynamics that underpin them. Perhaps nowhere is the power-knowledge nexus as materially consequential as in the realm of Western foreign policy-making, from the Orientalism that justified and sustained European colonialism to the post-WWII âmodernizationâ agenda of the United States. More recently, the War on Terror has been self-consciously informed byâif often violatingâtenets of diplomat and political scientist Joseph Nyeâs concepts of soft and smart power. Yet powerâs actors are multiple, its pathways numerous, and resistance to it legion. Critical analyses can no longer afford to âexceptâ Arab publics. Exploring the interplay between the two forms of power at the site of great power elite-Arab indigenous popular interactions, this book critically interrogates the theoretical framework of Nyeâs soft power and its relationship to hard power in US War on Terror policy. Here I argue that a blurring of the two forms of power and their respective targets âby designâ has tarnished the credibility of US policies geared to win hearts and minds in the Arab world. The book then assesses the extent to which US foreign policy towards a region now simmering with popular uprisings, most volatile in Syria, exhibits continuity or disruption from a security-oriented War on Terror grand strategy.
Turning to a critical case of an Arab âpublic,â this book goes on to examine Syrian popular interactions with the US, arguing that investigating the dialectic between two levels of analysis often studied separately, domestic (nowrevolutionary) politics and US foreign policy, is integral to unpacking developments in both Syria and Washington. Thus Syrian popular engagement with a US wielding a self-narrated smart power strategy that disseminates various combinations of hard and soft power towards the people, Assadâs regime, and ISIS, is crucial. The analysis of the dialectic between Syriaâs revolutionaries (thuwwar) and the US serves as an initial exploration of how US smart power plays out on the âreceiving end,â and how popular uprisings can resist hard power. This interaction is proposed as a form of indigenous soft power challenging not only domestic authoritarian regimes, but also resisting Arab-US power dynamics as it transforms the people (al shaâb) into a nascent and important, if multifarious and disjointed, foreign policy actor.
Research Questions and Scope
This epistemic journey thus begins with an explication of the theoretical foundations of the concepts of US soft power and its echoes in the scholarly literature on political reform in the Arab world. The relevant discourse includes sometimes nuanced, other times unabashedly culturalist scholarly explorations about the adoption of (Western, but putatively âuniversalâ) liberal democratic ânormsâ; the potential, existence, viability, and expansion (or contraction) of civil society; and the ever-elusive âholy grailâ of democratization itself. Such investigations form a site of unending debate in the often concentric circles, typical of much concerning Western discourse and policy on the AME, of academic âexpert,â policy pundit, and practitioner discussions regarding the stalled, if not aborted, Arab Spring beginning in early 2011. Against, but also in tandem with, such a theoretical backdrop, this book delves into US policyâconceptualized and argued as an interactive spaceâin the AME since the start of the War on Terror, with a particular focus on Syria. It seeks to answer questions such as the following: What has US soft power in the Arab world looked like after the 9/11 attacks? How has official US foreign policy discourse framed the goals and strategies of US soft power? In what ways has US soft power been narrated as a complement to, or a substitute for, US hard power? What can a critical analysis of relevant discourses reveal about relevant power dynamicsâbetween US officials and Arab leaders, or Arab publics, or both? How prominently do democracy and civil society promotion feature in this discursive register of US foreign policy in the region? In what ways is ârogueâ Syria singled outâor ignoredâas a particular object of US projections of power, hard, soft, or smart, in the War on Terror enterprise?
Years into the costly and incomplete US occupation and forcible âdemocratizationâ of Iraq, and the inconclusive, shaky consequences of its long invasion and ârebuildingâ of Afghanistan, how does the US discursively react to the Arab Spring ignited in Tunisia, its tremors felt from Rabat to Manama? How is the âsecurity vs. freedomâ tension, long-debated and much-argued in relation to the US domestic political scene,2 transposed onto the Arab context as War on Terror and democracy promotion go head-to-head? To what extent are the intersections between discursive constructions of US âvaluesâ and âinterestsâ tested by the turbulence of Arab transitions, as cycles of revolution-counter-revolution, election-military coup, repression-insurgency, proxy-regional warfare play out and Syria becomes the bloodiest quagmire of them all? The book explores the domains in which the US, long the worldâs âdemocracy promoter-in-chief,â inserts itself, or alternatively remains silent, about the unfamiliar terrain of indigenously led, if often externally infiltrated, political change in the Arab world. It further seeks to examine the implications that the dramatic initiation and uneven, unstable unfolding, of the Arab Spring has on long-standing theories of foreign involvement in democratization. This work thus considers how the US wielding of soft power, from rhetorical stakes dug into the diplomatic sand to humanitarian aid to shuttle diplomacy to flurries of UN Security Council theatrics, display similar or different patterns from its War on Terror incarnations.
Reflecting the bottom-up, indigenous theoretical and empirical leanings of this exploration, the book also attempts to answer questions on the âother sideâ of US discourse on the Arab Spring in particular. In the context of these popular uprisings (intifadat shaâbiyyah), how do Syrians in particular envision themselves vis-Ă -vis the West and the US more specifically? What role do they attribute to the US in the political and economic situationârepression, regression, corruption, stagnationâagainst which they are revolting? To what extent do they âdiscourse,â directly or indirectly, with the US as they seek to overthrow the despotic if not decrepit but dapperly youthful âDr. Basharâ and his mukhabarat regime? How do Syrians seek to gain sympathy and secure support for their dignity revolution (thawrat karamah) as they woo the so-called international community (al-mujtamaâ al duwali)? To this end, the book probes how âthe peopleâ (al shaâb)âArab and overwhelmingly Muslim no lessâexhibit and exert their own soft power and public diplomacy targeting the US. It thus investigates the ways in which the thuwwar respond to, dialogue with, and challenge the increasing âsecuritizationâ of the Arab Middle East in US policy. Can the credibility of threats, such as Obamaâs pledge to strike Assadâs government if it dared to use chemical weapons, be evaluated or measured by âpublicsâ? In the age of digital media and a globally penetrating revolutionary, people-power ethos, to what extent can a shaâb be considered a significant foreign policy âactorâ? The peopleâs uprisings of the Arab Spring and the Syrian thawrah in particular are further examined as counter-narratives that may upset the culturally embedded political scaffolding of global power dynamics and âEast-Westâ or âOrient-Occidentâ binaries. Ultimately, an important line of investigation is whether soft power as conceived by Nye, in which the US has invested billions of dollars and extensive diplomatic capital, remains viable as a theoretical concept and a policy prescription.
Methods and Data
Undergirding this bookâs exploration is an epistemological presumption of the productive power of discourse that constructs âreality,â anchored in an intimacy between knowledge and power and shaping social, and thus political, behavior (Foucault 1972; 1978). Cross-culturally, Orientalist discourses creating an East/ West binary, ensuring the latterâs domination over the former, have their roots in the knowledge-making power epitomized in social science âexpertiseâ and media na...