PART I
THE TECHNIQUE OF PEACEMAKING
CHAPTER I
THE CLIMATE OF PEACEMAKING
§ 1. How different from last time?ânationalism in 1919 and now: an âinternational civil warâ?: public interest in problems of peacemaking: interest of the services: secret agreements of 1918 absent now?: Lend-Lease.
§ 2. How similar to last time?âthe widening scope and increasing intensity of âtotal warâ: the growing share of public opinion in peacemaking: armistice hysteria and war-hatreds: economic and social dislocation: the maintenance of war-time controls: the more âpositive Stateâ growing from âtotal warâ.
§ 3. Some lessons learnt: international co-operation to liquidate the results of war: national planning: demobilization last time and now: prisoners of war and deported workers: precautions against economic depression: deferred purchasing power: political dangers and âKhaki elections: the rĂ´le of Russia.
§ 4. Summary and conclusions: psychological conditions: social conditions: economic conditions: political conditions.
§ 1. HOW DIFFERENT FROM LAST TIME?
The general environment in which peacemaking will take place after this war will be in many ways different from last time. There was little attempt last time to secure that nationalism should be transcended or superseded by larger loyalties: little belief, except among a few outstanding individuals and small groups, that âpatriotism is not enoughâ. It is true that pacifists were persecuted and gagged in many countries. But they believed that patriotism was too much. International Socialismâthe Second Internationalâbroke down at the very start of war: and the murder of Jaurès in August, 1914, was symbolic of the breakdown of internationalism as both a movement and an ideal.1 The war became more nationalistic as it went on, until the very basis of the peace settlement itself was that principle which had been proclaimed by President Wilson as âan imperative principle of action which statesmen will henceforth ignore at their perilâ: national self-determination. The Presidentâs âFourteen Pointsâ, contrary to popular belief, were concerned little with lofty ideals of humanitarianism but rather with quite specific undertakings that States should be made more perfect nation-States. And the League of Nations was based on acceptance of the sovereign, territorial nation-State as the unit of all modern diplomacy, politics and social life. The peace-settlement and the League were the apotheosis of the secular, sovereign national community as the basis of all international action.1
This war began less as a war of nationalism than as a war of defence against fascism. During the decade of the 1930âs, men had become accustomed to the idea of an âinternational civil warâ, involving a battle between the forces of liberalism, democracy, socialism on one side, and the reactionary forces of fascism and totalitarian dictatorship on the other. Experience of the Stavisky Riots and the Cagoulard Plot in France, of the Spanish Civil War in which Axis intervention and the International Brigade played so great a part, of general strikes and fascist agitation in almost every country, all seemed to indicate the breaking up of the nation-State as the highest focus of menâs loyalties. Writers had written as if the wars of nationalism were past, and all future wars would be civil wars between conflicting ideologies.2 The notion that war and revolution are inseparable in modern times became widely accepted as a dogma.3 And when Nazi âfifth columnâ activities (a term significantly coined during the Spanish Civil War) spread throughout all Germanyâs neighbours and even across the Atlantic, these notions seemed to be abundantly borne out. The fall of France in 1940 was readily interpreted as due to fifth column and to the conviction, among the bulk of Franceâs ruling classes, that they would be âbetter with Hitler than Blumâ. The Communists aloneâand they somewhat hesitatingly and only until Soviet Russia was attackedâproclaimed this to be an âimperialist warâ of the familiar kind.
The importance attached to propaganda as a weapon of war still further encouraged these beliefs Political warfare means appealing above the heads of national governments to the people of the enemy Stateâappealing for revolution to end the war. It was not startling for âScipioâ to write, in 1940, a book about propaganda and the fifth column called 100,000,000 Alliesâif we choose. The exaggerated importance which all belligerents attached in the early years of the war to propaganda as a weapon was not justified in practice.1 It under-estimated the cohesive force of national sentiment, the difference between propaganda carried on within a national community by its own government and propaganda which could be dubbed, from the first, the âvoice of the enemyâ. The most powerful propaganda of the whole war proved to be the steady supply of reliable news and information provided by the B.B.C. for peoples of the German-occupied territoriesâthat is, for people already fired with a spirit of national resistance to German oppression. Revolutions, when they came, were revolutions against the national oppressor: though in so far as they are also revolts against the classes and conditions which had helped to make national defeat possible, their truly revolutionary character may appear only during the period of peacemaking. The writers of the 1930âs have not yet been proved wrong in identifying war with revolution: they may only have antedated the effects which they described.
The short-term effect of this war, however, has been to breed not revolution but a more fervent nationalism. In none of the defeated enemy States has it precipitated more than a political revolution by gradual stages, as in Italy:2 or a simple change of government, as in Bulgaria, Roumania and Finland. In Germany and Japan, the effect has been ever more strenuousâbut largely successfulâefforts to preserve and intensify national solidarity. In the occupied countries, national feelings have been stirred and canalized by resistance to German domination, just as the empire of Napoleon aroused a tide of nationalism which surged throughout* Europe for the next generation. In the other allied countries, the total nature of war, the greater intimacy of the effects of war for every citizen, the experience of bombing and blockade have likewise brought closer and more self-conscious national unity.
Yet the nationalism so aroused is different in character from the nationalism of 1914â18. There is little belief that âpatriotism is enoughâ. The twenty yearsâ crisis and the twenty yearsâ truce have together implanted the general belief that nationalism cannot be an end in itself: that peace cannot be found in isolation or in neutrality; and that war springs not from imperfections in national unity as men believed true in a territorial sense in 1919,1 or in an ideological sense in 1939. It is widely believed, as will be shown below,2 that international co-operation on the purely political and diplomatic level is not enough, either: but that internationalism must be concerned with social conditions, economic policies and cultural co-operation, and must transcend national loyalties and national organization, even while comprising and satisfying nationalist aspirations, for security and prosperity. In this way, the climate of opinion will be very different from the climate of opinion in 1919. Last time, the settlement was the culmination of nineteenth-century enthusiasm for ânational unificationâ. This time, it will be the culmination of twentieth-century enthusiasm for ânational liberationââliberation not only from fear but from want. That will be the most fundamental difference.
Other elements in the present situation will help to intensify this difference. People in all the United Nations have been made to think moreâand to start thinking earlier and more systematicallyâabout problems of peacemaking. The profound heart-searchings prompted by the tragedy of two world wars in one generation: the background experience of prolonged political and economic crisis in the years between these two wars: the early direction of menâs thoughts towards social and economic reconstruction by declarations such as the Atlantic Charter and the great speeches of President Roosevelt and other American leaders:3 the need to undertake extensive reforms even during war itself:4 all have paved the way for a more interested and well-informed public opinion about peacemaking than existed in 1919.5 The existence of radio, whereby the voices of ally and enemy, no less than of national leaders, are brought into the home of the ordinary citizen (and whereby he can, through firsthand war reports, share by proxy in the very atmosphere of battle), constantly focuses public attention on the day-to-day events and the permanent issues of the war and of the peace. In Britain the fighting services themselves afforded new forms of political education, and new opportunities for political discussion through such organizations as the Army Bureau of Current Affairs and the Army Education Corps have been encouraged to give attention and thought to political, social and economic problems. Despite all shortcomings, the armies of Soviet Russia, the United States and the British Commonwealth are more completely citizen armies to-day than ever before: armies with the interests of civilians in full employment, social security and economic prosperity after the war.1 This cannot but have a powerful influence on the making of peace.
In so far as these widespread popular interests and this new popular education open the door to individual thought, it makes for more rationality in peacemaking. But in so far as it merely gives facilities for propaganda, it perhaps makes nationalist doctrines and emotions easier to impart. One striking feature of the fourth and fifth years of war in Britain, at least, was popular concentration on âthe German problemââand the dissemination of semi-racial conceptions of Germany as the eternal âbutcherbirdâ of history. A little education is a dangerous thing, winning credulity for pseudo-scientific notions and plausible historical âinterpretationsâ. The very intensity of popular interest inâand demand forâgreater social security and economic prosperity is a temptation to politicians to divert popular attention away from the complex and difficult problems of domestic reconstruction, towards other much simpler and more easily attainable objectives, such as the punishment of war criminals, the disabling of the enemy, reparations and retribution.
The actual effects of the above considerations on the character of the next settlement are thus difficult to predict. Last-moment developments have the power to twist national sentiment and popular demand in one direction or another: and the situation remains malleable until the very last stages of peacemaking. This is further reason for the most thorough and careful investigation of the forces at work, if they are to be in any way consciously controlled for good, instead of being allowed to drift haphazard into evil.
Conscious control and direction of events is made easier by one further important difference between this time and last. There are no secret agreements or treaties this time amongst the allies, no hidden engagements to neutrals or former enemies.1 Mr. Eden has given British assurance of this in the House of Commons. This is due not merely to respect for the principle which President Wilson placed first among his Fourteen Pointsâthe desirability of âopen covenants openly arrived atâ. There has been little or no need in this war to bribe countries to enter the war by secret promises and concessions. No great countries, except Britain, her Dominions and France, have entered the war until they themselves were directly attacked or (like Brazil) felt themselves directly threatened. Where a smaller countryâsuch as Turkeyâhas had pressure put on her to sever relations with the enemy, such pressure has normally taken the form of diplomatic protests or economic assistance, not of territorial promises. Last time, the Treaties of London with Italy in 1915, and of Bucarest with Roumania, proved an entanglement and handicap to the peacemakers of Paris. They led to immediate disputes between Italy and Yugoslavia about Fiume and the Dalmatian coast, and to prolonged dispute between Russia and Roumania about Bessarabia, settled only in 1944 by the Soviet defeat of Roumania. Secret British and French promises of Constantinople to Russia (in return for which Russia promised to support French claims to the Rhineland) were prevented from causing further trouble only by the collapse of Russia in 1917.2 This time the only comparable promises or offers of territorial concession have not been secret, and have been made at a late stage when they were certain of fulfilment and could be agreed among the United Nations as parts of the eventual settlement.3 T...