
- 240 pages
- English
- ePUB (mobile friendly)
- Available on iOS & Android
About this book
Anthropic Bias explores how to reason when you suspect that your evidence is biased by "observation selection effects"--that is, evidence that has been filtered by the precondition that there be some suitably positioned observer to "have" the evidence. This conundrum--sometimes alluded to as "the anthropic principle, " "self-locating belief, " or "indexical information"--turns out to be a surprisingly perplexing and intellectually stimulating challenge, one abounding with important implications for many areas in science and philosophy.
There are the philosophical thought experiments and paradoxes: the Doomsday Argument; Sleeping Beauty; the Presumptuous Philosopher; Adam & Eve; the Absent-Minded Driver; the Shooting Room.
And there are the applications in contemporary science: cosmology ("How many universes are there?", "Why does the universe appear fine-tuned for life?"); evolutionary theory ("How improbable was the evolution of intelligent life on our planet?"); the problem of time's arrow ("Can it be given a thermodynamic explanation?"); quantum physics ("How can the many-worlds theory be tested?"); game-theory problems with imperfect recall ("How to model them?"); even traffic analysis ("Why is the 'next lane' faster?").
Anthropic Bias argues that the same principles are at work across all these domains. And it offers a synthesis: a mathematically explicit theory of observation selection effects that attempts to meet scientific needs while steering clear of philosophical paradox.
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Table of contents
- Cover
- Title
- Copyright
- Dedication
- Contents
- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
- PREFACE
- Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION
- Chapter 2 FINE-TUNING IN COSMOLOGY
- Chapter 3 ANTHROPIC PRINCIPLES: THE MOTLEY FAMILY
- Chapter 4 THOUGHT EXPERIMENTS SUPPORTING THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION
- Chapter 5 THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION IN SCIENCE
- Chapter 6 THE DOOMSDAY ARGUMENT
- Chapter 7 INVALID OBJECTIONS AGAINST THE DOOMSDAY ARGUMENT
- Chapter 8 OBSERVER-RELATIVE CHANCES IN ANTHROPIC REASONING?
- Chapter 9 PARADOXES OF THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION
- Chapter 10 OBSERVATION SELECTION THEORY: A METHODOLOGY FOR ANTHROPIC REASONING
- Chapter 11 OBSERVATION SELECTION THEORY APPLIED
- BIBLIOGRAPHY
- INDEX