The First Stage
The first shots that were heard near Lukouchia (Marco Polo Bridge), in Wangpinghsien near Peking at 11.40 p.m. on 7 July 1937 opened a new era in the history of the Far East. As has already been noted, those shots, though unexpected at the time, were not without precedent in the recent history of Chinaâs northern territories.1 For the preceding period of nearly six years Japan had been encroaching on Chinese sovereignty.2 The process had started with the âMukden Incidentâ of 18 September 1931, which had paved the way for Japanese domination in Manchuria, the establishment of the puppet state of Manchukuo, and a growing Japanese influence over the northern provinces of China proper which were meant to serve as a buffer state between Manchukuo and the Nanking government.3 Yet the consequences of the Lukouchiao incident proved to be still graver than those of the clash at Mukdenâthey jeopardised the very existence of the Nanking rĂ©gime.4
Hitherto there had been divisions of opinion in the Nanking government and in Chinese public opinion on the necessity for an effective reaction to the Japanese aggression and their creeping penetration.5 Henceforth, however, all were agreed that the Japanese had to be halted; the debate was over the desirability of doing so in the present circumstances. This undoubtedly was a turning-point which marked not only a further change in Chinese internal politics, but also a new course of interest taken by the international community towards the Far East and China.6
As is often the case in such instances, it was not clear exactly what had happened.7 The British Foreign Office received contradictory reports which made it difficult to paint an objective picture. Yet it was soon realised that the first shots and the immediate local developments which followed them were of only secondary significance. Developments took place so rapidly and extensively, exceeding all anticipations, that despatches from the Far East flooding the Foreign Office became almost at once immaterial and irrelevant, not to mention the lengthy reports which were sent by ordinary mail. The important issues turned out to be the consequent measures and counter-measures taken by the belligerents after the incident.8 However, the local character which the dispute initially assumed, and the lack of efficient communications in North China, contributed a great deal to the obscurity of events and to the embarrassment they caused.
Less than a week after the incident Quo Tai-chi, the Chinese Ambassador in London, drew a dark picture of the situation in North China for Anthony Eden and blamed the Japanese for its initiation and the hostilities that followed.9 He remarked that Japan tended to believe that she could not be restrained by the Soviet Union owing to the recent executions in the military ranks there, which allegedly enormously weakened the Soviet military potential. He stressed that this had been proved when the Soviet Union had given way to Japan in the dispute over islands in the Amur River, earlier that year.10 The Japanese were engaged in strengthening their forces in Manchuria and Korea and in making naval and military preparations for additional operations. The Ambassador believed that the only way out of an impending conflict could be achieved through mediation by disinterested governments or by an offer of their good offices. He urged the British government to take immediate action before it was too late and added that the United States, France and the Soviet Union were being approached similarly. Eden, relying on reports from Tokyo and Peking,11 thought that Japan did not desire any military venture on a large scale in China and told the Chinese Ambassador that he had been assured of this in a conversation he had had with the Japanese Ambassador the previous day. He warned that a rigid position taken by either side, on a basis of prestige, might lead to dangerous consequences. He promised to consult the French, American and Soviet governments and do his best to achieve a peaceful solution.
The civil war in Spain, piracy in the Mediterranean, Mussoliniâs empire in Africa, and Britainâs shaky position in the Middle East seemed, at this time, to preoccupy Whitehall and to leave it with no time to deal with another skirmish in North China. Yet it was soon realised that Far Eastern affairs had to be treated quite seriously.
Soon after the new outburst in North China James Dodds, the British ChargĂ© dâAffaires in Tokyo, asked for authorisation to make representations to Koki Hirota, the Japanese Minister for Foreign Affairs. He wrote:
Eden approved this suggestion and authorised Dodds to take the earliest possible opportunity of making such a communication.13 Unaware of the significance of Doddâs reservation, Eden himself expressed his distress to S.Yoshida, the Japanese Ambassador to the United Kingdom. He mentioned that the Anglo-Japanese conversations which were due to start âwould hardly be possible if existing conditions near Peking persisted or grew worseâ. The Ambassador in his reply stressed that Japan had no intention of fighting in China and expressed hopes that Britain would make some communication to the Chinese government so that if the Japanese military became more reasonable and willing to reach a compromise, the Chinese would not seek to profit by this fact.14
Britainâs first diplomatic reaction to the new Sino-Japanese clash seemed to have been conditioned by past experience of the Japanese aggressive policy in China and by the increased mistrust felt by the British public towards Japanese intentions.15 The British decision-makers could not ignore the undeniable fact that the hostilities were taking place on Chinese, not Manchurian, soil. The possible cancellation of the Anglo-Japanese talks, which were dear to the Japanese as a guarantee of British neutrality in their standing dispute with China, put real pressure on Japan. Yet soon the course which seemed to have been adopted by Britain was to be mildly altered. Dodds observed that there were some indications that Japan had not entertained the idea that the Lukouchiao incident, now referred to as the âNorth China incidentâ, would develop on so large a scale, but added that unless the Chinese âwithdrew or some face-saving formula is discoveredâ, Japan would have no alternative but to send more reinforcements to the area. Dodds also hinted at a possible solution by which the Nanking government would be made to recognise the fact that âNorth China is Japanâs special field of economic exploitationâ.16 Later he communicated his impression, with which his American colleague agreed, that Japan âdid not want this incident, does not want to push it through, and is not being provocativeâ. A peaceful solution, he felt, depended on the ability of the Chinese Government to restrain their nationals. He disclosed that, on account of this belief, in talking to the Japanese Foreign Minister, he had not used the strong language he had originally contemplated. Instead he had merely reminded Hirota that it was âvery unfortunate that the North China affair had broken out just as Anglo-Japanese talks were about to beginâ, as Britain might not find it an âopportune momentâ to carry on such talks.
Eden realised that he had acted too hastily and accepted the need for a milder tone in approaching the Japanese Government. He therefore instructed Dodds to explain in the âfriendliest possible wayâ that the reason for Britainâs communication was her attempt to do all she could to ensure the maintenance of peace between Japan and China with whom Britain was always anxious to remain on the best of terms.17 Meanwhile, Lieutenant-General Homma, who had just returned to Tokyo from London, expressed the anxiety of the Imperial Family and the Japanese Government over Britainâs reaction to the hostilities in North China.18 Suspicions that Britain was encouraging China, the General pointed out, could cause Japanese reluctance to pursue talks with Britain. He also felt that Japan had to protect her subjects in North China. He implied that it was necessary to resist the pressure exerted on the Japanese Government by extreme elements who might agitate for the use of the âgolden opportunityâ of the dispute for a âfinalâ solution of the âNorth China problemâ.
In retrospect this seems a calculated attempt on the part of the ...