It remains true that purely military developments of a strictly technical kind did exert a lasting influence upon society at large. They were the agents and auxiliaries of constitutional and social change; and they bore a main share of responsibility for the coming of that new world which was to be so very unlike the old.2
Where absolutism triumphed ⌠it did so because it provided the response to a genuine need; and though an army might be useful for curbing aristocratic license, it was but an accessory factor in the general political situation which produced the eclipse of the Estates.3
This theory of the military revolution fits neatly into the model of European development which sees all important changes on the road to âmodernizationâ as essentially taking place in northern and western Europe. On the surface, there appears to be much to support such a view; indeed, the fate of Poland-Lithuania seems to provide clear evidence in favour of a military revolution: the dominant power in East Central Europe in the second half of the sixteenth century, it could not keep up with the pace of change. As the rest of Europe moved toward more permanent, professional armies based on infantry and firepower, Poland-Lithuania clung obstinately to its outdated cavalry and continued to rely on ad hoc formations made up of noble amateurs. The victories of Sobieski over the Turks in the 1670s and 1680s merely disguised Polish weaknesses by triumphing over an enemy who had also failed to respond to new patterns of warfare. When Peter the Great succeeded in reforming the Russian army in the early eighteenth century, Poland-Lithuania was virtually defenceless. By the time the âSilent Sejmâ limited its forces to 24,000 in 1717, in an age when its neighbours could quickly raise armies of well over 100,000, the Commonwealthâs days as a great, or even a second-rate power, were clearly over.
There is a certain amount of truth in this broad outline of developments; on closer inspection, however, the question is not so simple. As Frost shows, the Commonwealthâs failure to develop effective or adequate state structures was not the result of its backwardness in military termsâthat is in its supposed rejection of allegedly superior Western modelsâbut was crucially linked to their partial adoption before 1660. The vital period was not between 1560 and 1669âthe period of Robertsâs military revolutionâbut after 1660, when the political implications of the organizational changes necessary to support the new-style armies became all too clear. In Poland-Lithuania at least, purely military change was perfectly possible before the emergence of more effective government; it was fear of the consequences of such government which led to the Commonwealthâs deliberate rejection of the changes introduced elsewhere in Europe after 1660.
The Cossack revolt had sparked a recruitment crisis for the Commonwealth which does much to explain the military collapse of 1655. In the long term, there was only one way to solve this crisis: to expand the regular army and increase the number of mercenary units in the so-called foreign contingent (cudzoziemski autorament). In 1652, following the disaster at Batoh, when the Polish army was practically wiped out by a combined Cossack and Tatar force, the old system of a distinction between the permanent âquarterâ army and the additional units raised in an emergency was abolished. By the end of 1652, an army of some 32,700 had been raised in Poland, nearly half of which was made up of infantry and dragoons.
This move was a direct response to the changed military situation following the outbreak of the Cossack revolt and demonstrated that the Poles fully appreciated the need to change the whole basis of their defensive structure; it was this new, regular army which played the central role in meeting the Swedish threat after 1656. Nevertheless, despite the successes won by these forces against Swedish, Muscovite and Cossack armies, in the long term, the attempt to create a permanent military establishment more suited to defend the Commonwealth withered before it could reach maturity. That it did so was partly due to the destruction wrought by warfare after 1648, which made it impossible to raise enough money. More important were political factors: the uneasy division of power between the king and the diet stimulated endless disputes over control of the armed forces, while the decentralized system of assessing and collection of taxation, essentially in the hands of the sejmiki, proved incapable of supporting the regular army which was more expensive than the previously ad hoc formations.
The 1660s thus saw a vital watershed in the Commonwealthâs military development. The collapse of the royal plans for political reform and the abdication of Jan Kazimierz in 1668 opened the way to political anarchy with the diet paralyzed by the increasingly frequent use of the liberum veto, which ensured that it was virtually impossible to raise the taxes necessary to support a permanent military establishment. The attitudes toward the military which underpinned this political anarchy, however, had already been in place in the 1660s, when the kingâs willingness to use force to back his political plans confirmed all the suspicions about royal intentions dating back to the reign of Zygmunt III (1587â1632), if not before. The greatest danger to Polish liberties, it seemed, was the Polish monarchy and its alleged desire to introduce absolutum dominium by force of arms; it was therefore vital to prevent it building up the sort of military power-base which Jan Kazimierz had attempted to construct. The defeat of his reform plans in the civil war of 1665â1667 doomed all subsequent attempts to create a large standing army in the Commonwealth and paved the way to first Russian hegemony, and then partition.
Our understanding of the role of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania in the Rzeczpospolita has also been transformed by recent research. I would like to emphasize, in particular, the importance of Robert Frostâs magisterial The Making of the Polish-Lithuanian Union, 1385â1569 published in 2015. As he clearly shows, the various documents of the union between Poland and Lithuania drawn up between 1385 and 1569 distinguish carefully between the Corona Regni Poloniae, embodying the Community of the Realm orâas it was increasingly termedâthe Rzeczpospolita, and the Regnum, or the state (paĹstwo). Thus at Krewo in 1385 it was very clearly stated that the agreement with JagieĹĹo was made on behalf of the Corona Regni, not the Regnum, while in HorodĹo, the terms were very carefully distinguished. Moreover, the successful agreement finally thrashed out in Lublin in 1569 distinguishes clearly between state and republic. When the union was being established, the Polish community of the realm had insisted that the Grand Duchy had been incorporated into the kingdom of Poland. The Lithuanians opposed this interpretation strongly, demanding that the union was one in which two states were united as equals; the dispute was only resolved when the Poles effectively accepted the Lithuanian point of view. According to the Lublin text,
the Kingdom of Poland and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania already form one indivisible and uniform body and are not distinct, but compos...