I INTRODUCTION
Forests currently cover about 40% of Earth’s ice-free land surface (52.4 × 106 km2), a loss of 10 × 106 km2 from that estimated were it not for the presence of humans (see Chapter 9). Although a large fraction of forestland has been converted to agricultural and urban uses, we remain dependent on that remaining for the production of paper products, lumber, and fuelwood. In addition to wood products, forested lands produce freshwater from mountain watersheds, cleanse the air of many pollutants, offer habitat for wildlife and domestic grazing animals, and provide recreational opportunity. With projected increases in human population and rising standards of living, the importance of the world’s remaining forests will likely continue to increase, and, along with it, the challenge to manage and sustain this critical resource.
Humans affect forests at many scales. In individual stands, our activities influence the composition, cover, age, and density of the vegetation. At the scale of landscapes, we alter the kinds of stands present and their spatial arrangement, which influences the movement of wind, water, animals, and soils. At the regional level, we introduce by-products into the air that may fertilize or kill forests. At the global scale, our consumption of fossil fuels has increased atmospheric carbon dioxide levels and possibly changed the way that carbon is distributed in vegetation, soils, and the atmosphere, with implications on global climate. The worldwide demand for forest products has stimulated not only the transfer of processed wood products from one country to another, but also the introduction of nonnative tree species, along with associated pests, that threaten native forests and fauna. While the management of forested lands is becoming increasingly important, it is also becoming more contentious because less land is available for an increasing range of demands. Pressure to extract more resources from a dwindling base is leading to a number of challenging questions. Is it possible to maintain wildlife habitat and timber production on the same land unit, and still retain the land’s hydrologic integrity? Where should forested land be preserved for aesthetic values, and where should it be managed for maximum wood production? How can an entire watershed be managed so that the availability of water to distant agricultural fields and cities is assured?
This book does not provide specific answers to these management questions, as each situation is unique. Rather, it offers a framework for analyses and introduces a set of tools that together provide a quantitative basis for judging the implications of a wide variety of management decisions on the natural resource base, viewed at broader spatial scales and longer time dimensions than was previously possible. It is our supposition that if we are to be successful stewards of forests we must find a way to integrate what is known into predictive models and apply new methods to validate or invalidate the predictions of these models over Earth’s broad surface. We believe that advances in modeling provide such a basis for the analysis of forest ecosystems at multiple scales and strive to illustrate the underlying principles and their application.
One of the major concessions in scaling that we are required to accept is the need to reduce the amount of detail to a minimum. This requirement has the advantage of reducing the cost and complexity of analyses, but it demands insights into which ecosystem properties are critical and then determining how they may be condensed into integrative indices and monitored at progressively larger scales. By modeling ecosystem behavior at different scales we gain confidence in the appropriateness of key variables, when those variables should best be monitored, and the extent to which the analyses apply generally.
This book is structured to start the analysis of forest ecosystems at the level of individual stands and gradually expand the time and space scales. In doing this, we have incorporated throughout the text many of the principles presented in the U.S. Ecological Society of America report on “the scientific basis for ecosystem management” (Christensen et al., 1996). We emphasize quantifying our present understanding of ecosystem operation with soundly based, tested ecological models, but we also identify some important gaps in research. When covering the breadth of topics needed for multiscale analysis, we are unable to review all topics comprehensively but provide over a thousand references to original sources. Although we incorporate how human activities and forested ecosystems interact, we do not advocate specific management policies. We believe, however, that sounder decisions are possible by projecting the implications of various management policies at a variety of scales when models rest on common underlying biophysical and ecological principles.