Info-Gap Decision Theory
eBook - PDF

Info-Gap Decision Theory

Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty

  1. 384 pages
  2. English
  3. PDF
  4. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - PDF

Info-Gap Decision Theory

Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty

About this book

Everyone makes decisions, but not everyone is a decision analyst. A decision analyst uses quantitative models and computational methods to formulate decision algorithms, assess decision performance, identify and evaluate options, determine trade-offs and risks, evaluate strategies for investigation, and so on. Info-Gap Decision Theory is written for decision analysts. The term "decision analyst" covers an extremely broad range of practitioners. Virtually all engineers involved in design (of buildings, machines, processes, etc.) or analysis (of safety, reliability, feasibility, etc.) are decision analysts, usually without calling themselves by this name. In addition to engineers, decision analysts work in planning offices for public agencies, in project management consultancies, they are engaged in manufacturing process planning and control, in financial planning and economic analysis, in decision support for medical or technological diagnosis, and so on and on. Decision analysts provide quantitative support for the decision-making process in all areas where systematic decisions are made. This second edition entails changes of several sorts. First, info-gap theory has found application in several new areas - especially biological conservation, economic policy formulation, preparedness against terrorism, and medical decision-making. Pertinent new examples have been included. Second, the combination of info-gap analysis with probabilistic decision algorithms has found wide application. Consequently "hybrid" models of uncertainty, which were treated exclusively in a separate chapter in the previous edition, now appear throughout the book as well as in a separate chapter. Finally, info-gap explanations of robust-satisficing behavior, and especially the Ellsberg and Allais "paradoxes", are discussed in a new chapter together with a theorem indicating when robust-satisficing will have greater probability of success than direct optimizing with uncertain models. - New theory developed systematically - Many examples from diverse disciplines - Realistic representation of severe uncertainty - Multi-faceted approach to risk - Quantitative model-based decision theory

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Yes, you can access Info-Gap Decision Theory by Yakov Ben-Haim in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Computer Science & Operations. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Table of contents

  1. Front Cover
  2. Info-Gap Decision Theory
  3. Copyright Page
  4. Contents
  5. Preface to the 1st edition
  6. Preface to the 2nd edition
  7. 1 Overview
  8. 2 Uncertainty
  9. 3 Robustness and Opportuneness
  10. 4 Value Judgments
  11. 5 Antagonistic and Sympathetic Immunities
  12. 6 Gambling and Risk Sensitivity
  13. 7 Value of Information
  14. 8 Learning
  15. 9 Coherent Uncertainties and Consensus
  16. 10 Hybrid Uncertainties
  17. 11 Robust-Satisficing Behavior
  18. 12 Retrospective Essay: Risk Assessment in Project Management
  19. 13 Implications of Info-Gap Uncertainty
  20. References
  21. Author Index
  22. Subject Index