The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies
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The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies

Argentina, Brazil, Peru, and Venezuela

Kurt Weyland

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eBook - PDF

The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies

Argentina, Brazil, Peru, and Venezuela

Kurt Weyland

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About This Book

This book takes a powerful new approach to a question central to comparative politics and economics: Why do some leaders of fragile democracies attain political success--culminating in reelection victories--when pursuing drastic, painful economic reforms while others see their political careers implode? Kurt Weyland examines, in particular, the surprising willingness of presidents in four Latin American countries to enact daring reforms and the unexpected resultant popular support. He argues that only with the robust cognitive-psychological insights of prospect theory can one fully account for the twists and turns of politics and economic policy in Argentina, Brazil, Peru, and Venezuela during the 1980s and 1990s.
Assessing conventional approaches such as rational choice, Weyland concludes that prospect theory is vital to any systematic attempt to understand the politics of market reform. Under this theory, if actors perceive themselves to be in a losing situation they are inclined toward risks; if they see a winning situation around them, they prefer caution.
In Latin America, Weyland finds, where the public faced an open crisis it backed draconian reforms. And where such reforms yielded an apparent economic recovery, many citizens and their leaders perceived prospects of gains. Successful leaders thus won reelection and the new market model achieved political sustainability. Weyland concludes this accessible book by considering when his novel approach can be used to study crises generally and how it might be applied to a wider range of cases from Latin America, Africa, and Eastern Europe.

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126
Chapter 
Five
Figure 
5.1. 
Popular 
Approval 
of 
Menem 
and 
His 
Economic 
Plan, 
1989–99.
Source:
Mora 
y 
Araujo 
& 
Asociados, 
as 
reported 
in 
Gelineau 
(2000: 
21).
in 
Argentina, 
Brazil, 
and 
Peru, 
the 
popular 
approval 
they 
elicited 
di-
verged 
from 
rational 
calculations 
of 
expected 
value.
Initial 
Popular 
Approval 
vs. 
Rejection
of 
Neoliberal 
Shock 
Programs
Large 
numbers 
of 
Argentines 
supported 
President 
Menem’s 
costly 
and
risky 
efforts 
at 
economic 
adjustment 
and 
restructuring. 
The 
stabiliza-
tion 
plan 
of 
July 
1989 
was 
endorsed 
by 
77 
percent 
and 
72 
percent 
of
Greater 
Buenos 
Aires 
residents 
in 
August 
and 
October 
1989, 
respec-
tively, 
and 
the 
president 
himself 
received 
positive 
evaluations 
from 
89
percent 
and 
85 
percent 
(Mora 
y 
Araujo 
1990: 
4). 
After 
subsequent 
eco-
nomic 
problems 
depressed 
Menem’s 
popularity 
during 
parts 
of 
1990
and 
1991, 
the 
stabilization 
measures 
enacted 
by 
Economy 
Minister
Gonz´
alez 
in 
1990 
and 
the 
Convertibility 
Plan 
of 
1991 
raised 
it 
again 
to
45–70 
percent 
of 
positive 
endorsements 
(see 
g. 
5.1).
48
The 
congressio-
48
The 
lines 
in 
gure 
5.1 
refer 
to 
evaluations 
of 
Menem 
and 
the 
stabilization 
plan 
as
“very 
good” 
and 
“good”—exclusive 
of 
“fair” 
(
regular
)—and 
are 
therefore 
lower 
than

Table of contents

Citation styles for The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies

APA 6 Citation

Weyland, K. (2021). The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies ([edition unavailable]). Princeton University Press. Retrieved from https://www.perlego.com/book/1983624/the-politics-of-market-reform-in-fragile-democracies-argentina-brazil-peru-and-venezuela-pdf (Original work published 2021)

Chicago Citation

Weyland, Kurt. (2021) 2021. The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies. [Edition unavailable]. Princeton University Press. https://www.perlego.com/book/1983624/the-politics-of-market-reform-in-fragile-democracies-argentina-brazil-peru-and-venezuela-pdf.

Harvard Citation

Weyland, K. (2021) The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies. [edition unavailable]. Princeton University Press. Available at: https://www.perlego.com/book/1983624/the-politics-of-market-reform-in-fragile-democracies-argentina-brazil-peru-and-venezuela-pdf (Accessed: 15 October 2022).

MLA 7 Citation

Weyland, Kurt. The Politics of Market Reform in Fragile Democracies. [edition unavailable]. Princeton University Press, 2021. Web. 15 Oct. 2022.