The Rise of Populism
Pro: Stephen K. Bannon
Con: David Frum
November 2, 2018
Toronto, Ontario
RUDYARD GRIFFITHS: Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for being here for the Munk Debate on the Rise of Populism. My name is Rudyard Griffiths and itâs my privilege to organize this debate series and to once again to act as your moderator. I want to start tonightâs proceedings by welcoming the North Americanâwide television and radio audience tuning in to this debate, everywhere from CPAC, Canadaâs public affairs channel, to C-SPAN across the continental United States, to CBC Radioâs Ideas. A warm hello also to our online audience watching this debate right now via our social media partner, Facebook, on Facebook Live, and on the Munk Debate website. And finally, hello to you, the over 2,800 people and counting â who braved some protests tonight to be here in this hall for this important debate on this vital subject. All of us at the Munk Debates thank you for standing 38up for substantive, serious conversation on the big issues changing our world. Thank you. Bravo.
Thank you also to the Aurea Foundation, which has had the courage to support this series year in and year out for over a decade. Letâs have a warm round of applause for the Munk family and the late, and great, Peter Munk.
Tonightâs debate is happening just days before the critical midterm elections in the United States, and it will tackle one of the most important issues facing the Western world: the rise of populist politics. Tonight, weâre going to ask these two debaters to answer some important questions. Is the West living through a populist sea change that will irrevocably transform our politics? Or can the long-standing liberal values â liberal values of trade, of society, of politics â push back against the populist surge and reassert their primacy in the twenty-first century? Letâs find out by getting this debate underway, and getting our debaters out here centre stage.
Arguing in favour of tonightâs resolution, âBe it resolved: the future of Western politics is populist not liberal,â is the former strategist to President Donald Trump and global populist campaigner Stephen K. Bannon.
Speaking against tonightâs motion is the bestselling author, the Atlantic magazineâs senior editor, and staunch critic of President Trump and populist politics, Torontoâs own David Frum.
For those of you watching online, we have a rolling poll and hashtag going tonight. That hashtag â and itâs trending already, trust me â is #MunkDebate. You can also go onto our website, www.munkdebates.com/vote, and be part of a rolling poll that will assess these debatersâ performance.
Finally, we have our countdown clock â and debaters pay attention, because this is important. In the final minute or so of each of the different segments of this debate, this audience will see a clock appear on the screen. When that clock reaches zero, join me in a loud round of applause, and that will keep our debaters on their toes, and our debate on time.
Now, this is going to be fun. Tonight, weâre going to experiment with some live voting on the resolution. All of you received a clicker when you came in. Please take it out now and weâre going to ask you to vote on the resolution.
If you are in favour of the motion, âBe it resolved: the future of Western politics is populist not liberal,â I want you to press A or the number one on your clicker. If you are opposed to the motion, youâre going to press B or the number two.
Iâm going to remind the online audience that they can go to our website, www.munkdebates.com/vote. Weâve got a question live there right now that lets you vote on the resolution and also see how your fellow online watchers are gauging opinion at the start of this debate.
Okay, letâs close that question now that weâve all had a chance to vote, and letâs see the results. What is this audience thinking as it goes into tonightâs debate? How is public opinion sectionided in this room? There we have it: 28 percent of you agree with the resolution; 72 percent of you disagree. An interesting start.
Now weâre going to ask a second question: Are you likely to change your opinion over the course of this debate? Might you hear something on stage that could cause you to switch your vote at the end of the evening? If you think you could change your vote, press the number one or the letter A. If your mind is set â if youâre fixed here; if youâre coming in with a view and you donât think youâre going to get budged from it â press number two or the letter B. And again, to our online audience, you can do the same thing via our online poll.
Letâs get those results up now. Weâre going to close that question and show our debaters how much opinion in this hall is in play â 57 percent of you. A majority could potentially change their vote. So this debate is very much in play. Letâs get it under way.
Weâre going to start with opening statements: eight minutes each â a bit longer than usual to give these two debaters time to articulate their views. And as per convention, the person speaking in favour of the motion will go first. So Stephen Bannon, I hand the podium over to you.
STEPHEN BANNON: Thank you. I want to thank the people of Toronto, and the Munk family, for hosting this and having me here tonight; and the men and women outside who are exercising their freedom-of-speech rights to protest.
Itâs not a question of whether populism is on the rise and going to be the political future. The only question before us is: Is it going to be populist nationalism or populist socialism? To understand the velocity, the intensity, the depth of the populist revolt on a global basis, we have to go back to the beginning, to what Hollywood would call the âinciting incident.â I want to take you back to September 18, 2008, Washington, D.C., the Oval Office. I think itâs ten or eleven oâclock in the morning, President Bush â
[shouts from the audience]
RUDYARD GRIFFITHS: We respect your right to free speech, but we have 2,800 people in this audience who want this debate to go on. Could I get a round of applause, please, for this debate to proceed? Thank you.
Weâre going to follow a policy tonight: this person has been cautioned. If she does not stop, she will be asked to leave this debate. Madam, it is your decision: you can stay or you can go. What are we going to do?
Okay, sorry; youâre still engaging. Officers, weâre going to move forward with our plan. If we can remove the person from the hall, please. Thank you very much. A big round of applause for the Toronto Police Service this evening â fabulous job. Okay, Stephen, youâve got the floor again.
STEPHEN BANNON: Thank you. Weâre in the Oval Office. Head of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke and Secretary of the Treasury Hank Paulson walk in and tell the president of the United States, âBy five oâclock this afternoon â by close of business â we need a $1 trillion cash infusion into the American financial system. If we donât get it, the American financial system will implode in seventy-two hours, the world financial system three days after that, and we will have global anarchy and chaos.â
The greatest enemies to the United States â Mussolini, Hitler, Tojo, the Soviet Union, al-Qaeda, Osama bin Laden â nobodyâs ever brought the United States to its knees like that day. Who did that? Whoâs responsible for that? The populists? Donald Trump? No. The elites: the financial, the corporate, the permanent political class that runs Washington, D.C. Thatâs who did it.
What was their solution? To create money and bail themselves out. On the day that happened, the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve was $880 billion. When Donald Trump took the oath of office on January 20, 2017, it was $4.5 trillion. We flooded the zone with liquidity, just like the Bank of Tokyo, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank. The âParty at Davosâ â the elites â bailed themselves out, afraid of some sort of deflationary death spiral. Thatâs not a free bailout; thereâs a corollary to that. Savings accounts are zero; pension funds have the biggest gap in history; you canât underwrite a bond in the United States because you only get â for a public school or waterworks â you get 2 percent. The little guy would bear the burden of that. If youâve owned assets, intellectual property, stocks, real estate, hedge funds â you name it â in the last ten years, you had the greatest run in history. For everybody else, it was a disaster.
Fifty percent of American families canât put their hands on $400 in cash. Sixty percent of our jobs are subsistence jobs. The populist movement, the nationalist movement, is not a cause of that; itâs a product of that. Donald Trumpâs presidency is not a cause of that; itâs a product of that. When I stepped into the campaign in mid-August, the central number was that 70 percent of the American people believed for the first time in our history that the country was in decline, and that the elites were okay with that. That âmanaged declineâ was the wave of the future, whether it was education, the southern border, China, Korea, Iran, or our health system. It was Donald Trump who turned that around.
The âParty at Davosâ â the scientific, managerial, engineering, financial, cultural elite who run the world â have left a financial wasteland, and have decoupled from the middle class and the working class throughout the world. That is why we have Matteo Salvini and Viktor OrbĂĄn, and Brexit, and now Jair Bolsonaro. It shouldnât be lost on you: the day Captain Bolsonaro is elected is the day Angela Merkel will leave the stage.
Trumpâs economic nationalism doesnât care about your race, your religion, your ethnicity, your colour â
[laughter from the audience]
Okay, okay; Iâve got a whole night to convert you â I saw the 28 percent!
It doesnât matter your gender, your sexual preference. Trumpâs economic nationalism only cares if youâre a citizen. Look at the results: lowest black unemployment in history; lowest Hispanic unemployment in thirty years; wages rising across the board; manufacturing jobs coming back. The populist nationalist message and its policies are working in the United States. And itâs spreading: the revolt in Europe and now in Latin America â and I get contacted every day from Asia, from Africa, from the Middle East. Weâre at the beginning of a new political revolution â and that is populism.
The only question before us is this: Is it going to be a populist nationalism that believes in capitalism, in deconstructing the administrative state, in giving the little guy a piece of the action, and in breaking up the âcrony capitalismâ of big corporations and big government? Or is it going to be a Jeremy Corbyn and Bernie Sanders type of populist socialism? Because the âParty at Davosâ and the elites have blown too many calls â too many existential events: the rise of China; the $7 trillion spent on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; the deregulation that led to the financial crisis in 2008; the bailouts; where we are today in this overleveraged society â because as most of you in this room who work in finance know, weâre heading toward another financial crisis.
That is the question before us. What form of populism? And I hope tonight that the good people in Toronto will listen with open ears as we debate this topic. Thank you very much.
RUDYARD GRIFFITHS: Thank you, Stephen. David, weâre going to put eight minutes on the clock for your opening statement. You have the stage.
DAVID FRUM: Thank you. Well, I think weâre all here to welcome Steve Bannon to President Trumpâs least favourite country. I worry that some of those protesters may have confirmed the idea that Canada does present a pillowcase national security threat.
Iâd like to begin tonight by taking the protestersâ question very seriously: âWhy are we here and what are we hoping to achieve?â Weâre not here to mount an entertainment or to do a show. We are here to engage in the most important, most dangerous challenge that liberal democratic institutions have faced since the end of communism. Steve Bannon is a figure from history, a very important person. He advised the president of the United States at a time when that future president was on his way to losing, and Steve Bannon helped to turn the campaign around. He has been an advisor to parties all across Europe, many of which hold power, as in Italy. He has been an advisor to the new president of Brazil. His Breitbart.com became an urgent force in American politics, transforming conservatism into a new kind of political movement. All of that is his work.
So what do I hope to accomplish tonight by being here with him and engaging with him? I want to do three things.
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