Chapter 1
Welcome to the House of Fun
ââŠthere is a sort of buoyancy in Ulster at the momentâŠâ
IAN PAISLEY, April 20071
Historic moments abounded in Northern Ireland in 2007.
But nothing came close to matching the jaw-dropping moment on Monday 26 March when, at a televised press conference in Stormont, Ian Paisley confirmed the news that a power-sharing deal had been successfully negotiated. The camera panned back to show unbelieving viewers that Sinn Féin President Gerry Adams was sitting beside the DUP leader. That image was thanks in no small part to some clever improvisation behind the scenes.
The DUP had wanted the two leaders to be facing each other, while Sinn FĂ©in insisted on them being side by side. Thanks to a diamond-shaped table formation, the two options were more or less satisfied. Paisley and Adams each sat at the end of their partyâs table, bringing them beside each other if not quite side by side. The image management could not stretch to a historic handshake, however.
A deal had seemed anything but inevitable just a few days earlier. Monday 26 March had been Secretary of State Peter Hainâs absolutely final deadline for the restoration of devolution. But the DUP was determined to bust its way through that date. That meant the only way for it to avoid a total collapse of the process was to negotiate directly with Adams and co. on establishing devolution.
âToday, we have agreed with Sinn FĂ©in that this date will be Tuesday 8 May 2007,â Paisley announced at the press conference.2 His statement that day was well crafted, giving every sign that he was going to throw himself into the new arrangements 100 per cent. It explained that âimportant preparatory workâ between the parties would get underway in advance of devolution day. âThis will include regular meetings between the future First and Deputy First Minister,â he added. That meant Paisley and Sinn FĂ©inâs Martin McGuinness, a one-time top IRA man in Derry.
The famous Paisley rhetoric was expertly employed at the press conference, bridging the pain of the past and hopes for the future. âI want to make it clear that I am committed to delivering not only for those who voted for the DUP but for all the people of Northern Ireland,â he said. âWe must not allow our justified loathing of the horrors and tragedies of the past to become a barrier to creating a better and more stable future.â And so the PaisleyâMcGuinness double act was born.
The First and Deputy First Ministers were soon laughing enthusiastically together at public appearances, even when there did not seem to be anything very funny going on. The nickname âChuckle Brothersâ was coined in the summer of 2007, and attributed to an unnamed Ulster Unionist. This comment was quoted in a BBC Northern Ireland report marking the first 100 days of devolution.3 The original Chuckle Brothers were a comedy double act from childrenâs TV. The BBC Northern Ireland report also referred to government officials talking about the âchemistryâ between Paisley and McGuinness.
Although it eventually caused the DUP problems as it continued over the months, the chuckling did not seem like much of a liability at first. Paisley was demonstrating publicly that he was comfortable in his role, and determined to make it work. He gave an insight into the working relationship in one early interview, hinting at private jocularity within their department, the Office of the First Minister and Deputy First Minister (OFMDFM). âWe have had agreement at the end of the day after perhaps a fair bit of argument and stating our views but it has been courteous, it has been honest, it has been straight, and it has also been tinged by a measure of sarcasm by both of us.â4
The Stormont honeymoon period went well beyond the two First Ministers. When the devolution project started to struggle in 2008, there was much speculation about a chill between McGuinness and Paisleyâs successor, Peter Robinson. But they also evidently got on well during a joint trip to the US in June 2007. The pair represented the new Stormont administration at the opening of a major Northern Ireland promotional drive in the States.5 Robinson declared:
When you visit usâas I hope you willâyou will be in no doubt about the astounding progress that is being made. Our two traditions are serving together in a new government. It is a government that is about change, about building, about progress, about promoting a confident and capable Northern Ireland and I believe there is no limit to what we can achieve together.6
In a joint BBC interview with McGuinness in Washington, Robinson said: âWe have been working together for nearly two months and we havenât had a row.â7
At times, the joint DUPâSinn FĂ©in choreography of the early days was almost beyond satire. OFMDFM Junior Ministers Ian Paisley Jnr and Gerry Kelly enthusiastically launched a new âsuperheroesâ comic for primary schoolchildren. A government press release helpfully explained: âHerbie Healthy, Sophie Safe, Archie Achiever, Emer the Eco Girl, Donna Does-a-lot and Rory Rights will use their super powers to help in the fight to secure a better society for children and ensure their needs are kept at the heart of government and the community.â8 Even ardent supporters of the peace process sometimes had to suppress memories of Gerry Kellyâs days as an IRA bomber. Likewise, it would have been unhelpful to recall all the abuse that Paisley Jnr and his DUP colleagues had been hurling at Kelly just a few years earlier.
Just in case there is any confusion, incidentally, this was the same Paisley Jnr who in 1999 had condemned the creation of the OFMDFM junior minister posts as a âwaste of taxpayersâ moneyâ. That was back when those jobs had gone to SDLP and Ulster Unionist MLAs. Paisley Jnr had at that time also described the two posts as âsuperfluousâ and claimed that the Assembly was âquickly becoming a white elephantâ. His outburstâin December 1999âwas echoed by senior Sinn FĂ©in MLA and future minister Conor Murphy. Murphy claimed the junior minister positions were âthe most blatant case of cronyism and jobbery imaginableâ.9 Time had clearly moved on by the summer of 2007âMurphy and Paisley Jnr were Ministers together for a start. Everyone, it seemed, was on-message by then, and any cynicism or criticism was officially frowned upon.
Feelings of optimism went well beyond the confines of Stormont. Paisley Snr was not far off the mark when he told an interviewer: âI believe there is a sort of buoyancy in Ulster at the moment among both Roman Catholics and Protestantsâthat theyâre seeing a way forward.â10 The spring weather that year was unusually warm and dry for several weeks. (Like a clumsy metaphor in a bad romantic novel, the summer turned out to be particularly wet and miserable.)
There were other elements to the feeling of optimism that had nothing to do with the Assembly, but nevertheless added to a real sense of optimism. The Northern Ireland football team was enjoying its best run for a generation, thanks to the inspired management of Lawrie Sanchez and the goal-scoring prowess of David Healy. On 28 March, just two days after that PaisleyâAdams press conference, Northern Ireland claimed another famous giant-killing home win, defeating Sweden 2â1. In one of his more cringe-making comments of the year, Paisley Jnr said: âNorthern Ireland is doing fantastically wellâjust like the DUP. They win all their big games and they have a superhero called Healy, we win all our big games and we have a superhero called Paisley!â11
Football soon provided another metaphor for devolution disappointment. Sanchez quit his Northern Ireland job a few weeks after the Sweden game to seek English premiership glory with London club Fulham. Healy was one of his first signings in his new job. They both flopped, and Sanchez was out of work within months.
Aside from football, there had been plenty more to cheer about on the sporting front in the first half of 2007. Irelandâs cricketers had achieved amazing success at the World Cup in the West Indies, defeating Pakistan and qualifying for the final stages of the tournament. Earlier in the year, sport and Irish history had combined magnificently. Irelandâs rugby team had found a temporary new home in Dublinâs Croke Park and had received a warm welcome in the GAA citadel. Englandâs rugby players were given a respectful welcome to the stadium and then happily thrashed.
On the music front, meanwhile, Northern Ireland band Snow Patrol had become one of the UKâs biggest rock acts. An article in the Belfast Telegraph noted: âThey are headlining big summer festivals this year and it seems their songs are being played on the radio around the clock.â12 A Northern Ireland band had not enjoyed such a level of success since The Undertones in the late 1970s.
The optimism extended to the economic sphere as well. Tourists from various parts of the world were no longer a rarity on the streets. Belfastâs locals looked on with bemusement as open-topped tour buses became increasingly common. University of Ulster economist Michael Smyth commented: âA buoyancy in civil society about its own worth and own identityâhelped by the political settlement and underscored by sporting and other achievementsâis certainly a necessary condition for us to start to rebuild. But itâs not sufficient. We need to have a hard slog of selling ourselves to investors.â13 The commonly expressed economic hope was that the province could emulate the âCeltic Tigerâ success of the Irish Republic. The phrase âglobal credit crunchâ had not been coined at that stage.
The property market was enjoying the good times too. As the fine wines flowed, there were many after-dinner chats among the middle classes about the incredible sums their homes were now worth. Tales abounded of apartment blocks in various districts being snapped up in no time by buy-to-let investors. Home-owners were being approached by developers, keen to pay well over the asking priceâand then knock down the properties to make way for new townhouses and flats.
One newspaper item published three days after the ground-breaking PaisleyâAdams press conference epitomised the period perfectly. It reported that bidding on a red-brick detached home on Alliance Avenue in north Belfast had reached ÂŁ800,000.14 The property had been put on the market three weeks earlier for just ÂŁ285,000. The rich symbolism lay in the fact that Alliance Avenue sat in the heart of one of the cityâs worst sectarian killing zones of the Troubles.
There was much excitement on the retail front as well. Middle-class spending power in particular was being buoyed by the property bonanza. The imminent opening of the provinceâs first IKEA furniture store was awaited with something close to euphoria in some quarters. And Belfast was looking forward to its new ÂŁ400 million Victoria Square, bulging with designer clothes stores. Paisley and McGuinness were among the dignitaries present when the trendy centreâs long-awaited opening was finally held in March 2008. Belfast was being marketed as cool. Only the bitterest begrudger would surely have recalled the unique Victorian-era Kitchen Bar that had been controversially demolished to make way for Victoria Square.
The economic illusions that underpinned the apparent good times of 2007 painfully emerged over the course of the first 12 months of devolution. These hard lessons in financial reality will be examined later in this book. But itâs worth noting at this point that few if any sceptical voices were raised at Stormont at the time. Nobody seemed to think that the party might be followed by a hangover.
The positive atmosphere that followed the power-sharing deal also had a manufactured aspect to it. That was primarily because one of the first significant acts of the new power-sharing executive was to put looming household water charges on hold.
The hated âtap taxâ formed part of the âreform agendaâ enthusiastically pursued by Secretary of State Peter Hain and his Northern Ireland Office (NIO) ministerial team. It proved an effective lever for pushing Assembly members towards devolution. Hain, who arrived in the province following the Labour general election victory in May 2005, never tired of pushing his policy programme.
This was a break with the previous Direct Rule approach, where ministers largely held the fort in the expectation that the Assembly would be returning. âCare and maintenanceâ was one way of describing the pre-Hain attitude. One senior figure from the Northern Ireland Civil Service coined the phrase âwarm storageâ to sum up the thinking. Hain was much more proactive, and in the process managed to annoy quite a few people.
A source close to his NIO team insists that this was not an evil plot to hasten devolutionâs return. âIt was always a misunderstanding that this was about doing unpopular things deliberately,â he says. âDecisions were taken on the basis of what was genuinely believed to be the right thing to do.â This source confirms that Hainâs hands-on approach was a âdeliberate policy changeâ. âIt was agreed in Downing Street, but wasnât born in Downing Street. They had to be persuaded. What we wanted to look likeâand this was the big differenceâwas that we were enjoying it.â It was correctly anticipated that this would impact on the mood among Northern Irelandâs political parties. âIt built a sense, which helped the situation, that this was unfair, that this was their job. It created an itch to get round the table and make those decisions themselves.â
The NIO source points out that aspects of the Direct Rule policy drive were well received, including reductions in hospital waiting times. It is true to say that some Hain initiatives had admirers, not least in the voluntary and environmental sectors. But water charges were far from being the only contentious aspect of his âreform agendaâ. The list also included the scrapping of the 11-plus transfer test, reform of household rates, and plans to slash the number of councils.
The councils issue was never likely to have people marching in the streets. But it was felt deeply at grass-roots level in politics. Councillors were not excited at the idea of losing their seats and the prestige that went with th...