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WHO IS ALEXEI NAVALNY?
âArenât you afraid?â
Alexei Navalny faces this question as he boards Pobeda (âVictoryâ) Airlines flight DP936 at Berlin Brandenburg Airport. Itâs Sunday, 17 January 2021.1
The plane is packed with journalists eager to accompany Navalnyâthe forty-four-year-old anti-corruption activist and opposition politicianâon his journey home. Entering the cabin with his wife, lawyer, and press secretary, he encounters a sea of smartphones held up to capture and livestream the moment. The world is watching.
Navalny is upbeat and optimistic. But he clearly has reasons to be afraid. Russian law enforcement had earlier warned he would be detained upon his return to Russia, accusing him of violating parole conditions for a 2014 fraud conviction. He faced years in prison.
That Navalny was able to walk on to a plane at all was a miracle. The last time heâd boarded a flight on his own was in Tomsk, Siberia, on 20 August 2020, for what should have been a routine trip back to Moscow. Heâd been working on an investigation into the business activities of officials and municipal politicians in Tomsk.2 Heâd also been campaigning with opposition forces in the run-up to regional and local elections on 13 Septemberâpolls in which he hoped to secure victories against candidates backed by the authorities.
But things started to go wrong during the flight. Navalny became ill, eventually howling with what appeared to be agonising pain.3 According to one passenger, Navalny âwasnât saying any wordsâhe was just screamingâ.4 A flight attendant asked if there were any medical professionals on board. A nurse came forward. Along with the cabin crew, she administered first aidâand tried to keep Navalny conscious.
The pilot decided to make an emergency landing in Omskâaround 750 kilometres west of Tomsk, but still in Siberiaâdespite a mysterious bomb scare at the airport.5 Navalny was stretchered off the plane and taken by ambulance to an emergency hospital.
Navalnyâs press secretary, Kira Yarmysh, said that the only thing Navalny had eaten or drunk that day was black tea from a plastic cup at the airport before his flightâand that this might have been laced with poison.6 Navalny was, it seemed, a fit man with no known health problems, who didnât smoke and drank littleânot the profile of somebody likely to become suddenly unwell.
Yarmyshâs fear was worryingly familiar to those following Russian politics. In previous years, personalities critical of the Kremlin had fallen illâand suspicions were rife that they had been poisoned.7 At the same time, Navalny had made many enemies with his investigations into elite corruptionâbusiness-people, local politicians, high officials.8 The list of potential suspects was long.
On arrival at hospital, it was reported that Navalny received a preliminary diagnosis of âacute psychodysleptic poisoningâ.9 He was put on a ventilator, placed into a medically induced coma, and administered atropine.10 His condition was described as âserious but stableâ.11 Normal medical processes were taking their course.
But then things took an odd turn.
The hospital began to fill with law enforcement personnel, some in plain clothes.12 And they started confiscating Navalnyâs personal belongings, Yarmysh said.13
When the plane Navalny had been on finally reached Moscow, law enforcement officials were waiting to board the aircraft. They instructed passengers who had been sitting closest to Navalny to stay put while others disembarked. This struck one passenger as puzzling: âAt that point, the case did not look criminal ⊠[and yet] security officials clearly thought the incident to be criminal all the same.â14
Back in Omsk, Navalnyâs wife, Yulia, faced difficulties in getting to her husbandâbecause, the hospital authorities said, he had not explicitly consented to her visit.15 And doctors became less forthcoming about Navalnyâs condition with his team, who wanted to move him to Germany for treatment. On 21 Augustâthat is, a day after Navalny was hospitalisedâa plane ready to transport him to Berlinâs CharitĂ© Hospital landed in Omsk.
A strange incident was also reported by Ivan Zhdanovâa close associate of Navalnyâand Yulia Navalnaya. They claimed that, during a conversation with the head of the hospital, a policewoman said that a substance dangerous both to Navalny and others around him âhad been foundâ.16 But she declined to name it, as it was an âinvestigative secretâ.17
On the same day, a national Russian newspaper published a sensational story. Citing anonymous sources, it claimed that law enforcement personnel had been trailing Navalny in Tomsk. Had he been poisoned? The sources reported that âno unnecessary or suspicious contacts that could be linked with poisoningâ had been seen.18 The story was widely interpreted to be a controlled leak from Russiaâs Federal Security Service (FSB) to distance itself from the incident.19
Meanwhile, doctors in Omsk revised their initial diagnosis.20 They now said that Navalny was experiencing the effects of a serious metabolic disorder, not the effects of poisoning. The hospitalâs chief physician said this âmay have been caused by a sharp drop in blood sugar in the plane, which led to the loss of consciousnessâ.21 Doctors also now said that the substance found in samples from Navalnyâs hands and hair was a common industrial component and could have come from a plastic cup.22 And yet, they now thought that Navalnyâs condition was âunstableâ, and it would be inappropriate to fly him to Germany.
Navalnyâs personal doctor saw a clear motive: â[T]hey are waiting three days so that there are no traces of poison left in the body.â23 Yulia Navalnaya appealed directly to Vladimir Putin for permission to fly her husband abroad.24
After facing initial resistance, German medics were allowed access to Navalnyâand said he was in a suitable state to be flown to Berlin. And Russian doctors gave their consent, too, saying that his condition had âstabilisedâ. The plane took off from Omsk with Navalny on 22 August.
Two days after arriving in Berlin, German doctors said that they believed Navalny had been poisoned with a cholinesterase inhibitorâa substance that interferes with the nervous system.25 The source could have been an everyday pesticideâor a weapons-grade nerve agent. This news, therefore, increased suspicions relating to the Russian state.26
But Russian officials pushed back against the increasing number of fingers pointing at them. âWHY would we do it? And in such a clumsy inconclusive way?ââso tweeted one of Russiaâs top diplomats at the UN on 24 August.27 In early September, the speaker of the State Dumaâthe lower chamber of the Russian parliamentâclaimed the reaction of the West to the âallegedâ poisoning was a âplanned action against Russia in order to impose new sanctions and to try to hold back the development of our countryâ.28
Meanwhile, police authorities in Russia seemed in no hurry to investigate the incident. The regional transport policeâfar from a top law enforcement bodyâcarried out a âpreliminary investigationâ.29 The hotel where Navalny had stayed in Tomsk was inspected by police and FSB officers, but the local press mentioned this lasted only a âcouple of daysâ. To Navalnyâs associates who were questioned by the police, everything pointed to inactionâor worse, a cover-up.30
On 2 September, German Chancellor Angela Merkel asserted it was âbeyond doubtâ that Navalny had been poisoned with a nerve agent of the Novichok groupâa finding later confirmed by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons.31 This was the same type of nerve agent used against Sergei and Yulia Skripal in Salisbury, England, in March 2018âan attack the British government said was âoverwhelmingly likelyâ to have been ordered by President Putin.32
As with this earlier poisoning episode, the international reaction to Navalnyâs case became increasingly loud and critical of the Russian state. Merkel claimed the poisoning raised âvery serious questions that only the Russian government can answerâand must answerâ.33 In response, the Russian authorities said that the alleged proof of the poisoning had been found in Germanyâand it was, therefore, for the German authorities to cooperate with Russia and produce the corroborating evidence.34
In addition, a number of narratives emerged on state-aligned Russian media to contest the international accusations. Some questioned whether there was any poisoning at allâone Russian journalist wrote a whole book on the topic.35 Others said that, while Navalny might have been poisoned, Novichok was not used. So claimed the chemist Leonid Rink, who had worked on the Novichok programme himselfâand had even, according to his own testimony, sold doses of the substance to criminal groups in the 1990s.36 Navalny couldnât have been poisoned by the nerve agent because, if he had, Rink argued, Navalny would be dead.37 However, another chemist who had participated in the creation of Novichok found the symptoms Navalny experienced to be consistent with poisoning by the nerve agent.38
Yet another theory was that, although Novichok might have been used, it was not administered in Russia but in Germany. This version was voiced by Andrei Lugovoyâa member of the Russian parliament and a prime suspect in the 2006 assassination of a former FSB agent, Alexander Litvinenko, with polonium-210 in London.39
By 7 September, Navalny was out of a coma, making an incredibly speedy recovery. He was discharged from hospital on 23 September and then spent time rehabilitating in the Black Forest.40
Months passed. Navalny built up his strength, one push-up at a time. Elsewhere, others were busy investigating his poisoning. How was it carried outâand by whom?
On 14 December, Bellingcatâan online investigative journalism collectiveâreleased the findings of its investigation carried out with a Russian partner, The Insider, and in collaboration with CNN and Der Spiegel.41 Navalny, it claimed, had been poisoned by an FSB assassination teamâa âclandestine unit specialized in working with poisonous substancesââwhich had been tracking him for years, and had possibly tried to poison him previously.
Drawing on leaked phone records and flight manifests, the investigation tracked the movement of these FSB operativesâwhich often mapped uncannily onto the movements of Navalny himself.
If things had been sensational up to this point, they soon became surreal. On 21 December, Navalny released a video of a phone call that took place just before the Bellingcat investigation was released.42 In it, Navalny spoke to somebody the investigation claimed was involved in the attempt on his lifeâKonstantin Kudryavtsev. Pretending to be an assistant of the former head of the FSB, Navalny managed to get Kudryavtsev to reveal operational details. âThe underpants ⊠the inner side ⊠where the groin isââthatâs where the Novichok was placed, said Kudryavtsev.43
Even more fingers now pointed to the Kremlin. In response, Putin quipped on 17 December that, i...