CHAPTER 1āINTRODUCTION
Statement of the Problem, Background and Significance
Recent UN forecasts predict that 85 percent of the worldās population will reside in urban areas by the year 2025. {1} As the world trend towards urbanization increases, the military significance of cities is likely to increase proportionally. Urbanized areas, themselves, may become significant sources of future conflict. This dramatic shift of the worldās population will only serve to increase the need to create military capabilities adequate to successfully execute urban operations across the full spectrum.
While the cold war doctrine emphasized ācity avoidanceā, the contemporary and future threat environment may make operations in cities impossible to avoid. Learning from the demonstration of Americaās technological superiority on the open field of battle during Operation Desert Storm, contemporary and future enemies hope to use the complexity of urban terrain as a means to counter US advantages. American experiences in Mogadishu and Russian experiences in Grozny serve as an example of less capable forces using urban terrain asymmetrically to even the balance of power against technologically superior military forces.
Since the Cold War, the US Army has focused much of its urban training efforts to deal with urban operations at the lower end of the threat spectrum. The success of this investment has been demonstrated in such operations as those conducted in Haiti, Bosnia, and Kosovo. But has the US Army successfully adjusted to prepare for the increasingly likely, higher end of the spectrum of urban conflict? Or has it maintained a focus on fighting in the less-likely symmetrical warfare of the open field?
Research Questions
The primary research question is as follows: Is the US Army adequately preparing for contemporary and future urban operations?
The secondary and tertiary questions are as follows:
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1. What is the urban threat and how likely is urban combat in the future?
2. What is the state of our UO doctrine?
a. Is our UO doctrine joint, combined arms, and does it cover the full-spectrum of operations?
3. What is the state of our urban warfare training?
a. Does our UO training include joint forces, is it combined arms in nature, and does it cover the full spectrum of operations?
b. How often and at what level are units conducting UO training?
i. Home station?
ii. Combat Training Centers?
iii. Simulations?
c. Does UO receive adequate emphasis within Army commands?
4. Are units resourced with adequate UO training facilities and UO equipment?
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Scope
The scope of this monograph will include an examination of the urban environment, current status of UO doctrine, training, and resourcing of the Army. It will not however, examine organization and force structure issues within the Army with regards to the execution of urban operations. While these are extremely important issues, they are beyond the scope and purpose of this monograph. The scope of this monograph will also be limited to examining primarily the Army branch of service and will not extend its research to cover the performance, needs and capabilities in UO by other branches of service.
Definition of Key Terms
The literature uses the terms āurban combatā and āfighting in citiesā and āurban operationsā (UO) interchangeably. The doctrinal term, urban operations, is a new doctrinal term that replaces the term Military Operations in Urban Terrain or MOUT. According to the new FM 3-06, UO are operations across the full spectrum of conflict that occur in an urban environment. The environment consists of complex terrain, a concentration of population, and an infrastructure of systems that form an operational environment in which the Army will operate. {2} This is a significant change from previous doctrine, which viewed urban centers as simply unique terrain. The new term addresses not only the unique urban terrain, but expands its definition to encompass the unique environment of urban centers.
Methodology
This monograph uses primary and secondary sources gathered from historical records, books, pamphlets, periodicals, masterās theses and monographs in order to answer the research question. Additionally it uses sources of information from the Department of the Army, Training and Doctrine Command, and the Combined Arms Command. In conjunction with personal interviews by the author, the monograph uses a series of surveys sent to various units ranging from brigade through company level throughout the Army to gather information concerning training and resourcing for urban warfare. The contents of these surveys are used to provide empirical data to further determine the level of proficiency to which our Army is training for UO, thus moving beyond mere speculation as to how prepared the Army is for urban warfare.
The monograph will review the urban threat and make a determination of what the Army must be prepared to face. Particularly it will examine lessons from both U.S. experience in Mogadishu and Russian experiences in Grozny.
Next it will review the current state of our UO doctrine in an attempt to determine if it is joint and combined arms in nature as well as determine if it covers the full spectrum of possible urban operations.
The monograph will examine the Armyās UO training to determine whether or not the Army is preparing sufficiently for contemporary and future urban threats. Specifically, it will attempt to ascertain how often units are conducting UO training, to what intensity, and does this training include joint forces, combined arms, as well as cover the entire spectrum of operations. It will address the level of emphasis UO receives in units based on the content of quarterly training guidance, unit mission essential task lists, and time dedicated to UO training.
Following the examination of training readiness, it will analyze the Armyās resourcing of units in preparation for urban offensive operations to determine if units are appropriately resourced for urban combat. The analysis will cover the adequacy of UO training facilities in the Army, and the level of UO specific equipment provided to units enabling them to conduct UO training.
Finally the monograph will outline the findings and conclusions on whether or not our Army is adequately preparing for contemporary and future urban warfare, and provide recommendations to fix any problems identified in UO doctrine, training and resourcing.
CHAPTER 2āTHE CONTEMPORARY AND FUTURE URBAN ENVIRONMENT
āCities always have been centers of gravity, but they are now more magnetic than ever before... They concentrate people and power, communications and control, knowledge and capability, rendering all else peripheral. They are also the post-modern equivalent of jungles and mountainsācitadels of the dispossessed and irreconcilable. A military unprepared for urban operations across the broad spectrum is unprepared for tomorrow.ā
āRalph Peters, Fighting for the Future
āIf youāre fighting me, and you have this great Air Force and this great Navy with these precision weapons, Iām going to find a way for you not to use them. Iām going to fight you in the city so youāre going to have to kill the city or kill me. Or Iām going to take refugees. Iām going to let you kill civilians and see how that flies on CNN. Doing that gives you a big problem.ā
āLTG (RET) Jay M. Garner, USA
Background
During the Cold War, U.S. Army doctrine stressed city avoidance in favor of fighting with large maneuver forces on the open plains of Europe. Cities slowed maneuver tempo and were to be bypassed; entered only as a last result. The Cold War is now over. In 1989, with the collapse of the Berlin Wall, we entered into a new era; one that we have been slow to fully understand and reticent to adapt to. Today our armed forces must be prepared to fight in what is called the contemporary operating environment (COE) across the full spectrum of conflict. This new environment will more likely involve our armed forces operating within urban complexes.
Urban Trends
It is difficult to read any book or article written in the past ten years on the topic of Urban Operations (formerly known as MOUT or military operations, urban terrain), without discovering a repeat of a common mantra; U.S. military involvement in urban operations is increasingly likely. What has changed in the world to create this increased likeliness of U.S. military involvement in urban operations?
Some point to the myriad of statistics that document the worldās increased urbanization as a reason for the likeliness of involvement in urban operations. In the Government Accounting Officeās (GAO) report titled Focused Attention Needed to Prepare U.S. Forces for Combat in Urban Areas, it states that half of the worldās populations live in urban areas today. By 2015, that figure is expected to reach 75 percent, and by the year 2025, 85 percent of the worldās population is expected to reside in an urban setting. {3}
Table 1. Global Urban Population Trends {4}
An increased urban population is not the only cause for the growing likeliness of military involvement in cities, rather it is the dynamics this population influx into cities has created, particularly in developing countries. Driven by economic necessity, huge numbers of people are quitting the rural lifestyle of their ancestors and moving to cities worldwide. The number of cities with a current population of over one million in the de...