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La logica dell'incertezza
Incontri ravvicinati con i paradossi della probabilitĂ
Bruno Codenotti
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- Italian
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eBook - ePub
La logica dell'incertezza
Incontri ravvicinati con i paradossi della probabilitĂ
Bruno Codenotti
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About This Book
Il calcolo delle probabilitĂ puĂČ aiutare molto nelle piccole e grandi scelte della vita e giĂ Cicerone invitava ad affrontare l'incertezza facendosi guidare dall'esame delle probabilitĂ con cui accadono gli eventi.In questo libro, usando semplici strumenti probabilistici, gli autori mostrano attraverso esempi e aneddoti come situazioni di incertezza possano essere affrontate in modo razionale, applicando principi logici elementari.Alcuni dei temi trattati, quali il paradosso del compleanno o il problema di Monty Hall, mettono in luce come la nostra comprensione intuitiva delle probabilitĂ non sia affatto buona, soprattutto quando si tratta di stimare la frequenza con cui accadono eventi altamente improbabili.
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