8.1.1 Black-Scholes Model
Perhaps the most famous and commonly used stochastic model in finance is the so-called Black-Scholes model. In this model, we assume that an asset price follows the dynamics below:
(8.1)
These dynamics are often referred to as Geometric Brownian motion, and it can be shown that specifying this model is equivalent to assuming that prices are log-normally distributed, and that returns are subsequently normally distributed. The model is characterized by a single parameter, σ which defines the volatility of the asset.
Importantly, volatility in the model is a function of the current asset price, and the σ parameter is interpreted as a relative or percentage volatility. As the price process increases, so will the magnitude of the dW term. That is, the volatility of the price of the underlying asset depends on the level of the underlying asset. The volatility of the return of the underlying asset, , however, is constant. This is a defining feature of the Black-Scholes model.
This model is perhaps still the most fundamental model in all of quant finance, and quants will find themselves constantly working with these dynamics. Even in the case where more complex models are used, these models are generally translated back to a Black-Scholes model in order to gain intuition and present results to market participants. Consequently, both technical and conceptual mastery of this model is of paramount importance for readers aspiring to be quants.
Under Black-Scholes dynamics, European option prices can be shown to have closed form solutions that are commonly known as the Black-Scholes formula.
(8.2)
(8.3)
Here, S0 is the current asset price, K is the strike, r is risk-free rate and T is the option expiry time. Further, Φ is the CDF of the standard normal distribution d1 and d2 are defined as:
(8.4)
There are multiple ways to derive the Black-Scholes formula from the underlying dynamics. Perhaps the simplest approach is to leverage our knowledge of the distribution of asset prices and log returns in the model to calculate the appropriate integrals from first principles. To see this, recall that the price of a call option can be written as:
(8.5)
As the payoff is equal ...