Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 2, Case Studies in Insurance
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Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 2, Case Studies in Insurance
About This Book
Predictive modeling uses data to forecast future events. It exploits relationships between explanatory variables and the predicted variables from past occurrences to predict future outcomes. Forecasting financial events is a core skill that actuaries routinely apply in insurance and other risk-management applications. Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science emphasizes life-long learning by developing tools in an insurance context, providing the relevant actuarial applications, and introducing advanced statistical techniques that can be used to gain a competitive advantage in situations with complex data. Volume 2 examines applications of predictive modeling. Where Volume 1 developed the foundations of predictive modeling, Volume 2 explores practical uses for techniques, focusing on property and casualty insurance. Readers are exposed to a variety of techniques in concrete, real-life contexts that demonstrate their value and the overall value of predictive modeling, for seasoned practicing analysts as well as those just starting out.
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Table of contents
- Cover
- Half title
- Series
- Title
- Copyright
- Contents
- Contributors
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Pure Premium Modeling Using Generalized Linear Models
- 2 Applying Generalized Linear Models to Insurance Data: Frequency/Severity versus Pure Premium Modeling
- 3 Generalized Linear Models as Predictive Claim Models
- 4 Frameworks for General Insurance Ratemaking: Beyond the Generalized Linear Model
- 5 Using Multilevel Modeling for Group Health Insurance Ratemaking: A Case Study from the Egyptian Market
- 6 Clustering in General Insurance Pricing
- 7 Application of Two Unsupervised Learning Techniques to Questionable Claims: PRIDIT and Random Forest
- 8 The Predictive Distribution of Loss Reserve Estimates over a Finite Time Horizon
- 9 Finite Mixture Model and Workers' Compensation Large-Loss Regression Analysis
- 10 A Framework for Managing Claim Escalation Using Predictive Modeling
- 11 Predictive Modeling for Usage-Based Auto Insurance
- Index