The Will to Predict

Orchestrating the Future through Science

Eglė Rindzevičiūtė

• Publisher: Cornell University Press
• Year: 2023
• Print ISBN: 9781501769771
• eBook ISBN: 9781501769795
• Topic: History
• Subtopic: Russian History
• Index: History

In The Will to Predict, Egl? Rindzevi?i?t? demonstrates how the logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific prediction. She notes that predictions of future population, economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and twenty-first-century politics and social life, as well as government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political, and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions, and society?

Her intellectual and political history of scientific prediction takes as its example twentieth-century USSR. By outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy, she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a transnational one, part of the history of modern science and technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case, Rindzevi?i?t? argues that scientific predictions are central for organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted late modern governance.

Table of contents

• Acknowledgments
• List of Abbreviations
• Note on Translation and Transliteration
• Introduction
• 1. What Is Scientific Prediction?
• 2. Visibility, Transparency, and Prediction
• 3. Cybernetic Prediction and Late Modern Governance
• 4. Forecasting and the Cybernetic Sensibility
• 5. Prediction and the Opaque: Prospective Reflexivity
• 6. Reflexive Control
• 7. Global Prediction: From Targeting to Orchestration
• Conclusion
• Notes
• Bibliography
• Index