This volume is the result of the work of scientists from several scientific disciplines who used various methods and forecasting techniques to answer the question: "What would happen if NATO and the EU weakened in the 21st century and Russia continued to influence the already strongly democratized and free-market societies in the region?" It is prognostic and intended to present the results of research on the political and social perception of the surveyed nations in the face of the weakening of the EU / NATO international security structures and the constant pressure from the Russian Federation in the 21st century.Please note: The research in this book covers the period 2020–2021.

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Yes, you can access Influence of Russian Activities by Marcin Górnikiewicz, Radosław Bielawski, Marcin Górnikiewicz,Radosław Bielawski in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Social Sciences & Social Science Research & Methodology. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

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Social Sciences

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Social Science Research & Methodology

Index

Social Sciences

Title Page
Copyright
Table of Contents
Body
Foreword
Part I: Poland
Section I: Polands geopolitical and geostrategic position in the regional Kremlin's game in Europe
Patrycja Wróbel-Bryczek: Chapter 1: The geopolitical situation of Poland in relation to the foreign policy of the Russian Federation
Tadeusz Szczurek: Chapter 2: Geostrategic situation of Poland in relation to the foreign policy of the Russian Federation
Wawrzyniec Kowalski: Chapter 3: Summary and conclusions: Geopolitical and geostrategic positioning of Poland in relation to the foreign policy of the Russian Federation in the third decade of the 21st century
Section II: Kremlin's “hard power” and “soft power” towards Poland in the first and second decades of the 21st century
Marian Cieślarczyk: Chapter 4: The Kremlin’s tough influence on the Polish decision-making process
Marian Cieślarczyk: Chapter 5: Russian “soft power” methodology in influencing the Polish decision-making process
Marcin Górnikiewicz / Tadeusz Szczurek / Marzena Walkowiak: Chapter 6: Summary and conclusions: The perspective of soft and hard impact on the Polish decision-making process in the third decade of the 21st century
Section III: The scope of Moscows informative impact on the Polish decision-making process
Katarzyna Świerszcz: Chapter 7: Qualitative measurement of the level of operability of Russia’s policy towards Poland
Katarzyna Świerszcz: Chapter 8: Qualitative methods of measuring the effectiveness of Russian influence in Poland in the area of disinformation
Katarzyna Świerszcz: Chapter 9: Summary and conclusions: Forecast for the development of the methodology of the Kremlin’s info mation impact on the situation in Poland
Section IV: Modeling the Russian impact on Polish foreign and internal policy
Piotr Zaskórski: Chapter 10: Modeling the processes of assessing Russia's influence on Poland
Marcin Górnikiewicz: Chapter 11: Quantitative and qualitative cultural foresight of the Russian decision-making process in relation to Poland
Marcin Górnikiewicz / Tadeusz Szczurek / Marzena Walkowiak: Chapter 12: Summary and conclusions: Foresight of the Russian influence on Poland in the era of political and economic changes in the third decade of the 21st century
Part II: The Czech Republic (Czechia)
Section I: The Czech Republic in the geopolitical and geostrategic vision of Moscow in Europe
Andrzej Jacuch: Chapter 13: The geopolitical situation of the Czech Republic from the Russian perspective
Andrzej Jacuch: Chapter 14: The geostrategic position of the Czech Republic and Moscow's disinformation activity
Marcin Górnikiewicz / Andrzej Jacuch: Chapter 15: Summary and conclusions: The geopolitical and geostrategic situation of the Czech Republic viewed by the Kremlin: the current state and perspectives for Prague's foreign policy perceived by decision-makers in Moscow
Section II: Mechanics of the Russian soft and hard interactions with regard to the Czech Republic
Justyna Stochaj: Chapter 16: The effectiveness assessment of the Russian “hard power” in the Czech Republic
Justyna Stochaj: Chapter 17: Russian “soft power” in relation to the national security of the Czech Republic
Justyna Stochaj: Chapter 18: Summary and conclusions: Prospects for the current state and the development of the Russian influence on the Czech Republic in the 21st century
Section III: Measuring the effectiveness of the Russian impact on the Czech internal and foreign policy
Marcin Górnikiewicz / Tadeusz Szczurek / Marzena Walkowiak: Chapter 19: The effectiveness measurement of the quantitative methods of Russian influence in the Czech Republic
Małgorzata Jaroszyńska: Chapter 20: The effectiveness measurement of the qualitative methods of Russian influence in the Czech Republic
Marcin Górnikiewicz / Małgorzata Jaroszyńska: Chapter 21: Summary and conclusions: The perspective of the development directio of Moscow’s foreign policy towards the Czech Republic
Section IV: Foresight of the influence of the Russian impact on the Russian-Czech relations in the area of regional security
Paulina Owczarek: Chapter 22: The use of qualitative foresight methods in the assessment of relations between Russia and the Czech Republic
Paulina Owczarek: Chapter 23: Application of quantitative foresight methods in the assessment of economic relations between the Russian Federation and the Czech Republic
Paulina Owczarek: Chapter 24: Summary and conclusions: The development foresight of the mutual Czech-Russian relations in the third decade of the 21st century
Part III: Slovakia
Section I: Moscow's geopolitics and geostrategy in view of Slovakia in the second and third decade of the 21st century
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak: Chapter 25: Slovakia in the Kremlin's geopolitics in the second decade of the 21st century
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak: Chapter 26: Geostrategic perception of Slovakia in the Kremlin's vision of foreign policy in the second half of the 21st century
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak / Marcin Górnikiewicz: Chapter 27: Summary and conclusions: The Russian view on the geopolitical and geostrategic position of Slovakia in the European balance of power
Section II: Slovakia in the Russian impact zone: the Kremlin's “hard power” and “soft power”
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak: Chapter 28: The methodology of the Russian “hard power” towards Slovakia
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak: Chapter 29: The methodology of Russia's soft influence on Slovakia
Mieczyslaw Pawlisiak / Marcin Górnikiewicz: Chapter 30: Summary and conclusions: The perspective of the Kremlin's hard and soft interactions on the Slovak decision-making process
Section III: The assessment of the Russian influence potential on the Slovak decision-making process
Tomasz R. Waśniewski: Chapter 31: The use of quantitative methods in the assessment effectiveness of the Russian influence on Slovakia
Tomasz R. Waśniewski: Chapter 32: The use of qualitative methods in the assessment effectiveness of the Russian influence on Slovakia
Tomasz R. Waśniewski / Marcin Górnikiewicz: Chapter 33: Summary and conclusions: The perspective of the development of the Russian influence on the Slovakian internal and external policy
Section IV: The forecast of the evolution of the Russian-Slovak relations in the context of the Slovak armed forces transformation
Anna Pęzioł / Anna Borucka: Chapter 34: The assessment of the changes in the armed forces in terms of selected factors
Anna Borucka / Anna Pęzioł: Chapter 35: Mathematical model for the assessment of national defense expenditure of the Slovak Republic in relation to the Russian Federation
Anna Borucka / Anna Pęzioł: Chapter 36: Summary and conclusions: The forecast of potential forms of military and non-military influence of Moscow towards Slovakia
Part IV: Hungary
Section I: Geopolitical and geostrategic conditions of Russian activity towards Hungary in the 21st century
Sławomir Byłeń: Chapter 37: The Russian vision of geopolitical order in Central and Eastern Europe in relation to Hungary
Sławomir Byłeń: Chapter 38: The geostrategic position of Hungary in the Kremlin’s foreign vital influence
Sławomir Byłeń / Marcin Górnikiewicz / Radosław Bielawski: Chapter 39: Summary and conclusions: Hungary’s geopolitical and geostrategic position as a key element of Russian influence in Central and Eastern Europe
Section II: Russian activity in relation to Hungary: The mechanism of using “hard power” and “soft power”
Sławomir Byłeń: Chapter 40: Russian “hard power” towards Hungary: The current state of play and its effects
Sławomir Byłeń: Chapter 41: Russian “soft power” as an example of rapprochement between Moscow and Budapest
Sławomir Byłeń / Marcin Górnikiewicz / Radosław Bielawski: Chapter 42: Summary and conclusions: The Russian mechanism of influencing the policy of Budapest with the system of “hard power” and “soft power”
Section III: The Russian potential and the Hungarian potential: interaction and implications for regional safety
Malgorzata Grzelak: Chapter 43: The effectiveness measurement of the quantitative methods of the Russian impact in Hungary
Malgorzata Grzelak: Chapter 44: The effectiveness measurement of the qualitative methods of the Russian impact in Hungary
Malgorzata Grzelak: Chapter 45: Summary and conclusions: Implications resulting from the Russian potential to influence the Hungarian decision-making process
Section IV: The forecast of the evolution in the Russian-Hungarian interaction in the 3rd decade of the 21st century
Oliver Balogh / Jerzy Zalewski: Chapter 46: Qualitative methods of Hungary's national strategy forecasting
Oliver Balogh / Adam Kolodziejczyk: Chapter 47: Quantitative methods of Hungary's internal and external policy forecasting
Oliver Balogh / Adam Kolodziejczyk / Marcin Górnikiewicz / Radoslaw Bielawski: Chapter 48: Summary and conclusions: The forecast of potential implications for regional security resulting from the development of mutual Russian-Hungarian relations
Part V: Ukraine
Section I: Geopolitical and geostrategic implications of the Russian policy with regard to Ukraine
Jan Figurski / Jerzy Niepsuj: Chapter 49: The geopolitical situation of Ukraine conditioned by the foreign policy of the Russian Federation
Jan Figurski / Jerzy Niepsuj: Chapter 50: The geostrategic position of Ukraine in the strategic and operational plans of the Russian Federation
Jan Figurski / Jerzy Niepsuj: Chapter 51: Summary and Conclusions: The Russian perspective on Ukraine's geopolitical and geostrategic position in Eastern Europe
Section II: The Russian mechanism of interaction on the Ukrainian decision-making process with the use of the methodology of hard and soft impact
Arkadiusz Jóźwiak: Chapter 52: The methodology of Russian hard impact in Ukraine
Arkadiusz Jóźwiak: Chapter 53: The methodology of Russian soft impact in Ukraine
Arkadiusz Jóźwiak / Marcin Górnikiewicz / Radosław Bielawski: Chapter 54: Summary and conclusions: Russian interactions of “ha d power” and “soft power” as the elements of the mechanics of Russian influence on Ukraine
Section III: The assessment of the effectiveness of the Russian impact on Ukraine's internal and foreign policy with the use of the measurement of the Russian impact potential
Paweł Ślaski: Chapter 55: The effectiveness measurement of the quantitative methods of Russia’s influence in Ukraine
Paweł Ślaski: Chapter 56: The effectiveness assessment of the Russian influence on the Ukrainian decision-making process with he use of qualitative methods
Paweł Ślaski: Chapter 57: Summary and conclusions: Determinants and implications of the Russian influence on Ukraine
Section IV: The forecast of the development of the situation in Ukraine: The Russian-Ukrainian relations in the third decade of the 21st century
Magdalena Rykala / Jaroslaw Zelkowski: Chapter 58: The situation in Ukraine in the 2nd and 3rd decade of the 21st Century: Qualitative Forecasting Methods
Magdalena Rykala / Jaroslaw Zelkowski: Chapter 59: The situation in Ukraine in the 2nd and 3rd decade of the 21st century: Quantitative Forecasting Methods
Jaroslaw Zelkowski / Magdalena Rykala / Marcin Górnikiewicz / Radoslaw Bielawski: Chapter 60: Summary and conclusions: The forecast of the Russian Influence on Ukraine in the third decade of the 21st century
Summary and final conclusions

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