
- 192 pages
- English
- ePUB (mobile friendly)
- Available on iOS & Android
Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict Over Taiwan
About this book
Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine confirmed that revived great-power competition has heightened the prospect of global conflict, while restoring the concept of deterrence to centre stage. The stakes in a conflict in East Asia, however, would be even higher than those in Ukraine. A war over Taiwan could bring the United States and China, the world's two greatest powers, into a direct military conflict which would represent a contest for regional or global leadership and would be likely to draw other powers into the fight. Such a war – in which the nuclear question would be ever-present – can currently be described as 'possible, avoidable, but potentially catastrophic'.
In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring. This book examines these strategies in the light of the lessons of the Ukraine war and identifies yardsticks with which to gauge their potential effectiveness and sustainability. Our goal, Emmott argues, must be for all sides to regard such a US–China conflict as 'inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable'.
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Information
Table of contents
- Cover Page
- Half Title Page
- Endorsements
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Contents
- Author
- Acknowledgements
- Map of Taiwan and its surrounding region
- Introduction: Danger, hiding in plain sight
- Chapter One Why Indo-Pacific deterrence matters
- Chapter Two Deterrence lessons from Ukraine
- Chapter Three Yardsticks for deterrence
- Chapter Four Consistent America, inconstant America
- Chapter Five Taiwan and its predicament
- Chapter Six Coercive China, deterrent China
- Chapter Seven Allies and partners: the role of Japan
- Chapter Eight The Philippines, Australia and other partners
- Conclusion: Nostalgic for Cold War realism
- Index
- Series Page