Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow's Threats
eBook - ePub

Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow's Threats

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow's Threats

About this book

The world is facing an ever-changing array of complex threats to international security. Yet intelligence agencies have a mixed record of anticipating these threats, while decision makers have an equally mixed record of effectively acting on predictive intelligence when offered. Sometimes intelligence has provided a useful warning, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but at other times it has failed to anticipate critical events, such as the progress of fighting in Ukraine or the likelihood that a mob would carry out a deadly assault on the US Capitol building. And at still other times intelligence agencies appear to have provided warning, and yet policy makers failed to listen, such as before the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.

This book casts new light on past failures and suggests new frameworks for thinking about future threats and challenges. Written for academics and practitioners, it answers key questions about how intelligence can better inform policy makers and, in turn, help them anticipate and act upon future threats.

The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism.

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Yes, you can access Predictive Intelligence for Tomorrow's Threats by Erik J Dahl,David Strachan-Morris in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Politics & International Relations & Intelligence & Espionage. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Table of contents

  1. Cover
  2. Half Title
  3. Title Page
  4. Copyright Page
  5. Table of Contents
  6. Citation Information
  7. Notes on Contributors
  8. Introduction – ‘Predictive intelligence for tomorrow’s threats’: is predictive intelligence possible?
  9. 1 Intelligence warning in the corporate sector: the 2013 In Amenas terrorist attack in retrospect
  10. 2 Warning intelligence and high consequence environments: a comparative assessment to integrate human factors to support warning analysis
  11. 3 Intelligence failure in countering terrorism in south Asia: a comparative analysis of Holey Artisan and Easter attacks
  12. 4 Mass-casualty terrorism and strategic surprise in Mumbai and Paris: understanding the Islamist perspective
  13. 5 Intelligence and operational warning: lessons from Ukraine
  14. Index