Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education
eBook - ePub

Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education

About this book

The decisions we make in the next five years are critical in determining whether colleges thrive or flounder.

2017 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Award for Outstanding AACRAO SEM Research Presentation

Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest—traditional higher education strongholds—expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years.

In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years.

Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges.

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Yes, you can access Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education by Nathan D. Grawe in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Education & Economic Theory. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Table of contents

  1. Cover Page
  2. Title Page
  3. Copyright Page
  4. Dedication
  5. Contents
  6. Acknowledgments
  7. Introduction
  8. 1. Demographic Headwinds for Higher Education
  9. 2. Demographics as Destiny?
  10. 3. The Higher Education Demand Index
  11. 4. Changing Contours of Population and Aggregate Higher Education Demand
  12. 5. Demand for Two-Year Programs
  13. 6. Demand for Four-Year Institutions
  14. 7. Is Anyone Paying for All of This?
  15. 8. Coping with Change: Strategies for Institutional Response
  16. 9. Anticipated Higher Education Attendance: The Policymaker’s Perspective
  17. 10. The Potential for Policy to Affect Attendance Rates
  18. 11. Looking beyond 2030
  19. Methodological Appendix
  20. Notes
  21. References
  22. Index