Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States
eBook - ePub

Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States

Precision, Uncertainty, and Politics

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States

Precision, Uncertainty, and Politics

About this book

This book, by Michael J. Brogan, examines government budgeting through the lens of public budget forecast errors. In examining this aspect of the budgetary process, Brogan helps readers understand levels of political and financial risk that policymakers are willing to accept in estimating the likelihood of accurate budget projections. This title is noteworthy in its innovative, accessible approach to examining the budget process through an analysis of forecast errors. Unlike most public budgeting books, which focus primarily on the technical aspects of budgeting or on the politics of the budget process, this book bridges the technical and political aspects of budgeting, thereby providing a more comprehensive analysis of contemporary issues and research in public budgetary matters.

In light of the current financial crisis in the United States, this book is crucial for providing readers with a comprehensive review of the limits of budget projections and how political forces shape the forecasting process. Throughout the text, readers are presented with relevant state-specific mini cases. The mini cases highlight some of the difficulties in projecting future revenue and spending patterns, as well as the political conflict that can ensue. The empirical findings, mini cases, and arguments presented throughout this book are intended to empower readers, giving them the expertise needed to better understand how uncertainty in public budget forecasts affects the budget process. Ultimately, this knowledge can help citizens connect the financial management of a state with its governing patterns.

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Yes, you can access Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States by Michael J. Brogan in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Economics & Economic Policy. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Year
2013
eBook ISBN
9780739168400
Edition
1

Table of contents

  1. Contents
  2. Preface
  3. Part I
  4. Chapter 1: Introduction to the Public Budgeting Forecast Process
  5. Chapter 2: The Process and Politics of Generating Budget Forecast Errors
  6. Chapter 3: Inter-Temporal Variation, Fiscal Uncertainty, and State-Level Long-Term Revenue Budget Forecasts Errors
  7. Chapter 4: Projecting Expenditures: Revenue Uncertainty, Public Choices, Political Institutions, Elections, and Forecast Errors
  8. Part II
  9. Chapter 5: Interpreting Budget Forecast Errors: Fiscal Shirking, Financial Uncertainty, and Public Opinion
  10. Chapter 6: The Financial Consequences of State-Level Budget Forecast Errors
  11. Chapter 7: The Electoral Consequences of Budget Forecast Errors
  12. Chapter 8: Budget Forecasting in the States—Reforms, Institutions, Politics, and Uncertainty
  13. Bibliography
  14. About the Author