Minding the Weather
eBook - ePub

Minding the Weather

How Expert Forecasters Think

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

About this book

This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance.

The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.

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Yes, you can access Minding the Weather by Robert R. Hoffman,Daphne S. LaDue,H. Michael Mogil,Paul J. Roebber,J. Gregory Trafton in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Psychology & History & Theory in Psychology. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Table of contents

  1. Cover
  2. Title page
  3. Copyright page
  4. Dedication
  5. Table of Contents
  6. About the Authors
  7. Preface
  8. Acknowledgments
  9. 1 Introduction
  10. 2 What Is the Forecasting Workspace Like?
  11. 3 How Do People Come to Be Forecasters?
  12. 4 How Do Forecasters Describe How They Reason?
  13. 5 How Well Do Forecasters (and Forecasts) Perform?
  14. 6 What Characterizes Expertise?
  15. 7 How Do Forecasters Get to Be Expert Forecasters?
  16. 8 What Does Research on Forecaster Knowledge Tell Us?
  17. 9 What Does Research on Forecaster Perception Tell Us?
  18. 10 What Does Research on Forecaster Reasoning Tell Us?
  19. 11 Can a Machine Imitate the Human?
  20. 12 Can a Machine Replace the Human?
  21. 13 Forecaster–Computer Interdependence
  22. 14 Conclusions and Prospects
  23. Appendix A: List of Acronyms
  24. Appendix B: Extended Narratives of Two Cases of Forecasting Severe Weather
  25. Appendix C: Example Synoptic Analyses of GOES Visible Images
  26. Appendix D: A Case Study in Human–Machine Interdependence
  27. Appendix E: References on Visualization Design and Display Technology
  28. References
  29. Index
  30. Colour Plates