Proving History
eBook - ePub

Proving History

Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus

  1. English
  2. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  3. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Proving History

Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus

About this book

This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes's Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods-not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study-can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes's Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned. Writing with thoroughness and clarity, the author explains Bayes's Theorem in terms that are easily understandable to professional historians and laypeople alike, employing nothing more than well-known primary school math. He then explores precisely how the theorem can be applied to history and addresses numerous challenges to and criticisms of its use in testing or justifying the conclusions that historians make about the important persons and events of the past. The traditional and established methods of historians are analyzed using the theorem, as well as all the major "historicity criteria" employed in the latest quest to establish the historicity of Jesus. The author demonstrates not only the deficiencies of these approaches but also ways to rehabilitate them using Bayes's Theorem. Anyone with an interest in historical methods, how historical knowledge can be justified, new applications of Bayes's Theorem, or the study of the historical Jesus will find this book to be essential reading.

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Yes, you can access Proving History by Richard C. Carrier in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in History & Historiography. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Publisher
Prometheus
Year
2012
eBook ISBN
9781616145606

Table of contents

  1. Cover Page
  2. Title Page
  3. Copyright Page
  4. Contents
  5. Preface
  6. 1. The Problem
  7. 2. The Basics
  8. 3. Introducing Bayes's Theorem
  9. 4. Bayesian Analysis of Historical Methods
  10. 5. Bayesian Analysis of Historicity Criteria
  11. 6. The Hard Stuff
  12. Appendix
  13. Common Abbreviations
  14. Notes
  15. Index
  16. Back Cover