Beyond Six Billion: Forecasting the World's Population

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• Publisher: The National Academies Press
• eBook ISBN: 8689220320675

Table of contents

• Preface
• Contents
• Tables and Figures
• Executive Summary
• 1 Introduction
• 2 The Accuracy of Past Projections
• 3 Transitional Fertility
• 4 Posttransition Fertility
• 5 Mortality
• 6 International Migration
• 7 The Uncertainty of Population Forecasts
• Biographical Sketches
• Index
• APPENDIX A Computer Software Packages for Projecting Population
• APPENDIX B Accuracy of Population Projections from the 1970s to the 1990s
• APPENDIX C Predicting the Pace of Fertility Decline
• APPENDIX D The Effect of Projection Error in Life Expectancy
• APPENDIX E Simulating Migration Projections
• APPENDIX F Estimating Expected Errors from Past Errors