1. The Central Truths
the politics of limitation
Daniel Patrick Moynihan arrived in John F. Kennedyâs Washington a political idealist and left Lyndon B. Johnsonâs administration a chastened man. Remarkably few fundamental shifts are detectable in Moynihanâs thought over the course of his careerânot that these would be troubling in the thinking of someone constrained by empirical circumstance, which necessarily evolvesâbut this was one. Something happened; as his friend the chemist and philosopher Michael Polanyi said in one of Moynihanâs favorite aphorisms, âPeople change their minds.â
Just after he left the Johnson administration and before he began publicly to criticize the War on Povertyâs approach, Moynihan had penned the lead article for the inaugural edition of Public Interest, entitled âThe Professionalization of Reform.â He wrote with a breezy confidence befitting the New Frontier. Between John Maynard Keynes and econometrics, the business cycle had been conquered. Social reform was now the province of professional experts, and the War on Poverty was its latest iteration. This professionalization was, he observed, âa technique that will not appeal to everyone, and in which many will perceive the not altogether imaginary danger of a too powerful government. But it is also a technique that offers a profound promise of social sanity and stability in time to come.â The cost would be âa decline in the moral exhilaration of public affairs at the domestic level,â yet the professionalization of reform also held out the possibility of âthe creation of a society that can put an end to the âanimal miseriesâ and stupid controversies that afflict most peoples.â1
By the late 1960s, however, violence was erupting in the nationâs cities, and the Great Society was foundering on the shoals of interest group liberalism and inadequate resources. Moynihanânow out of government and in the academy, which gave him a perspective that naturally evoked a greater emphasis on limitationâhad acquired (or at least was newly emphasizing) a sense of the complexity of political endeavor.2 He reflected later: âIn the mid-1960s, when I began writing again, I had considerably scaled down my expectations of what government could do about most thingsâin the early 1960s in Washington we thought we could do anything, and we found out differentâand had acquired the discipline of not being too much impressed by clever-seeming people.â3
He would write of this period: âAmerican liberalism had, in those years, lost a sense of limits. We would transform the Mekong Delta, resurrect Detroit, enlighten South Asia and defend it too, for that matter.â4 He would recall that âthe presidential advisers of the Kennedy and Johnson era had underestimated the difficulties of social change . . . a naivetĂ© born of noble purpose. The limits of policy were less and less emphasized while the potential for matters to get worse rather than better was increasingly ignored.â5
This chapter proposes a framework for how Moynihanâs political thought can be understoodâas a blend of hues associated with both liberalism (possibilities linked with governmental action) and conservatism (limitations born of respect for social complexity) to form a unique shade of political thought. Viewing Moynihan through this prism enables us to appreciate both the originality of his ideas and, importantly, their mutual appeal to liberals and conservatives, an appeal that has led both sides to lay dueling claims to his legacy. Liberals and conservatives certainly have much about which to disagree, but Moynihanâs thought shows their mistake in assuming that these beliefsâaspiration and limitation, respectivelyâcannot be simultaneously held. Moynihan the liberal believed in shared endeavor pursued through the mechanism of government; at the same time, he appreciated the limits that social complexity imposed.
It is essential to emphasize at the outset that the labels âliberalâ and âconservativeâ were less important to Moynihan and are less important to this study than the ideas themselves. As we shall see, Moynihan associated both possibility and limitation in key respects with liberalism. Our concern lies more with the unique brew that arose from this blend rather than with the names applied to the ingredients. We begin with the decisive significance, evident in multiple contexts throughout Moynihanâs thought, of limitation.
Limitation
For Moynihan, all human endeavor, especially that undertaken politically, was subject to limitation. We might trace this commitment to any number of sourcesâthe Catholic doctrine of fallen man, Burkeâs warnings of the limits of reason, or simple commonsense observationâbut it was there. There were limits to the capacity of human beings to manipulate infinitely intricate social systems and limits to the ability of reason fully to comprehend them. For Moynihan, this theme found its most deeply reflective expression in the long introduction to his 1973 book Coping: On the Practice of Government, a collection of writings reflecting perhaps his most theoretically fruitful period, that arising from his contemplation of the promise and shortfalls of the 1960s.
Increasingly it is what is known about life that makes it problematical. The dictum of Ecclesiastes 1:18, âFor in much wisdom is much grief and he that increaseth knowledge increaseth sorrow,â seems more fitted to our time; and education is more and more a matter of coming to terms with this less optimistic vision. . . . The unexpected, the unforeseen: the public life of our age seems dominated by events of this cast, while the task of intellect seems increasingly that of imposing some measure of order on this less than cosmic chaos. After a period of chiliastic vision we have entered a time that requires a more sober assessment of our chances, and a more modest approach to events.6
The problem, he reflected, was that the brand of radical politics that came to characterize the expectations of the 1960s not only mistrusted but also actively resisted gradual reform: âIt is the seeming nature of the chiliast to resist social changes which, however profound, are not perceived as somehow ultimate.â7 Moynihan, by contrast, imposed the constraints of limitation on the idealist impulses of liberalism. Politicians could not be subject to a religious requirement of purity. âTheir achievements can never be more than relatively good,â he said, expressing an idea with echoes of both Burke, for whom politics was always a choice between lesser goods, and Oakeshott, for whom it was tinged with a permanently tragic dimension.8 Politics in a democracy seemed to require heart-quickening causes for sustenance. Prudence, however, was difficult to communicate. âIt was easy to be captain of the Indomitable, was it not? But what commands,â he asked, âshall issue forth from the quarterdeck of the Worried, the Uncertain, the Not Sure.â9 Moynihan imagined a newly inaugurated President Kennedy standing on the windswept front of the US Capitol and stirring a nation with words of prudent perspective: ââSo let every nation know that we would be crazy to undertake to pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and success of liberty.â . . . No, there would have been nothing inspiring in this. There might also have been no Vietnam.â10
This appreciation for limits must not be mistaken for quietism. Moynihan remained an advocate of muscular government, but he also noted that âhaving through all my adult life worked to make the American national government larger, stronger, more active, I nonetheless plead that there are limits to what it may be asked to do.â11 It was, to repeat, imperative to separate what government could competently do from what it could notâas much to ensure government did competently what it could do as to prevent it from undertaking the impossible.
In the 1960s, the sociologist James Coleman led what was then and still may be the largest social science experiment ever undertakenâa study of the effect of various inputs on educational outcomes. Its results showed the primacy of family structure, nearly to the exclusion of other variables such as per pupil expenditure.12 Moynihan recalled the political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset approaching him at the Harvard Faculty Club and asking if he had heard about Colemanâs findings: âAnd I said, âWhat?â And he said, âAll family.â And I said, âOh God.â We both looked at Colemanâs influential study with consternation about the relative incapacity it revealed of public institutions to shape individuals.â13 His disquietude, which Coleman shared, pertained to a realization of the expanding scope of limitation,14 but note his use of the word relative. Moynihan was not denying governmentâs ability to shape individual behavior. The point was that government could not simply do what it did bestâspend moneyâand expect educational outcomes to follow. This was different, it is crucial to observe, from saying government could not do anything.
But government had to appreciate what it could not do in order to undertake successfully what it could. Moynihan attended Oakeshottâs inaugural lecture when the British philosopher succeeded Harold Laski in a professorial chair at the London School of Economics, and he would recur to it often. âOakeshott preached the art of the possible, and bespoke the fate of those who reject those limitations: âTo try to do something which is inherently impossible is always a corrupting enterprise.ââ15 In a 1969 commencement address at the University of Notre Dame, Moynihan reflected:
What is it that government cannot provide? It cannot provide values to persons who have none, or who have lost those they had. It cannot provide a meaning to life. It cannot provide inner peace. It can provide outlets for moral energies, but it cannot create those energies. In particular, government cannot cope with the crisis in values that is sweeping the Western world. It cannot respond to the fact that so many of our young people do not believe what those before them have believed, do not accept the authority of institutions and customs whose authority has heretofore been accepted, do not embrace or even very much like the culture that they inherit.16
Notice Moynihanâs concern here with the collapse of social authorityâan appreciation for the necessity of societyâs intermediate institutions. He would allude more than once to Nisbetâs observation that a vacuum of authority cleared the path for raw power. We also see in the passage that the politics of limitation must recognize space for morality.17 This was, crucially, private space: space in the social sphere. Its misdirection into the realm of politics was one of the pathologies of the 1960s, whose overly moralized politics descended into an all-consuming Manichaeism. Late in that decade, Moynihan wrote of a religious crisis in which the essentially spiritual cravings of the time were channeled instead into politics. The âprincipal issues of the momentâ were only âseenâ as political; that they were was âthe essential clue as to their nature. But the crisis of the time is not political, it is in essence religious. It is a religious crisis of large numbers of intensely moral, even godly, people who no longer hope for God.â18 The absence of spirituality was akin to the absence of authority, for it left a gap in private space that, when not nourished by intermediate institutions, was filled, unhealthily, by politics. The resulting âfervor becomes pathologicalâ and leads to âthe total state; the politicization of all things.â19 This was evident in the tendency of 1960s radicals to regard all disputes as political disputes and thus see anyone with whom they disagreed about anything as a political enemy.
Still, even while resisting politicization, Moynihan defended government. When, paraphrasing Reinhold Niebuhr, he said that failing to âaccept that there are some things that canât be changed, and learning to recognize which they areâ was âto be false to a large vocation,â20 he meant to identify some limits as permanent and grounded in the nature of things, not merely in circumstance, but he also meant to defend the vocation. When Carter argued that government could not âeliminate poverty, provide a bountiful economy, reduce inflation, save our cities, cure illiteracy, provide energy, or mandate goodness,â Moynihan responded that the president had gone âfarther than I wouldâ: âFor the government can eliminate povertyâthat is, poverty defined as income below a certain level. A good welfare reform bill would do that. This is precisely the kind of thing government can succeed in doing. It cannot âmandate goodness.â But it can âsave our citiesââif not from sin, then surely from bankruptcy.â21 By the early 1980s, he was worried about an overcorrection in the Reagan era. âWe have moved far too precipitously and blindly,â he said, âfrom sublime confidence in government to solve all our problems and meet all our needs to what can only be termed a profound mistrust of governmentâs ability to do anything at all.â22
Moynihanâs appreciation for limits was inextricably linked to his recognition of the complexity of the social organism and the inherent difficulty of manipulating it politically. Here, we arri...