With all of that silliness out of the way, letâs get to some of the âgoodâ criticisms. This will be the MOAC (Mother of All Chapters) in this bookâlong, but we think youâll agree itâs the prime cut.
In this chapter, we take a look at those criticisms we hear most often and that deserve a good explanation. These âgoodâ criticisms come in two categories: those with a grain of truth that we can easily explain and those with a grain of truth that pale in comparison with the merits of the FairTax. Again, weâre always willing to consider offers of help to improve the H.R. 25 languageâbut if we want to rescue the American economy, there may be some warts weâll just need to live with until we can figure out how to treat them. Itâs been said that nobody looks good in direct sunlight (or, for that matter, on HDTV). Nobodyâand no tax reform planâis completely without tiny flaws.
One of the most rewarding things about promoting the FairTax is working with the millions of men and women across the country who are on our team. They are the true believers who, when they hear from a friend a criticism that seems to make a lot of sense, have the instinct to find the plausible explanation and take it back to that friend. They donât turn and run from conflict. They see it through. Thereâs no substitute for working with people with that kind of commitment. For the dedicated defenders of the FairTax, we want to put these answers in your peer education arsenal. For the undecided, we hope the answers will make your decision a bit easier. For the dyed-in-the-wool opponentsâwell, we may never get through to you, but we want you to have the best information anyway.
Criticism: What is the rate, anyway: 23 percent or 30 percent?
From the very beginning of our efforts to transform the way we fund our federal governmentâand to make our tax system simple, fair, and easy to understandâour opponents have argued that weâre misleading America on the FairTax rate. If you should ever hear or read that the FairTax proponents are lying, that weâre trying to put one over on you, you can bet the next sentence will go something like this: âThose FairTax frauds say the sales tax rate will be 23 percent when itâs obviously going to be 30 percent.â
No doubt most of these critics fully understand the game theyâre playing. They know that if they can convince the American people that weâre not telling them the whole truth, they can effectively cripple the FairTax effortâthus preserving the status quo and in many cases their power and even their very jobs. They know that the 23 percent calculation put forth by the FairTax advocates is accurate. They also know that with a bit of a mathematical and rhetorical twist they can make this figure appear to be bogus. Most important, they know that most people wonât take the time to noodle this thing out on their own. Theyâll listen to the FairTax opponents and say âYeah, weâre being lied to. Those people are trying to trick us.â
Letâs see if we canât take this demagogic weapon away from the FairTax opponents. It would certainly be better for all sides to debate the FairTax on its merits rather than wasting our time on mathematical trickery.
Weâll start with the simplest mathematical equation in the entire FairTax universe. After the FairTax is implemented, if you go to the store and pay $100 for an item, $23 of the cost of that item will go to the federal government. The $23 isnât added to the price of the item when you get to the cashier, itâs included in the price of that item as it sits on the display shelf. Thatâs the FairTax. Even recognizing the deficiencies of our system of public schools, most high school graduates in this country know that $23 is 23 percent of $100.
So how do these opponents and skeptics come up with the 30 percent figure? By playing on the confusion that exists between an inclusive and an exclusive sales tax, thatâs how. This confusion is exacerbated by the fact that virtually every one of the forty-five states that collect a sales tax computes that sales tax on an exclusive basis. Thatâs the difference: the FairTax is computed on an inclusive basis. Itâs as simple as that.
All taxesâincome taxes, capital gains taxes, Social Security taxesâare either inclusive or exclusive. In other words, the taxes are either included in the dollar amount being taxed or added onto it.
Virtually all income taxes are inclusive taxesâthat is, theyâre included in the dollar amount being taxed. If youâre in a 15 percent tax bracket, you are paying $15 out of every $100 you earn in income taxes. Your Social Security and Medicare taxes are also inclusive: for every dollar you earn, your employer takes 7.65 cents and sends it off, along with that âmatching contribution,â to Washington. Your income taxes and payroll taxes arenât added to what you earn, theyâre taken from what you earn.
The embedded tax that presently exists on everything you purchase is also inclusive. The farmer who grows the wheat factors the taxes he has to pay into the price he charges when he sells that wheat to the processor. The processor then factors his taxes into the price when he sells to the bakery. The bakery then factors those taxes into the price charged to the grocery store, and you finally end up paying them allâincluding the grocery storeâs tax burdenâwhen you buy a loaf of bread and take it home. All those taxes, rolling downhill, are included in the purchase price of your bread.
Some taxes are noticeably different. The prime example, as we indicated above, would be state sales taxes, and this is where the confusion arises. All but five states have state sales taxes. In every one of the forty-five states with a state sales tax the tax is computed on an exclusive basis. In other words, the tax is excluded from the price of the item as it sits there on the shelf, and then added to the price of the item at the cash register.
Unlike those state sales taxes, the FairTax would be an inclusive sales tax: it would be included in the sales price that you pay when you walk up to the cashier. When you see that nifty digital camera sitting there chained to the display table at your electronics store, the FairTax would be included in the price shown on the tag.
If youâre a footnote reader, you know that Oregon is one of the five states without any state sales tax. This makes Oregon a perfect place to denigrate the FairTax. A columnist for The Oregonian, Jeff Mapes, wrote a column with the headline â30 Percent National Sales Tax Proposed to Replace IRS.â If you were to read Mapesâs article, you wouldnât see one single reference to the correct FairTax rate of 23 percent. Instead Mapes refers to the FairTax as âa 30 percent tax on all purchasesâ and suggests that sales taxâaverse Oregonians wouldnât be all that thrilled with the idea. Mapesâs column suggests how far and wide this â30 percentâ falsehood has spread. Not once in his column does he bother to distinguish between inclusive and exclusive taxes or clarify that the FairTax is included in the price of an item or service, not added to it.
Frankly, if I were an Oregonian with no knowledge of the FairTax whatsoever, Mapesâs column would have frightened me to deathâand sent me marching forth to join the FairTax opponents.
At this point, you may be wondering: Why donât we give in and quote the tax as exclusive rather than inclusive? Wouldnât that defeat this particular line of criticism?
The reason is simple: because the FairTax isnât designed to replace another sales tax system. It will replace the existing income tax and payroll tax system. It will replace the embedded tax system in everything you buy. Isnât it logical, not to mention honest, to quote the FairTax on the same basis that the taxes it is designed to replace are quoted?
Letâs go over this again, in case youâre planning to rip these questions out and stick them in your back pocket so that youâll be ready. Hereâs the math.
You spend $100 for a toaster. Under the FairTax plan, when you get your sales receipt it clearly shows that $23 of your $100 goes to the government as FairTax revenue.
Of course, this is where the opponents chime in: âHold on! Youâre really spending $77, and then theyâre adding $23 tax on top of that! That works out to 30 percent!â
Now do you see the mistake theyâre making? Theyâre calculating the FairTax the same way these forty-five states calculate their sales tax, by adding the tax to the price of the item at the cash register. Are they making that mistake sincerely or dishonestly? It probably depends on the characterâand math skillsâof the critic. But since weâre quoting the FairTax on the same basis as the income taxes the FairTax will replace, we think itâs only fairânot to mention correctâfor our opponents to do the same.
Letâs take a look at the income tax for a moment. As weâve said, the income tax is quoted by the government as an inclusive tax. The most common marginal income tax rate for an American is 25 percent. Add the payroll tax, and the average American pays 33 cents of every dollar he earns to the federal government in income and payroll taxes. That leaves 67 cents to spend.
Now consider this: What would happen if the critics quoted the federal income tax on an exclusive basis, the same way they keep trying to quote the FairTax? Your 33 percent common income and payroll tax rate would suddenly become 48 percent. (And that doesnât even include the payroll tax that your employer is paying on your behalf.) Go ahead: Get out your calculator, try to remember how percentages are calculated, and give it a go! While youâre at it, give some of the higher income tax rates a shot. They look pretty ugly, donât they?
But no one ever makes that mistake. (They must know theyâd never get away with it.)
All weâre asking is for the FairTax opponents to be honest. Shoot straight with the American people. You know the FairTax is designed to replace the income tax. Give us a fair side-by-side comparison. Compare apples to apples. If you insist on quoting your precious income tax on an inclusive basis, then do the same for the FairTax. On the other hand, if youâre going to demagogue the FairTax by throwing that 30 percent figure around, at least be honest enough to quote the income and payroll taxes on the same basis. Stop telling middle Americans that theyâre paying a 25 percent income tax rate and a nearly 8 percent payroll tax rate when, by your logic, theyâre really paying a combined 48 percent.
Jeff Mapes isnât the only fellow to make this mistake. Such venerable institutions as the Ludwig von Mises Institute, an economic think tank, have published stories citing the 30 percent argument. But we do wish that these folks would check their math before hurling their slings and arrows. It would make them look smarterâand make the FairTax look as good as it really is.
FairTax supporters are not afraid of the math. If you want to continue to quote the average marginal income and payroll tax burden as being 30 percent, then use the same inclusive basis for quoting the marginal FairTax rate. If, on the other hand, you feel better quoting the FairTax rate on an exclusive basis as 30 percent, then be honest enough to start quoting the income tax the same way. Start quoting the 15 percent income tax rate as 18 percent, the 28 percent income tax rate as 39 percent, and the 38 percent rate as 61 percentâŚand then quote the 15 percent payroll tax as another 18 percent tax on top of those other rates.
It seems to us that those who oppose the FairTax come from the same crowd that is always talking about a âlevel playing field.â Well, if youâre so eager to bring that âlevel playing fieldâ into play, how about debating the FairTax on just such a playing field? It is simply disingenuous to insist that the tax rates be expressed differently to make it appear that the FairTax supporters are lying, or so that it appears that the income tax rate is lower than the FairTax rate.
Criticism: Will a 23 percent rate really be enough to fund current spending? Iâve been told some important government panels say the rate will need to be much higher.
This is a great criticismâbecause, if it were true, weâd be right there beside you stomping our feet and holding our breath until we turn blue.
But itâs not true.
To show you why, letâs start by playing a little game.
The two panels whose opinions are often cited on this question are the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation and the Presidentâs Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform. Letâs pretend, for a moment, that theyâre right.
Remember, the FairTax is revenue neutral. Under the FairTax, our government would collect the same amount of tax revenue as it does today under our current individual and corporate system of income taxes. So if the crazy numbers these panels quote are trueâthat the FairTax would amount to a sales tax of 40, 50, or 60 percentâthen it must be true that this is what our government is getting from us today!
Can this be? Is it possible that it has done such a good job of disguising and hiding those taxes that we arenât really aware theyâre there?
We really donât believe that those who oppose the FairTax and calculate wild, high rates are lying to you (well, the loud coauthor might). Generally, we believe theyâre just misleading you. The only real way to calculate an appropriate tax rate is to take the total amount of money the government needs to bring in and then divide that by whatever amount will be subject to tax. At the risk of being remedial for some and overly mathematical for others, if the government needs $10 and it has $100 in individual income or consumption it can tax, it will need to impose a rate of 10/100âwhich is 10 percent.
Given that simplicity, how do people come up with so many crazy rates for the FairTax? The answer is that they develop different assumptions about the numerator (how much money the government needs) and the denominator (how much moneyâeither income or spendingâis available to be taxed). How can that happen? Letâs look at a few examples.
When FairTax.org hires economists to help to determine the rate, it chooses a single yearâsuch as 2009âand asks the questions âHow much is the government currently predicted to raise in taxes in 2009?â and â...