8 Globalisation and poverty changes in Colombia
Maurizio Bussolo and Jann Lay
Introduction
During the last two decades, bilateral and multilateral donorsā policy advice to developing countries has been centred on greater market openness and better integration into the global economy. However, this advice has recently been challenged, and the effects of globalisation on poverty are generating growing concern. To address these concerns and, at the same time, to assist in the formulation of better pro-poor policies, a clearer understanding of the complex relationship between globalisation and poverty is needed. The main objective of this chapter is to determine the signs and strength of the effects of trade liberalisation, which is an important globalisation shock on poverty, in the context of Colombia.
Towards the end of the 1980s Colombia abandoned its import substitution industrialisation policy and started a process of trade liberalisation, which culminated with the drastic tariffs cuts of the 1990ā91. Colombian trade reform has been one of the most swift import liberalisations in Latin America. Within a few months, tariffs were more than halved and a series of institutions designed to regulate commercial policy had been created or reformed, including the Ministry of Foreign trade. In addition to the trade liberalisation policy, the government implemented a series of other structural reforms ranging from labour market reform and foreign exchange deregulation, to financial markets reforms, including establishing the independence of the central bank, and to the promulgation of a new constitution.
In the same period, poverty showed some improvements in urban areas but stagnated in rural areas, and inequality registered a significant countrywide increase. Identifying the poverty and inequality effects of each of the elements of the reforms, as well as those originating from additional technology and external shocks that affected Colombia in the first half of the 1990s is a complex task, even when two well-conducted household surveys provide data before and after the reform effort, namely for the years 1988 and 1995.
To tackle this task, this chapter follows a quite different approach from that of a large, although not uncontroversial, literature that analyses the links between openness and growth (Rodriguez and Rodrik, 2000, and references cited therein), or from those studies that extend these links to include poverty (Dollar and Kraay, 2000). This literature relies on cross-national regressions and, although they provide some evidence on the positive relationship linking openness to growth and poverty, in the words of Srinivasan and Bhagwati (1999) ānuanced, in-depth analyses of country experiences [ā¦] taking into account numerous country-specific factorsā are needed to plausibly appraise the connections between openness and gr...