
- 384 pages
- English
- PDF
- Available on iOS & Android
About this book
Econometric Modeling provides a new and stimulating introduction to econometrics, focusing on modeling. The key issue confronting empirical economics is to establish sustainable relationships that are both supported by data and interpretable from economic theory. The unified likelihood-based approach of this book gives students the required statistical foundations of estimation and inference, and leads to a thorough understanding of econometric techniques.
David Hendry and Bent Nielsen introduce modeling for a range of situations, including binary data sets, multiple regression, and cointegrated systems. In each setting, a statistical model is constructed to explain the observed variation in the data, with estimation and inference based on the likelihood function. Substantive issues are always addressed, showing how both statistical and economic assumptions can be tested and empirical results interpreted. Important empirical problems such as structural breaks, forecasting, and model selection are covered, and Monte Carlo simulation is explained and applied.
Econometric Modeling is a self-contained introduction for advanced undergraduate or graduate students. Throughout, data illustrate and motivate the approach, and are available for computer-based teaching. Technical issues from probability theory and statistical theory are introduced only as needed. Nevertheless, the approach is rigorous, emphasizing the coherent formulation, estimation, and evaluation of econometric models relevant for empirical research.
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Information
Table of contents
- Cover
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Table of Contents
- Preface
- Data and Software
- Chapter 1: The Bernoulli Model
- Chapter 2: Inference in the Bernoulli Model
- Chapter 3: A First Regression Model
- Chapter 4: The Logit Model
- Chapter 5: The Two-variable Regression Model
- Chapter 6: The Matrix Algebra of Two-variable Regression
- Chapter 7: The Multiple Regression Model
- Chapter 8: The Matrix Algebra of Multiple Regression
- Chapter 9: Mis-Specification Analysis in Cross Sections
- Chapter 10: Strong Exogeneity
- Chapter 11: Empirical Models and Modeling
- Chapter 12: Autoregressions and Stationarity
- Chapter 13: Mis-specification Analysis in Time Series
- Chapter 14: The Vector Autoregressive Model
- Chapter 15: Identification of Structural Models
- Chapter 16: Non-stationary Time Series
- Chapter 17: Cointegration
- Chapter 18: Monte Carlo Simulation Experiments
- Chapter 19: Automatic Model Selection
- Chapter 20: Structural breaks
- Chapter 21: Forecasting
- Chapter 22: The way ahead
- References
- Author Index
- Subject Index