It was a cool, crisp day in the spring of 2004âa rarity for Houstonâand George H.W. Bush chatted with a friend in his office suite on Memorial Drive. Tall and trim, his hair graying but by no means white, the former president was a few weeks shy of his eightieth birthdayâit would take place on June 12, to be exactâand he was racing toward that milestone with the vigor of a man thirty years younger. In addition to golf, tennis, horseshoes, and his beloved Houston Astros, Bushâs near-term calendar was filled with dates for fishing for Coho salmon in Newfoundland, crossing the Rockies by train, and trout fishing in the River Test in Hampshire, England.1 He still prowled the corridors of power from London to Beijing. He still lectured all over the world. And, as if that werenât enough, he was planning to commemorate his eightieth with a star-studded two-day extravaganza, culminating with him skydiving from thirteen thousand feet over his presidential library in College Station, Texas.2 All the celebratory fervor, however, could not mask one dark cloud on the horizon. The presidency of his son, George W. Bush, was imperiled.
One way of examining the growing crisis could be found in the prism of the elder Bushâs relationship with his son, a relationship fraught with ancient conflicts, ideological differences, and their profound failure to communicate with each other. On many levels, the two men were polar opposites with completely different belief systems. An old-line Episcopalian, Bush 41 had forged an alliance with Christian evangelicals during the 1988 presidential campaign because it was vital to winning the White House. But the truth was that real evangelicals had always regarded him with suspicionâand he had returned the sentiment.
But Bush 43 was different. A genuine born-again Christian himself, he had given hundreds of evangelicals key positions in the White House, the Justice Department, the Pentagon, and various federal agencies. How had it come to pass that after four generations of Bushes at Yale, the family name now meant that progress, science, and evolution were out and stopping embryonic stem cell research was in? Why was his son turning back the hands of time to the days when Creationism held sway?
But this was nothing compared to the Iraq War and the men behind it. George H.W. Bush was a genial man with few bitter enemies, but his son had managed to appoint, as secretary of defense no less, one of the very few who fit the billâDonald Rumsfeld. Once Rumsfeld and Vice President Dick Cheney took office, the latter supposedly a loyal friend, they had brought in one neoconservative policy maker after another to the Pentagon, the vice presidentâs office, and the National Security Council. In some cases, these were the same men who had battled the elder Bush when he was head of the CIA in 1976. These were the same men who fought him when he decided not to take down Saddam Hussein during the 1991 Gulf War. Their goal in life seemed to be to dismantle his legacy.
Which was exactly what was happeningâwith his son playing the starring role. A year earlier, President George W. Bush, clad in fighter-pilot regalia, strode triumphantly across the deck of the U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln, a âMission Accomplishedâ banner at his backâthe Iraq War presumably won. But the giddy triumphalism of Operation Shock and Awe had quickly faded. America had failed to form a stable Iraqi government. With Baghdad out of control, sectarian violence was on the rise. U.S. soldiers were becoming occupiers rather than liberators. Coalition forces were torturing prisoners.3 As for Saddamâs vast stash of weapons of mass destructionâthe stated reason for the invasionânone had been found.
Bush 41 had always told his son that it was fine to take different political positions than he had held. If you have to run away from me, he said, Iâll understand.4 Few things upset him. But there were limits. He was especially proud of his accomplishments during the 1991 Gulf War, none more so than his decision, after defeating Saddam in Kuwait, to refrain from marching on Baghdad to overthrow the brutal Iraqi dictator. Afterward, he wrote about it with coauthor Brent Scowcroft, his national security adviser, in A World Transformed, asserting that taking Baghdad would have incurred âincalculable human and political costs,â alienated allies, and transformed Americans from liberators into a hostile occupying power, forced to rule Iraq with no exit strategy.5 His own sonâs folly had confirmed his wisdom, he felt.
But now his son had not only reversed his policies, he had taken things a step further. âThe stakes are highâŠ.â the younger Bush told reporters on April 21.6 âAnd the Iraqi people are lookingâtheyâre looking at America and saying, are we going to cut and run again?â
The unspoken etiquette of the Oval Office was that sitting and former presidents did not attack one another. âCut and runâ was precisely the phrase Bush 43 used to taunt his Democratic foes, but this time he had used it to take a swipe at his old man.
Having returned recently from the Masters Golf Tournament in Augusta, Georgia,7 the elder Bush was eagerly looking forward to his celebrity-studded birthday bash in June.8 But, to his dismay, the media didnât miss his sonâs slight of him. On CNN, White House correspondent John King characterized the presidentâs speech as an apparent âcriticism of his fatherâs choice at the end of the first Gulf War.â9 Thanks to a raft of election season books, the press was asking questions about whether there was a rift between father and son.10
So on that brisk spring day, a friend of Bush 41âs dropped by the Memorial Drive offices and asked the former president how he felt about his sonâs controversial remarks. The elder Bush was stoic and taciturn as usual. But it was clear that he was not merely insulted or offendedâhis sonâs remark had struck at the very heart of his pride. âI donât know what the hell thatâs about,â George H.W. Bush said, âbut Iâm going to find out. Scowcroft is calling him right now.â
The battle lines between father and son had been drawn even before the Iraq War startedâa discreet, sub-rosa conflict that was both deeply personal and profoundly political. In the balance hung policies that would kill and maim hundreds of thousands of people, create millions of refugees, destabilize a volatile region that contained the largest energy deposits on the planet, and change the geostrategic balance of power for years to come.
Ultimately, it was the greatest foreign policy disaster in American historyâone that could result in the end of American global supremacy.
The two men shared overlapping rĂ©sumĂ©sâschooling at Andover and Yale, membership in Skull and Bones, and an affinity for Texas and the oil business. But thatâs about where the similarities end. From the privileged confines of Greenwich, Connecticut, where he was raised, to Walkerâs Point, the Bush family summer compound in Kennebunkport where his family golfed and ate lobster on the rugged Maine coast, to the posh River Oaks section of Houston after they settled in Texas, George H.W. Bush epitomized a blue-blooded, old money, Eastern establishment ethos that was abhorrent to the Bible Belt. By contrast, his son had been a fish out of water among the Andover and Yale elite, and scurried back to the West Texas town of Midland after graduating from the Harvard Business School. Nothing made him happier than clearing brush off the Texas plains.
People who knew both men tended to favor the father. âBush senior finds it impossible to strut, and Bush junior finds it impossible not to,â said Bob Strauss, the former chairman of the Democratic National Committee who served as ambassador to Moscow under Bush 41 and remained a loyal friend.11 âThatâs the big difference between the two of them.â
More profoundly, they epitomized two diametrically opposed forces. On one side was the father, George H.W. Bush, a realist and a pragmatist whose domestic and foreign policies fit comfortably within the age-old American traditions of Jeffersonian democracy. On the other was his son George W. Bush, a radical evangelical poised to enact a vision of American exceptionalism shared by the Christian Right, who saw American destiny as ordained by God, and by neoconservative ideologues, who believed that Americaâs âgreatnessâ was founded on âuniversal principlesâ12 that applied to all men and all nationsâand gave America the right to change the world.
And so an extraordinary constrained nonconversation of sorts between father and son had ensued. Real content was expressed only via surrogates. In August 2002, more than seven months before the start of the Iraq War, Brent Scowcroft, a man of modest demeanor but of great intellectual resolve, was the first to speak out. At seventy-seven, Scowcroft conducted himself with a self-effacing manner that belied his considerable achievements. Ever the loyal retainer, he was the public voice of Bush 41, which meant he had the tacit approval of the former president. âThey are two old friends who talk every day,â says Bob Strauss. âScowcroft knew it wouldnât terribly displease his friend.â13
Well aware that war was afoot, Scowcroft had tried to head it off with an August 15, 2002, Wall Street Journal op-ed piece titled âDonât Attack Saddamâ and TV interviews. As a purveyor of the realist school of foreign policy, and as a protĂ©gĂ© of Henry Kissinger, Scowcroft believed that idealism should take a backseat to Americaâs strategic self-interest, and his case was simple. âThere is scant evidence to tie Saddam to terrorist organizations,â he wrote, âand even less to the Sept. 11 attacks.â14 To attack Iraq, while ignoring the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, he said, âcould turn the whole region into a cauldron and, thus, destroy the war on terrorism.â15 A few days later, former secretary of state James Baker, who had carefully assembled the massive coalition for the Gulf War in 1991, joined in, warning the Bush administration that if it were to attack Saddam, it should not go it alone.16
On one side, aligned with Bush 41, were pragmatic moderates who had served at the highest levels of the national security apparatusâScowcroft, Baker, former secretary of state Lawrence Eagleburger, and Colin Powell, with only Powell, as the sitting secretary of state, having a seat at the table in the new administration. On the other side, under the younger George Bush, were Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, and Richard Perle, chairman of the Defense Policy Advisory Board Committeeâall far more hawkish and ideological than their rivals.
Of course, both Scowcroft and Baker would have preferred to give their advice to the young president directly rather than through the media,17 and as close friends to Bush senior for more than thirty years, that should not have been difficult. After all, Scowcroftâs best friend was the presidentâs father, his close friend Dick Cheney was vice president, and Scowcroft counted National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice and her deputy Stephen Hadley among his protĂ©gĂ©s. And James Baker had an even more storied history with the Bushes.
âAm I happy at not being closer to the White House?â Scowcroft asked. âNo. I would prefer to be closer. I like George Bush personally, and he is the son of a man Iâm just crazy ...