Profiting From Uncertainty
eBook - ePub

Profiting From Uncertainty

Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings

  1. 288 pages
  2. English
  3. ePUB (mobile friendly)
  4. Available on iOS & Android
eBook - ePub

Profiting From Uncertainty

Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings

About this book

What manager is not anxious about the future? We live in a white-knuckled age of rapid technological change and global instability. But uncertainty is not the enemy, says management expert Paul J. H. Schoemaker. It is where the greatest opportunities are. To unlock these opportunities, however, requires a very different approach to strategy and implementation. In this pioneering book, Dr. Schoemaker presents a systematic approach that combines concepts such as scenario planning, options thinking, and dynamic monitoring to create novel strategies for profiting from ambiguity.Building on his experience with more than one hundred consulting projects in fields ranging from health care to manufacturing, from utilities to financial services, Schoemaker shows how major corporations throughout the world have used his pathbreaking methodology to prepare for an uncertain future and profit from it. In this first comprehensive approach to the subject, Schoemaker shows the reader (1) how to develop and analyze multiple industry scenarios, (2) craft nimble strategies with just the right amount of flexibility, (3) implement them using an options approach, and (4) make real-time adjustments through dynamic monitoring. As a leading academic thinker and practitioner, the author draws on the frontiers of decision science, organization theory, strategy, and cognitive psychology to integrate the most practical contributions these various fields have made to navigating uncertainty.More than any other capability, skill in seizing initiatives in shifting, unpredictable circumstances is the key to success. Profiting from Uncertainty provides a road map to do just that. This book was first published in 2002, well ahead of the mega turmoil that befell the world in 2008 and beyond. The methods and tools described here have been used by many companies and are even more relevant today than when originally published. You can't do without them.

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Yes, you can access Profiting From Uncertainty by Paul Schoemaker in PDF and/or ePUB format, as well as other popular books in Business & Forecasting. We have over one million books available in our catalogue for you to explore.

Information

Publisher
Free Press
Year
2012
eBook ISBN
9780743234184
Subtopic
Forecasting

Table of contents

  1. Cover
  2. Dedication
  3. Acknowledgments
  4. Are You Ready for Yet More Upheaval and Global Turmoil?
  5. Preface: Tumultuous Times
  6. Chapter 1: Embracing Uncertainty
  7. Chapter 2: Preparing the Mind
  8. Chapter 3: Experiencing Multiple Futures
  9. Chapter 4: Preparing for the Unknown
  10. Chapter 5: Building a Robust Strategic Vision
  11. Chapter 6: Creating Flexible Options
  12. Chapter 7: Dynamic Monitoring and Adjustment
  13. Chapter 8: Implementation: Living with Uncertainty
  14. Chapter 9: Case Study: Flying through Turbulence
  15. Conclusion: Navigating the Future
  16. Appendix A: The Psychology of Uncertainty
  17. Appendix B: Uncertainty Tool Kit
  18. About Paul J.H. Schoemaker
  19. Notes
  20. Index
  21. Copyright